Autumn Statement: Tax rises and spending cuts are fair, chancellor says - BBC

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By Joshua Nevett

BBC Politics

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has announced deep spending cuts and tax rises in an autumn statement he said was "fair" and would restore market confidence shaken by his predecessor's mini-budget.

He said about half of his £55bn "plan for stability" would come from tax rises, and the rest from spending cuts.

Mr Hunt said the UK was "now in recession" but insisted his plan would mean a "shallower downturn".

He said "difficult decisions" were necessary to "rebuild our economy".

The Office for Budget Responsibility's forecasts painted a bleak picture, with the UK economy predicted to shrink by 1.4% next year.

Responding to Mr Hunt, Labour's shadow chancellor, Rachel Reeves, said the UK was being held back by "12 years of Conservative economic failure".

"Never again can the Conservatives be seen as the party of economic competence," she said.

• Follow live as Hunt unveils his autumn statement
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In a statement to MPs lasting just under an hour, the chancellor said income tax thresholds would be frozen until April 2028, which means millions of people will pay more tax.

"I have tried to be fair by following two broad principles: firstly, we ask those with more to contribute more; and secondly, we avoid the tax rises that most damage growth," he said.

'Picked pockets'

On public spending, he said department budgets would face real-terms cuts because of inflation and pressure on public sector wages.

Mr Hunt told MPs "this is a balanced path to stability: tackling the inflation to reduce the cost of living and protect pensioner savings whilst supporting the economy on a path to sustainable growth".

Labour's shadow chancellor said by freezing tax thresholds, the Conservatives "have picked the pockets of purses and wallets of the entire country".

In other key measures announced by Mr Hunt:

• The household energy price cap has been extended for one year beyond April but made less generous, with typical bills capped at £3,000 a year instead of £2,500
• There will be additional cost-of-living payments for the "most vulnerable", with £900 for those on benefits, and £300 for pensioners
• The top 45% additional rate of income tax will be paid on earnings over £125,140, instead of £150,000
• UK minimum wage for people over 23 to increase from £9.50 to £10.42 an hour
• The windfall tax on oil and gas firms will increase from 25% to 35%, raising £55bn from this year until 2028

The autumn statement is a crucial test of confidence in Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, whose ruling Conservative Party is lagging far behind Labour in the opinion polls.

It comes 55 days after Mr Hunt's predecessor, Kwasi Kwarteng, touted a "new era for Britain", unveiling the biggest package of tax cuts in decades.

Austerity policies?

The so-called mini-budget included about £45bn of unfunded tax cuts and was followed by days of market turbulence, a fall in the value of the pound and rising UK government borrowing costs.

In his statement, Mr Hunt said: "I understand the motivation of my predecessor's mini-budget and he was correct to identify growth as a priority. But unfunded tax cuts are as risky as unfunded spending."

Labour's shadow chancellor said Mr Hunt's autumn statement was an "invoice for the economic carnage" the Conservative government had created.

The government has been keen to stress that Mr Hunt's statement does not amount to a return to the austerity policies of the Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition government, in office between 2010 and 2015.

The balance of spending cuts to tax rises announced by Mr Hunt is more even than the 80% to 20% ratio under the coalition government.

Mr Sunak's government argues the measures are needed to fill a so-called fiscal black hole - the gap between what the government raises and spends.

But some economists have questioned the need for spending cuts and tax rises on this scale and say the decisions being made are political.

Facing down those critics, Mr Hunt said "you don't need to choose either a strong economy or good public services", adding "only the Conservatives you get both".

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2022-11-17 12:35:11Z
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Autumn Statement live updates: What to look for in Jeremy Hunt's fiscal plan - Financial Times

UK chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s Autumn Statement will be the government’s first fiscal announcement under Rishi Sunak’s premiership.

Hunt, chancellor since October 14, has scrapped almost all the measures outlined by his predecessor Kwasi Kwarteng, who was sacked after 38 days in the job.

The past 12 months have seen several budgetary announcements under three prime ministers and four chancellors:

Autumn 2021

Prime minister: Boris Johnson; chancellor: Rishi Sunak

Sunak introduced his third Budget as a gateway towards a post-coronavirus economy. He pledged to pump more money into public services to help a post-pandemic recovery. His statement outlined plans to raise taxes to their highest in more than 70 years, including a rise in corporation tax.

March 2022

Prime minister: Boris Johnson; chancellor: Rishi Sunak

Rishi Sunak unveiled tax-cutting measures in his Spring Statement, his last as chancellor, which was delivered against a backdrop of rising inflation in the month that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Sunak maintained a planned 1.25 percentage-point rise in national insurance contributions but increased the minimum threshold by £3,000. He aimed to cut the basic rate of income tax by 1 percentage point to 19 per cent in 2024 and proposed to cut fuel duty by 5p a litre.

September 23

Prime minister: Liz Truss; chancellor: Kwasi Kwarteng

Kwasi Kwarteng revealed the biggest tax cuts for 50 years in his fiscal statement, hailing his £45bn debt-financed “mini” Budget as the beginning of a “new era” of economic growth.

