Jumat, 11 September 2020

Coronavirus: UK epidemic growing as R number goes above 1 - BBC News

Evidence of rising coronavirus infections in recent weeks in the UK has prompted the government to increase the R number to between 1 and 1.2.

This indicates the epidemic is growing for the first time since March.

And a study of thousands of people in England found cases doubling every seven to eight days, with a marked rise in the north and among young people.

But officials say there are now worrying signs of infections in the elderly too.

The virus is still at much lower levels across the UK than at the peak of the pandemic in April.

New laws on how many people can socialise are being introduced from Monday.

The 'rule of six' will restrict indoor and outdoor gatherings in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

The number of new daily confirmed UK cases of the virus has risen to 3,539 on Friday - an increase of more than 600 on yesterday.

Yvonne Doyle, medical director at Public Health England, said younger people "made up the greatest share of new cases" but she said older age groups, who are most a risk of serious illness, were now also being infected.

A PHE report says there has been "a particularly steep increase" in positive test results in the over-85s and, in the north west of England, a rise in people from that age group being admitted to hospital.

She warned people to follow social distancing rules, wash their hands regularly and wear a face covering in enclosed spaces.

Birmingham will become the latest area to bring in new restrictions after a spike in cases. Tougher restrictions now cover more than 1.75m people in the west of Scotland and, from Monday, face masks must be worn in shops in Wales.

Three separate large studies have indicated a widespread resurgence of coronavirus across the UK population.

And the R (reproduction) number - which describes how many others each infected person passes the virus on to - has also increased.

If it is higher than one, as now, numbers infected are growing.

'A wake-up call for the nation'

The UK is entering a new stage of the coronavirus pandemic.

Since lockdown, we have been deciding how to react to falling cases. But now the R number has gone above the crucial level of 1 for the first time since March and is backed up by reams of data showing cases are growing again.

This is not just contained to hotspots like Bolton - one government advisor told me the rise was widespread across the country.

They said today was a "wake up call" for the nation. There are already some signs that the number of people being admitted to hospital is starting to rise.

But this is not a repeat of the build-up to lockdown. Cases are at a much lower level and they are growing more slowly.

Pre-lockdown, the R number was around three and cases were doubling every three to four days. It is around half that now.

Coronavirus is going to be a major challenge until we have a vaccine.

So the defining question as we head into a potentially difficult winter is how to balance keeping the virus in check with getting on with our lives.

The REACT study of more than 150,000 volunteers in England, one of the three new sources of data on community levels, found "accelerating transmission" at the end of August and start of September.

It said levels of infection were rising across England but particularly in the north east, north west and Yorkshire.

And there were increases in positive cases in all age groups up to the age of 65, with highest rates of growth in 18-24 year olds.

Prof Paul Elliott, director of the study at Imperial College London, said the data clearly showed "a concerning trend in coronavirus infections" where cases are growing quickly across England and "no longer concentrated in key workers".

He said there was evidence of "an epidemic in the community" which was not the result of more people being tested.

The second set of data, from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) estimates there were 39,700 new cases of the virus in England during the first week in September - 11,000 more than the previous week.

The ONS bases its figures on thousands of swab tests carried out in households, whether people have symptoms or not.

It estimated no increase in cases for the same week in Wales, but First Minister Mark Drakeford has announced people must now wear face masks in shops in response to rising case numbers in recent days.

Katherine Kent, from the ONS infection survey, said the results suggested "an increase in Covid-19 infections in England during recent weeks, with higher infection rates among 17-34 year olds".

Nicola Sturgeon has warned that the average number of cases in Scotland has been "more than trebling every three weeks" with some areas of particular concern, including Lanarkshire and Greater Glasgow and Clyde.

And the third set of figures, from the Covid symptom study app, which tracks the health of nearly four million people in the UK, also suggests a growth in new cases since the end of August - the first time since mid-June there has been a significant rise in numbers.

Prof James Naismith, from the University of Oxford, said younger people would also have been affected to the same extent in January if testing had been available, but many things had changed since then for the better.

"We know that medical treatment and scientific advances have improved significantly, thus even with infection rates as bad as March and April, there will be many fewer deaths.

"The more people wash their hands and practise social distancing - especially by and around the vulnerable - the lower the number of deaths and illness we will see," he said.

