Senin, 03 Juli 2023

Meet the New Conservatives giving Rishi Sunak a migration headache - POLITICO Europe

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LONDON — Watch out Rishi Sunak, there’s a new right-wing Tory pressure group in town.

The New Conservatives — a group of 25 MPs from the 2017 and 2019 parliamentary intakes — launched Monday with a headline-grabbing call for the Tory prime minister to do more to cut migration.

They’re urging Sunak — already under pressure over the issue — to focus on meeting his predecessor-but-one Boris Johnson’s 2019 manifesto pledge to get net numbers to below 226,000. So who are the New Conservatives? And what exactly do they want?

The new group is run by Danny Kruger, a former aide to Johnson, and Miriam Cates, a backer of Home Secretary Suella Braverman when she ran for the Tory leadership last year.

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Other members of the group include backbenchers Tom Hunt, Jonathan Gullis, Gareth Bacon, Duncan Kaker, Paul Bristow, Brendan Clarke-Smith, James Daly, Anna Firth, Nick Fletcher, Chris Green, Eddie Hughes, Mark Jenkinson, Andrew Lewer, Marco Longhi, Robin Millar, and Lia Nici.

Lee Anderson, the pugnacious former Labour aide turned Tory deputy chairman, was conspicuously absent from the event — and all literature — despite being part of the group and billed to speak right up until late last night. Stand-in Kruger insisted “he’s unwell in bed” but also “doesn’t officially endorse policy proposals” due to his party role.

Eagle-eyed readers will note that this list does not tot up to the advertised 25.

When asked about this at the press conference, Hunt said there were a “wide group of MPs who are supportive of our work,” but that those listed are the ones specifically endorsing the migration policies presented today.

So what do they want?

Cates kicked off the group’s launch event in Westminster by making it pretty clear that the group’s immediate focus is on migration — though there’s clearly plenty more to come.

Her message to Sunak? “The choice is this: cut immigration, keep our promise to voters, and restore democratic, cultural and economic security, or kick the can down the road, lose the next election, and resign ourselves to a low growth, low-wage, labor-intensive service economy with a population forecast to rise by another 20 million in the next 25 years.”

The New Conservatives outlined a 12-point-plan Monday that they claim will do just that. But some of its key recommendations are likely to prove contentious.

Perhaps the most headline-grabbing point is a call to scrap Health and Care Visas, launched to fill gaps in the health and social care sector with overseas workers. The group says this will cut the number of new visas issued by 117,000 and reduce long-term international migration by 82,000.

MP James Daly told journalists on Monday that he’s “depressed” by questions of rivalry, rejecting the notion that they’re here to cause trouble for PM Rishi Sunak | UK Parliament

But big questions remain over exactly how the resultant gaps in the health and social care workforce would be filled with British recruits. UNISON general secretary Christina McAnea said the government has “done nothing to solve the growing crisis in care. Now a group of its MPs want ministers to make things a whole lot worse.”

Beyond that pledge, the New Conservatives also want to reserve university study visas for only the “brightest” international students; stop overseas graduates staying for up to two years in the U.K. without a job; and place stricter limits on social housing being allocated to migrants.

They also want to “rapidly implement” the government’s Illegal Migration Bill, which — given its mauling in the House of Lords Monday — may be a tough ask.

Are they rivals to Rishi?

The group sternly rejects the notion that they’re here to cause trouble for the prime minister, with Daly telling assembled journalists Monday that he’s “depressed” by questions of rivalry.

Just to hammer the point home, Daly added that “every single person here today supports the prime minister.”

But they’re undoubtedly a thorn in Sunak’s side as the next election looms.

The prime minister’s official spokesperson insisted Monday that the government’s plans on migration don’t need toughening up. “We have to strike the right balance between tackling net migration and taking the people we need,” the spokesperson said, adding “we believe they strike the right balance currently. We keep our migration policies under review.”

Is this just about migration?

So far — but expect to hear plenty more from the group in the coming months.

Speaking to POLITICO, Hunt said he sees the group focusing on three main issues: migration; law and order; and what they see as the threat to Britain from “woke” ideas.

Hunt stressed that he wants the outfit to be “dipping their toes” into anti-woke issues “generally as a push-back, rather than waking up every morning and thinking ‘right, what’s our next big culture war wedge issue?'” So expect some anti-woke seasoning sprinkled on the New Conservatives’ main course.

