"OMG." That's what one SNP politician said to me when they realised First Minister Humza Yousaf had binned a planned public event on Friday morning, fuelling the guessing game about whether or not he'll quit.
In fact, when he popped up in his home city of Dundee in the "busy politician" outfit of hard hat and high-vis vest, he said he wouldn't quit - while also seeming to admit, rather astonishingly, that he had made a horlicks of his breakup with coalition partners the Greens.
"I've heard they're upset, I've heard their anger," he said. "And I can honestly say that was not the intention."
As our Scotland editor James Cook writes, Yousaf, who was cruelly tagged Humza "Useless" by the tabloids even before he became first minister, is in serious danger of being kicked out of office in a few days' time.
His old SNP leadership rival, Ash Regan, member of Alex Salmond's Alba Party, is likely to hold the casting vote when MSPs decide his future. It's not impossible that she backs him - for a political price. Yousaf might keep his job if he gets her vote, but a deal with Alba might mean he loses control of certain policies.
There are no guarantees - and the chances of him being able to get the Greens back on side seem, right now, slim to none.
"It's hard to see him making it to next Thursday," one SNP insider said. "And if he did, it would all fall apart in a few weeks when on every vote, he is stuck between paying a high price to the Greens or selling his soul to Alex Salmond."
Click here to read more of Laura’s analysis.
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2024-04-28 10:42:53Z
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