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2020-09-11 16:52:30Z
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EU demands UK drops Brexit bill or will sue Britain & end trade talks - The Sun

[unable to retrieve full-text content]

  1. EU demands UK drops Brexit bill or will sue Britain & end trade talks  The Sun
  2. Brexit: Lords could block PM's plan to override withdrawal deal  Sky News
  3. UK will not withdraw legislation despite EU warnings, Gove says  Guardian News
  4. Boris Johnson now faces four Brexit rebellions – including one from himself  The Independent
  5. Brexit is the stage on which Boris Johnson acts out his theatre of provocation  The Guardian
  6. View Full coverage on Google News

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2020-09-11 16:05:51Z
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Coronavirus: UK epidemic growing as R number goes above 1 - BBC News

Coronavirus infections have increased in recent weeks in the UK, according to new estimates.

The government's latest R number is between 1 and 1.2, which means the epidemic is growing.

And a study of thousands of people in England found cases doubling every seven to eight days, with a marked rise in the north and among young people.

New laws on how many people can socialise indoors and outdoors are being introduced from Monday.

The 'rule of six' will ban gatherings of more than six people indoors in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

The number of new daily confirmed UK cases of the virus has risen to 3,539 on Friday - an increase of more than 600 on yesterday.

Yvonne Doyle, medical director at Public Health England, said there were now "worrying signs of infections occurring in the elderly" and she warned people to follow social distancing rules, wash their hands regularly and wear a face covering in enclosed spaces.

It has been announced that Birmingham will become the latest area to bring in new restrictions after a spike in cases.

But three separate large studies have indicated a widespread resurgence of coronavirus across the population.

And the R (reproduction) number - which describes how many others each infected person passes the virus on to - has also increased.

If it is higher than one, as now, numbers infected are growing.

But the virus is still at much lower levels across the UK than at the peak of the pandemic in April.

'A wake-up call for the nation'

The UK is entering a new stage of the coronavirus pandemic.

Since lockdown, we have been deciding how to react to falling cases. But now the R number has gone above the crucial level of 1 for the first time since March and is backed up by reams of data showing cases are growing again.

This is not just contained to hotspots like Bolton - one government advisor told me the rise was widespread across the country.

They said today was a "wake up call" for the nation. There are already some signs that the number of people being admitted to hospital is starting to rise.

But this is not a repeat of the build-up to lockdown. Cases are at a much lower level and they are growing more slowly.

Pre-lockdown, the R number was around three and cases were doubling every three to four days. It is around half that now.

Coronavirus is going to be a major challenge until we have a vaccine.

So the defining question as we head into a potentially difficult winter is how to balance keeping the virus in check with getting on with our lives.

The REACT study of more than 150,000 volunteers in England, one of the three new sources of data on community levels, found "accelerating transmission" at the end of August and start of September.

It said levels of infection were rising across England but particularly in the north east, north west and Yorkshire.

And there were increases in positive cases in all age groups up to the age of 65, with highest rates of growth in 18-24 year olds.

Prof Paul Elliott, director of the study at Imperial College London, said the data clearly showed "a concerning trend in coronavirus infections" where cases are growing quickly across England and "no longer concentrated in key workers".

He said there was evidence of "an epidemic in the community" which was not the result of more people being tested.

The second set of data, from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) estimates there were 39,700 new cases of the virus in England during the first week in September - 11,000 more than the previous week.

The ONS bases its figures on thousands of swab tests carried out in households, whether people have symptoms or not.

It estimated no increase in cases for the same week in Wales, but First Minister Mark Drakeford has announced people must now wear face masks in shops in response to rising case numbers in recent days.

Katherine Kent, from the ONS infection survey, said the results suggested "an increase in Covid-19 infections in England during recent weeks, with higher infection rates among 17-34 year olds".

Nicola Sturgeon has warned that the average number of cases in Scotland has been "more than trebling every three weeks" with some areas of particular concern, including Greater Glasgow and Clyde.

And the third set of figures, from the Covid symptom study app, which tracks the health of nearly four million people in the UK, also suggests a growth in new cases since the end of August - the first time since mid-June there has been a significant rise in numbers.

Prof James Naismith, from the University of Oxford, said younger people would also have been affected to the same extent in January if testing had been available, but many things had changed since then for the better.

"We know that medical treatment and scientific advances have improved significantly, thus even with infection rates as bad as March and April, there will be many fewer deaths.

"The more people wash their hands and practise social distancing - especially by and around the vulnerable - the lower the number of deaths and illness we will see," he said.

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2020-09-11 15:39:08Z
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Coronavirus: UK epidemic growing as R number goes above 1 - BBC News

Coronavirus infections have increased in recent weeks in the UK, according to new estimates.

The government's latest R number is between 1 and 1.2, which means the epidemic is growing.

And a study of thousands of people in England found cases doubling every seven to eight days, with a marked rise in the north and among young people.