Kwarteng proposed ending the 45p additional income tax rate for the highest earners, reducing the basic rate from 20p in the pound to 19p, lowering stamp duty, national insurance and taxes on dividends, and instituting a levy on house purchases.

He planned to scrap a proposed corporate tax rise and keep it at 19 per cent while maintaining the 8 per cent charge on bank profits, which had been set to be reduced next year.

But markets went into a tailspin after the announcement, and sterling tumbled to a record low against the dollar. Borrowing costs surged and pension funds came under pressure. The Bank of England intervened.

The fiscal announcement led to his downfall — he was soon sacked as chancellor — and Liz Truss followed by quitting as prime minister. Her tenure had lasted 45 days.

September 28

Prime minister: Liz Truss; chancellor: Kwasi Kwarteng

The Bank of England launched a £65bn emergency government bond-buying programme to stem a debt crisis and protect pension funds threatened by insolvency after gilt yields soared.

The central bank warned of a “material risk to UK financial stability” from turmoil in the gilts market.

October 17

Prime minister: Liz Truss; chancellor: Jeremy Hunt

Three days into his chancellorship, Hunt ripped up two-thirds of Kwarteng’s mini-Budget measures and warned of “eye-wateringly difficult” decisions. Truss had already axed tax cuts for big business and the wealthy.

Hunt scrapped a £6bn cut in the basic rate of income tax, along with changes to dividend taxes, a VAT tax break for foreign shoppers and a freeze on alcohol duty.

The chancellor curtailed Truss’s scheme to cap British households’ annual energy bills at £2,500 on average for two years, saying it would end after six months.

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2022-11-17 10:34:55Z
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Awaab Ishak: Toddler's mould death unacceptable, says Michael Gove - BBC

Family handout

The death of a toddler after he faced months of living with mould in his home is an "unacceptable tragedy", Housing Secretary Michael Gove has said.

Awaab Ishak, two, died of a respiratory condition caused by exposure to the mould in his flat, a coroner ruled.

Awaab's father repeatedly raised the issue with Rochdale Boroughwide Housing (RBH) but no action was ever taken.

Mr Gove said it "beggars belief" that RBH's chief executive Gareth Swarbrick was still in his £185,000-a-year job.

Coroner Joanne Kearsley criticised RBH for not being "proactive" and asked: "How in the UK in 2020 does a two-year-old child die as a result of exposure to mould?"

Greater Manchester Police

Awaab died in December 2020 following a cardiac arrest after living in the damp one-bedroom flat in Rochdale, Greater Manchester.

His father Faisal Abdullah had complained about the mould but said the family had been "left feeling absolutely worthless at the hands of RBH".

Mr Gove said local authorities and housing associations could not blame a lack of government funding for the child's death.

'Do your job, man'

"We all know that local authorities are facing challenging times when it comes to finance but, frankly, that is no excuse," said Mr Gove.

"When you have got a situation where you have a young child in a house that is unfit for human habitation, it is a basic responsibility of the local authority - but particularly the housing association - to make sure that people are in decent homes.

"All this what-aboutery, all this 'Oh, if only we had more government money' - do your job, man."

Mr Gove said he had summoned the head of the housing association, who earned £170,000 in the year of Awaab's death, to the Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities.

RBH's financial reports show Mr Swarbrick's pay increased to £185,000 the year after Awaab's death.

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The minister said the government was bringing forward legislation to ensure housing associations responsible for providing social housing are "held to account".

Mr Swarbrick said Awaab's death should be a "wake-up call for everyone in housing, social care and health".

He said: "We didn't recognise the level of risk to a little boy's health from the mould in the family's home."

The housing boss added: "We must make sure this can never happen again."

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2022-11-16 09:20:34Z
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Cost of living: Local supermarket boom as inflation jumps - BBC

By Sarah Dickins & Gareth Pennant

BBC Wales economics correspondent

A Welsh supermarket chain has revealed the cost of living crisis has led to a boom in business.

It comes as latest inflation figures show that prices rose by 11.1% in the year to October - a 41-year high.

CK Foodstores said the rising cost of petrol meant customers were shopping locally more in a bid to save cash.

"I thought people are struggling, prices are going up, for everything, but for us it's better," said Melanie Jenkins, who manages one of the stores.

Inflation, which measures how the cost of living changes over time, is being largely driven driven by higher energy bills.

• Second energy payment welcomed by Cardiff residents
• How much are prices rising for you? Try our calculator
• LIVE: Latest inflation figures to reveal how fast prices rising

The latest inflation figure, released on Wednesday by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) is the highest since October 1981.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt said the government would set out its plans on Thursday to help bring inflation under control.

He blamed "the aftershock of Covid and Putin's invasion of Ukraine" for driving up inflation in the UK and around the world.

Mr Hunt said that he would have to take "tough but necessary decisions" on tax and spending to bring down debt and support sustainable growth while protecting the most vulnerable.

The company said it was selling more, despite prices in September being 10.1% higher than a year earlier.

For months prices have been rising at the fastest rate in 40 years, with the steepest rises for food and energy.