Hunt says he’s animated by what he sees as “wokeness” in schools, and a preponderance of “self-loathing in this country.”

“I get concerned when I see the odd poll that says the majority of 18-25-year-olds see Churchill as a villain rather than a hero,” he said. That doesn’t mean the group will call for Britain to start “glossing over the past and saying we’ve always got it right,” he added — but recognizing that “in a struggle of Russia and China, we’re a damn sight better than them.”

MP Danny Kruger co-leads the New Conservatives — a group of 25 MPs from the 2017 and 2019 parliamentary intakes | UK Parliament

So will this agenda help the Tories win in 2024 — or recover afterwards?

Polls suggest the Tories are on course to lose the next election, and badly. The New Conservatives want their ideas featured in the 2024 election manifesto, and believe they have the agenda to connect with working-class voters in the so-called Red Wall seats Johnson snatched from Labour in 2019 and which now look vulnerable.

Cates told the audience gathered in Westminster Monday that: “We want to win, of course we do, but it’s more than that. It’s because we believe that we still have, despite everything, the best chance of delivering for the British people.” She said of the party’s 2019 platform: “The demand for that offer is still there. We want to fulfill it.”

Not all Tories are convinced. Conservative commentator John Oxley argued that the New Conservatives’ impact may be short-lived.

It is, he said, “dominated by the sort of 2019, Red Wall MPs who are very likely to lose their seats next time around. They may be trying to sway the manifesto in a way that helps them, or mark themselves out as immigration hardliners to try and buck the national trend, but it seems unlikely to have much sway with Rishi Sunak.”

And he warned: “Equally, it seems unlikely this group will have much impact on the future of the Conservative Party, as so many of them will be out of parliament when that discussion begins after the election.”

Dan Bloom contributed reporting.

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2023-07-03 17:45:32Z
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Tory MPs issue plan for Rishi Sunak to slash migration - BBC

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A group of Tory MPs is calling on Prime Minister Rishi Sunak to drastically cut migration, warning the failure to do so "risks eroding public trust".

The New Conservatives have issued a 12-point plan to cut net migration by about 400,000 before the next election.

The group of MPs recommend closing visa schemes for care workers, increasing salary thresholds, and capping refugee numbers.

But critics say the proposals would have consequences for the UK economy.

Mr Sunak's official spokesman said the government believes it is "striking the right balance between keeping migration as low as possible while providing staff for key areas".

The UK's overall population grew by more than 600,000 people last year, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics.

The ONS said the rise was largely driven by more people from outside the EU arriving on student and work visas, and refugees fleeing conflict and persecution in Ukraine and Hong Kong.

The sharp increase represents a huge political challenge for Mr Sunak and the Conservatives, who have repeatedly promised to reduce net migration since taking power in 2010.

The party's 2019 manifesto committed to getting the number down, without setting a specific target, while former Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron once pledged to bring net migration below 100,000.

In a report launched on Monday, the New Conservatives say the British public "did not vote for mass migration and the social and economic harms it brings".

"Without swift action to get migration under control, the Conservative Party will further erode the trust of hundreds of thousands of voters who lent the party their vote in 2019," the report says.

The report was written by Tory MP Tom Hunt and backed by a group of like-minded Conservatives, including the party's deputy chairman, Lee Anderson, Miriam Cates and James Daly.

At the report's launch, Mr Hunt, Ms Cates and Mr Daly insisted they were loyal to the prime minister, but felt his government could go further on cutting immigration.

One of the report's main recommendations is closing temporary schemes that grant eligibility for worker visas to care workers.

The report says this policy will reduce visas granted by 117,000, leading to a reduction in long-term inward migration to the UK of 82,000.

Part of this proposed policy involves only allowing in skilled workers who earn £38,000 a year or more.

A report by the Skills for Care charity said the number of vacancies in social care was at its highest rate on record, with 165,000 unfilled posts in 2021-22.

Sam Monaghan, chief executive at Methodist Homes, said not being able to recruit carers from overseas would put more pressure on the sector.

"Cutting off a key supply of care workers at a time when 500,000 people nationwide are waiting for care is not the answer," Mr Monaghan said.

Mr Sunak's official spokesman said the government was not planning to remove care workers from the shortage occupation list.

The government was "using the flexibility we have through our migration system to ensure we have sufficient staff in key areas" and "looking to boost the numbers of domestic care staff that are available", Downing Street said.