New laws on how many people can socialise indoors and outdoors are being introduced from Monday.

The 'rule of six' will ban gatherings of more than six people indoors in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

It has also been announced that Birmingham will become the latest area to bring in new restrictions after a spike in cases.

But three separate large studies have indicated a widespread resurgence of coronavirus across the population.

And the R (reproduction) number - which describes how many others each infected person passes the virus on to - has also increased.

If it is higher than one, as now, numbers infected are growing.

But the virus is still at much lower levels across the UK than at the peak of the pandemic in April.

The UK is entering a new stage of the coronavirus pandemic.

Since lockdown, we have been deciding how to react to falling cases. But now the R number has gone above the crucial level of 1 for the first time since March and is backed up by reams of data showing cases are growing again.

This is not just contained to hotspots like Bolton - one government advisor told me the rise was widespread across the country.

They said today was a "wake up call" for the nation. There are already some signs that the number of people being admitted to hospital is starting to rise.

But this is not a repeat of the build-up to lockdown. Cases are at a much lower level and they are growing more slowly.

Pre-lockdown, the R number was around three and cases were doubling every three to four days. It is around half that now.

Coronavirus is going to be a major challenge until we have a vaccine.

So the defining question as we head into a potentially difficult winter is how to balance keeping the virus in check with getting on with our lives.

The REACT study of more than 150,000 volunteers in England, one of the three new sources of data on community levels, found "accelerating transmission" at the end of August and start of September.

It said levels of infection were rising across England but particularly in the north east, north west and Yorkshire.

And there were increases in positive cases in all age groups up to the age of 65, with highest rates of growth in 18-24 year olds.

Prof Paul Elliott, director of the study at Imperial College London, said the data clearly showed "a concerning trend in coronavirus infections" where cases are growing quickly across England and "no longer concentrated in key workers".

He said there was evidence of "an epidemic in the community" which was not the result of more people being tested.

The second set of data, from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) says there has been no increase in cases in Wales during the first week in September. It estimates 1,200 people had coronavirus in the week between 30 August and 5 September.

But in England, the equivalent estimate was 39,700 - 11,000 more than the previous week.

The ONS bases its figures on thousands of swab tests carried out in households, whether people have symptoms or not.

Katherine Kent, from the ONS infection survey, said the results suggested "an increase in Covid-19 infections in England during recent weeks, with higher infection rates among 17-34 year olds".

Nicola Sturgeon has warned that the average number of cases in Scotland has been "more than trebling every three weeks".

And the third set of figures, from the Covid symptom study app, which tracks the health of nearly four million people in the UK, also suggest a growth in new cases since the end of August - the first time since mid-June there has been a significant rise in numbers.

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2020-09-11 13:18:45Z
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Coronavirus: UK epidemic growing as R number goes above 1 - BBC News

Coronavirus infections have increased in recent weeks in the UK, according to new estimates.

The government's latest R number is between 1 and 1.2 which means the epidemic is growing.

And a study of thousands of people in England found cases doubling every seven to eight days, with a marked rise in the north and among young people.

New laws on how many people can socialise indoors and outdoors are being introduced from Monday.

The R - reproduction - number describes how many people, on average, each infected person passes the virus on to.

If it is higher than one, as now, it means the number of cases is increasing fast.

The virus is still at much lower levels across the UK than at the peak of the pandemic in April.

Cases reduced dramatically in May and stayed low in June and July, but several large studies of the general population now suggest there has been a resurgence.

The REACT study of more than 150,000 volunteers in England found "accelerating transmission" at the end of August and start of September.

Levels of infection were rising across England but particularly in the north east, north west and Yorkshire.

And there were increases in positive cases in all age groups up to the age of 65, with highest rates of growth in 18-24 year olds.

Prof Paul Elliott, director of the study at Imperial College London, said the data clearly showed "a concerning trend in coronavirus infections" where cases are growing quickly across England and "no longer concentrated in key workers".

He said there was evidence of "an epidemic in the community" and not the result of more people being tested.

Nicola Sturgeon has warned that the average number of cases in Scotland has been "more than trebling every three weeks".

However in Wales, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) says there has been no increase in cases during the first week in September, estimates 1,200 people had coronavirus in the week between 30 August and 5 September.

In England, the equivalent estimate was 39,700 - 11,000 more than the previous week.

The ONS bases its figures on thousands of swab tests carried out in households, whether people have symptoms or not.

Katherine Kent, from the ONS infection survey, said the results suggested "an increase in Covid-19 infections in England during recent weeks, with higher infection rates among 17-34 year olds".