Chart showing migration adds record numbers to UK population in 2022
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Ms Cates told the BBC the UK needed to cut off the supply of cheap foreign Labour and encourage from British people to fill jobs in the care sector.

She said scrapping temporary visa schemes for care workers would force "employers to look at recruiting local young people".

"We are never ever going to make that possible unless we close the immigration route first," the Tory MP said.

But fellow Tory MP Tim Loughton said while the principle of reducing met migration was right, there was a shortage of care workers in the UK.

"It's not as simple as just putting the salary thresholds up as well," he said. "There's quite a lot of skilled but lower paid people that we need coming into this country."

Some of the report's other proposals include:

  • Tightening restrictions on student visas to stop graduates staying in the UK for longer than two years without a job offer
  • Capping the number of refugees legally accepted for resettlement in the UK at 20,000
  • A 5% cap on the amount of social housing that councils can give to non-UK nationals
  • Raising the health surcharge that an individual immigrant would pay to use the NHS to £2,700 per person, per year

Madeleine Sumption, director of the Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford, said "trying to predict the impact of individual policy changes on migration is very hard".

"Even the most fastidious attempts to model the impacts of policy on numbers - and this isn't one of them - will usually be wrong," she said.

She said immigration policy was a "political choice" and there was "no reason the UK couldn't choose to be more restrictive".

But she said the report does not "engage with any of the trade-offs that more restrictive measures involve".

"For example, one of the reasons demand for care workers has been so high is limited public funding in the care system," Ms Sumption said.

"International students have been a growing source of revenue for universities, so proposals that would reduce student numbers cannot be considered in isolation from the funding of higher education."

She said some of the proposals in the report were "a bit outlandish".

"Net migration is expected to decline anyway over the coming years even without policy changes," she added. "However, if they want more significant restrictions it requires an honest conversation about the wider consequences and how to mitigate them."

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2023-07-03 14:09:19Z
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UK weather: hottest June since records began - Met Office - BBC

A person drinks water during hot weatherPA Media

The UK had the hottest June on record, the Met Office has confirmed.

The average monthly temperature of 15.8C (60.4F) exceeded the previous highest average June temperature, recorded in 1940 and 1976, by 0.9C.

Climate change made the chance of surpassing the previous joint record at least twice as likely, scientists also said.

Records were broken in 72 of the 97 areas in the UK from which temperature data is collected.

As well as the overall UK June record, England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland each recorded their warmest June since the Met Office started collecting the data in 1884.

Chart showing temperatures recorded in June since 1890

"It's officially the hottest June on record for the UK, for mean temperature as well as average maximum and minimum temperature," said Met Office's Climate Science Manager Mark McCarthy.

"An increase of 0.9C may not seem a huge amount, but it's really significant because it has taken the average daytime and the night time temperature for the whole of the UK," Paul Davies, Met Office chief meteorologist and climate extremes principal fellow, told BBC News.

"That's significant in a warming climate and because of the consequential impacts on society," he added.

He also said that while the UK recorded a higher one-off temperature of 40.3C last summer, the difference last month was the sustained heat both day and night.

The west of the UK was often hotter than the east, which had increased cloud levels suppressing daytime temperatures, the Met Office said.

Map showing temperature records broken in UK in June

Rain was also in short supply for much of the month, with just 68% of the average June rainfall.

Wales was particularly dry, with just over half of its average monthly rainfall.

The Met Office used a supercomputer to analyse the temperatures and identify the fingerprint of climate change on the weather.

"We found that the chance of observing a June beating the previous joint 1940/1976 record of 14.9°C has at least doubled since the 1940s," explains Mr Davies.

"Alongside natural variability, the background warming of the Earth's atmosphere due to human-induced climate change has driven up the possibility of reaching record-high temperatures," he added.

Climate change is driving extreme weather events around the world.

The world has warmed by about 1.1C since the industrial revolution about 200 years ago.

Greenhouse gases have been pumped into the atmosphere by activities such as burning fuels, which have heated up the Earth's atmosphere.

Last year the UK recorded temperatures above 40C for the first time. Scientists said that would have been "virtually impossible without climate change".

Dr Richard Hodgkins, senior lecturer in physical geography at University of Loughborough says it is notable how the warm weather "fits expectations of a changing climate in the UK".

He said researchers have been predicting patterns where weather appears to get "stuck", which would mean longer heatwaves.

The hot June was "somewhat like a typical weather event for the UK, but stretched out in time much longer than normal," he added.

The dry and warm weather last month affected wildlife and nature with environment groups warning of fish deaths and flowering plants wilting.

Nature is being "pounded by extreme weather without a chance to recover", the Wildlife Trusts told BBC News.

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2023-07-03 16:24:33Z
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RECAP: A50 shut in Stoke-on-Trent after 'serious collision' - Stoke-on-Trent Live

Police closed off part of the A50 in Stoke-on-Trent last night (July 2) following a 'serious collision'. The route was shut off in both directions between Longton and Meir.

Staffordshire Police's collision investigation team was at the scene while National Highways warned the closure was expected to run until the early hours of Monday morning.

A spokesperson for National Highways said last night: "The A50 is closed in both directions - between the A5007 near Longton (east) and A520 near Meir - due to a very serious collision.

"Staffordshire Police are investigating. It is anticipated that this closure will remain in place until the early hours of tomorrow morning.

"Delays are likely on the approach to this closure, with additional journey times also expected on diversion routes. Traffic is being diverted via local routes."

A spokesperson for Staffordshire Police said: "Drivers are advised to avoid the A50 near Stoke this evening. We are responding to a serious collision that has required us to close the eastbound carriageway at the Longton exit and the westbound carriageway at the Normacot exit."

We provided further updates in our blog below.

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2023-07-03 05:11:58Z
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Minggu, 02 Juli 2023

Hottest June kills UK fish and threatens insects - BBC

People in a boat in NottinghamPA Media

The UK's hottest June on record caused unprecedented deaths of fish in rivers and disturbed insects and plants, environment groups have warned.

Nature is being "pounded by extreme weather without a chance to recover", the Wildlife Trusts said.

The Met Office will say later on Monday if the high temperatures were linked to climate change.

People also used more water with demand increasing by 25% at peak times in some areas, said Water UK.

The Met Office said last week that provisional figures for June indicate that both the overall average and the average maximum temperatures were the highest on record.

"The reports of the number of fish death incidents in rivers for this time of year has been unprecedented. I would normally expect rivers to be affected later in the summer when it's hotter and drier," Mark Owen, from the Angling Trust, told BBC News.

In one case, sea trout were found dead on the River Wear in north-east England, he said.

The deaths are partly caused by less oxygen in the water as river levels decrease. Fish also die when dried-up pollutants from cars and lorries on roads wash into rivers during flash storms.

The Environment Agency said it received more reports of dead fish than the same time last year.

Many flowering plants, including orchids, wilted in the high temperatures, meaning insects like bees and butterflies that feed on nectar and pollen will have less to eat, Ali Morse from the Wildlife Trusts told BBC News.

Species with short lifespans are particularly badly affected. Many butterflies are adults for only a short time, and if they cannot access food in that period, it stunts the population.

These impacts are more surprising considering the wet and cold spring and are earlier than last year, Ms Morse added.

"Every month seems to be the hottest, the driest, the wettest, or whichever record-breaking event it is. If we have a one-off pollution event or a wildfire, then there is normally time for nature to bounce back, but now it seems to be continually pounded by extreme weather," she added.

More frequent and more intense periods of warm weather are putting pressure on the UK's environment and water supplies.

As temperatures rise, people also use more water in their homes. Last July and August water companies supplied 1.2 billion litres more water than the same months in 2021, according to Water UK.

People in Devon, Cornwall and parts of the south-east of England are under hosepipe bans.

Water experts say that rivers and reservoirs, which provide much of the UK's drinking water, are in a healthier position than the same time last year.

But the dry weather is likely to have an impact on water supplies and if warm weather continues, those supplies could be depleted quickly.

Water UK is urging homes and businesses to "continue to save water to help safeguard against potential future drought conditions".

People can play their part in helping nature withstand the impacts of extreme heat with small, simple actions, Ms Morse explains.

A bowl of water in a garden or yard can provide water for thirsty hedgehogs, bees and butterflies.

And longer grass is more resilient in hotter weather and gives species a much-needed habitat to live in, so she suggests letting even small areas of lawn grow taller.

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2023-07-03 02:01:21Z
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Orkney exploring Nordic connections as it seeks 'alternative governance' - STV News

Orkney council is set to discuss “alternative forms of governance” with their Nordic neighbours that could lead to the islands’ changing their status in the UK.