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2020-09-11 12:18:37Z
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Coronavirus infections surge by 60% in England with 3,200 new cases each day - Sky News

COVID-19 infections in England have soared by 60% - with 3,200 new cases now being seen each day, according to official estimates.

The figure from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) for the period 30 August to 5 September is up from 2,000 a day in the previous week.

The survey reveals that outside of hospitals and care homes around one in 1,400 people in England had coronavirus last week - an average of 39,700 and up from 27,100 during the previous seven days.

During the same week, the ONS estimates at any given time 1,200 people in Wales had COVID-19 - around one in 2,600 people.

It also found in recent weeks, there had been an increase in the number of people testing positive for coronavirus aged 17 to 24 years and 25 to 34 years, while the number of people infected aged 50 years and over appeared to be stable or falling.

Katherine Kent, co-head of analysis for the COVID-19 Infection Survey, said: "Our results this week suggest that there has been an increase in COVID-19 infections in England during recent weeks with higher infection rates among 17-34-year-olds.

"These findings highlight how important it is that we continue to monitor COVID-19 infections in the country.

More from UK

"We are grateful to our many participants who are continuing to make this survey possible."

The survey has also begun in Northern Ireland and the ONS said estimates for there will be published when there is a sufficiently large sample.

Work is also under way to set up the survey in Scotland.

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2020-09-11 11:52:31Z
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UK signs first major post-Brexit trade deal with Japan - BBC News

The UK has struck its first major post-Brexit trade pact after signing a deal with Japan that aims to boost trade between the countries by about £15bn.

International Trade Secretary Liz Truss said it was an "historic moment".

She said it would bring "new wins" for British businesses in manufacturing, food and drink, and tech industries.

Critics said while the deal may be of symbolic importance it would boost UK GDP by only 0.07%, a fraction of the trade that could be lost with the EU.

Friday's deal still needs approval by Japan's parliament, which the country's Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi forecast would be passed by January.

Ms Truss said the UK-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement means 99% of exports to Japan will be tariff-free.

"The agreement we have negotiated - in record time and in challenging circumstances - goes far beyond the existing EU deal, as it secures new wins for British businesses in our great manufacturing, food and drink, and tech industries," she said.

"From our automotive workers in Wales to our shoemakers in the North of England, this deal will help build back better as we create new opportunities for people throughout the whole of the UK and help level up our country."

She added that, strategically, the deal was an important step towards joining the Trans-Pacific Partnership and placing Britain at the centre of a network of free trade agreements.

Major Japanese investors in the UK such as Nissan and Hitachi would benefit from reduced tariffs on parts coming from Japan and streamlined regulatory procedures, the UK's trade department statement said.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said Brexit gives Britain the freedom to strike trade deals with other countries around the world.

Business leaders welcomed the agreement, but stressed that securing a deal with the EU remained the most important goal.

The director general of the British Chambers of Commerce, Adam Marshall, called the announcement a milestone, but added: "Whilst this agreement is undoubtedly cause for celebration, securing a Free Trade Agreement with the EU remains critical to the future of businesses in the UK.

"We urge ministers to redouble their efforts to reach a comprehensive partnership with our largest trading partner at a crucial time in the negotiations."

The CBI also hailed the agreement, with director general Carolyn Fairbairn saying this "breakthrough moment" can be the first of many.

"It's a huge opportunity to secure new Japanese investment across a wider range of sectors and UK regions," she said.

A small step

You can almost hear the sighs of relief echoing around Westminster and within the business community.

After weeks of wrangling, the first deal of the Brexit era has been struck, which ensures that 99% of British goods can enter Japan without tariffs, or extra charges.

But ultimately, this deal largely mirrors the agreement which already exists between the EU and Japan. And with trade with Japan accounting for just 2% of the UK's total, the expected boost to GDP of 0.07% over the long term is a tiny fraction of what might be lost from leaving the EU.

And there is good reason for Japan cooperating to ensure this deal was secured in record time. It stands to get the lions share, 80%, of the total estimated £15bn boost to trade for both countries.

Even then, the talks haven't been as speedy or straightforward as initially hoped - which may not bode well for negotiations elsewhere.

About 99% of exports between the two nations will be tariff-free under the deal, with a particular focus on the food and drink, finance and tech sectors.

Manufacturing parts coming from Japan will benefit from reduced tariffs, as will British pork, beef and salmon travelling in the opposite direction.

Japan's Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi said: "It was a very tough negotiation, but we reached the agreement in principle in about three months, at an unusually fast pace.

"While maintaining the high levels of access to the British market under the Japan-EU EPA, we improved our access to the British market on train cars and some auto parts."

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2020-09-11 11:15:00Z
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