Local authority leader James Stockan believes Orkney does not get fair treatment in terms of funding and policy support.

Councillors will look at a motion put forward by Stockan next week, which says the local authority “should investigate its Nordic connections, crown dependencies, and other options”.

His motion states: “Due to historical and contemporary challenges in relation to equitable capital and revenue funding, and policy support across our island communities, Orkney Islands Council should now explore options for alternative models of governance that provide greater fiscal security and economic opportunity for the islands of Orkney.”

The motion has been supported by the council’s depute leader Heather Woodbridge.

A report accompanying the motion said the investigations will be “broad in nature”, adding it would be up to the UK and Scottish governments to implement possible alternative models.

It adds that, in investigating Nordic connections, the council could look at the Faroe Islands, as they are a self-governing territory of Denmark.

It could also look at British overseas territories, like Guernsey, Jersey, the Falkland Islands and the Isle of Man for possible areas of investigation.

The council is unlikely to receive any financial support to pursue alternative governance models, and costs will have to be supported by the council itself.

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2023-07-02 13:53:14Z
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NHS England chief Amanda Pritchard says strike disruption will get worse - BBC

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The head of NHS England has warned that July's planned strikes in the health service could be the worst yet for patients.

Amanda Pritchard said industrial action across the NHS had already caused "significant" disruption - and that patients were paying the price.

This month's consultant strike will bring a "different level of challenge" than previous strikes, she said.

Junior doctors and consultants will strike for a combined seven days.

Ms Pritchard told the BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg programme that the work of consultants - who are striking for the first time in a decade - cannot be covered "in the same way" as junior doctors.

"The hard truth is that it is patients that are paying the price for the fact that all sides have not yet managed to reach a resolution," she said.

Last month, junior doctors in England voted for five days of strikes in mid-July - their longest strike yet.

They will walk out between Thursday 13 July and Tuesday 18 July after rejecting a government pay offer.

A few days after that strike ends, on 20 and 21 July, hospital consultants in England will strike over pay.

Negotiators for consultants and junior doctors have been asking for a 35% pay increase to make up for what they say are 15 years of below-inflation rises - a figure Health Secretary Steve Barclay called unaffordable.

Instead, junior doctors have been offered a 5% rise this year, which was rejected, while there has been no offer so far for consultants.

Consultants are also calling for reforms to the doctors' pay review body to ensure the issue is "fixed for the future". Mr Barclay told Laura Kuenssberg he is "ready to have discussions" on other issues, such as how consultants' pay progresses over time.

Steve Barclay

"There's things we're open to discussing, but we need to get the balance right," he said.

The health service has been plagued by strike action throughout this year, with doctors, nurses, ambulance workers, porters and others walking out in disputes, mainly over pay.

A breakthrough came in May, when unions representing all NHS staff except doctors and dentists backed a deal to receive a 5% pay rise.

However, junior doctors and hospital consultants have still not reached an agreement with the government.

Health is a devolved issue, meaning this only relates to the NHS in England.

Ms Pritchard acknowledged that it would be several years before the situation in the health sector returned to anything like good enough, and stressed that the service was doing all it could to bring waiting lists down.

NHS England says more than 600,000 appointments have been cancelled in previous strikes. The ongoing failure of the government and some of the medical unions to find agreement is only going to crank the pressure up still further.

Ms Pritchard called for the industrial action to be brought to an end as soon as possible, saying it cannot become "business as usual in the NHS".

She also discussed NHS England's new 15-year workforce plan, which she introduced alongside Prime Minister Rishi Sunak earlier this week.

The NHS currently has one out of every 10 posts unfilled, creating major pressure on staff and leading to long waiting times for patients.

The new plan is focused on training and retaining more staff. Ms Pritchard said the plan is not an "overnight" fix , but that it is part of efforts to "treat people as quickly as possible, without delay".

Also on the show was former Conservative health minister Lord Bethell who described the current approach to treatment in the NHS as "rationing".

"If someone has a need for an operation and you simply don't have the resources to give them what they need then you are going beyond the important protocols of allocating scarce resources in the best way possible and you are being defined by the amount of resources that you have available," he said.

"I think that there is a difference between reasonable allocation of resources and making tough decision which is part of every day life, and having to cope with a system as overwhelmed with illness."

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2023-07-02 13:47:53Z
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