CK Foodstores, which has 33 stores in Wales, buys from wholesalers and as locally as possible to keep down transport costs. It says customers are doing the same.

Getty Images

Carmarthenshire's Pontyberem store manager Melanie Jenkins said: "Our takings are up because a lot of local people would rather shop locally than drive to Llanelli or Carmarthen to buy from the big stores because it's costing them more petrol."

She believed more people were also applying for local jobs to save on petrol.

"All our staff here live locally," she said.

"I only live two minutes down the road and it's not costing me petrol as it would if I worked in Llanelli."

CK Foodstores employ 657 staff and as energy and transport costs have risen it has changed the way it operates.

It has developed a centralised bakery in Llanelli but in the last year it has seen the price of flour rise 35%, milk by a similar amount and eggs 20%.

It has tried to use less diesel by buying locally.

Operations director Alun Littlejohns said: "We are lucky we can work with our supply chains here in west Wales, we can work with local suppliers who want to develop their brands".

He said customers were not spending less but they were more aware of food mileage and waste.

In the St Elli shopping centre, in Llanelli, Carmarthenshire, there is less confidence.

Juliet Campbell, of Bradleys Coffee Shop, said customers were eating teacake instead of sandwiches and drinking smaller coffees.

"We're not going to make much of a profit or any profit over the next couple of months," she said.

She said she was worried as she did not want to have to cut staff.

"We are walking a fine line as we are," she said.

Customer Laura Birkett is worried her fixed rate mortgage will rise.

"I don't have any money to put aside because its all going on bills and things," said Ms Birkett, who works in an estate agent.

"I'm trying not to spend so much in my lunch breaks, trying to bring my own food but you can't do much about it because it's everywhere."

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2022-11-16 07:31:30Z
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Rishi Sunak softens UK stance towards China - Financial Times

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has softened the UK’s attitude towards China, moving away from his predecessor Liz Truss’s decision to label the country a “threat”.

As chancellor, Sunak sought to deepen economic ties between the two countries by proposing the resumption of the UK-China Economic and Financial Dialogue, an annual trade and investment summit that last took place in 2019. The proposed event was later cancelled.

Since he became prime minister, Sunak has sought a more pragmatic approach to foreign policy than Truss, with a focus on strengthening trading and economic ties rather than a primarily values-based approach.

Speaking at the G20 summit of world leaders in Indonesia, Sunak said China “unequivocally” posed a “systemic challenge” to the UK’s values and interests, adding that it was “undoubtedly the biggest state-based threat to our economic security”.

But unlike Truss, Sunak said he still wanted to have a working relationship with China, describing it as “an indisputable fact of the global economy”.

He added, “We’re not going to be able to resolve shared global challenges like climate change or public health, or indeed actually dealing with Russia and Ukraine, without having a dialogue with them.”

Sunak said the UK would still look to defend itself against China’s economic threats. “That’s why it’s important that we take the powers that we need to defend ourselves . . . the National Security Investment Act is a good example of that,” he added.

The prime minister said his position was “highly aligned with our allies”, noting recent national security strategies from the US and Australia that adopted similar rhetoric.

But he left open the possibility of meeting China’s president Xi Jinping in Bali, saying: “President Xi is here and like all the other leaders; hopefully, I will have a chance to talk to him too.”

Truss, who beat Sunak in this summer’s Conservative party leadership race, had adopted a more hostile stance on China, seeking to designate it as a “threat” — an upgrade from Boris Johnson’s classification of a “systemic competitor”.

Truss ordered a rewrite of the UK’s integrated review of security and defence policy, led by Downing Street’s chief foreign policy adviser Professor John Bew. The review is continuing under Sunak but is likely to take a stance on China that falls between those of Johnson and Truss.

Sunak did not deny that the UK could arm Taiwan if it faced further aggression from China in future, saying: “We’re considering all these things as part of the refresh of the integrated review.”

On Taiwan, he added: “There should be no unilateral change to the status and there should be a peaceful resolution to that situation. We stand ready to support Taiwan as we do in standing up to Chinese aggression.”

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2022-11-15 10:30:00Z
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What do we know will be in the Autumn Statement? - BBC

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By Nick Eardley & Helen Catt & Leila Nathoo

BBC political correspondents

The Chancellor is putting the finishing touches to the government's second financial package in under two months.

Jeremy Hunt is expected to dismantle much of what his predecessor Kwasi Kwarteng announced in his mini-budget on 23 September.

On Thursday, Mr Hunt will unveil his Autumn Statement - a Budget in all but name - to "get our way back to growing healthily", as he puts it.

• Economists question 'black hole' in UK finances
• Six ways the Autumn Statement could affect you
• Where will the 'eye-watering' cuts be?
• Can Hunt's Budget defuse a financial timebomb?

The Treasury say nothing confirmed until the statement is announced. But we do know some of what is likely to be announced.

Spending cuts v tax rises

After the uncertainty of the last few weeks, Mr Hunt said he wants to reduce the size of the so-called fiscal black hole - the gap between what the government raises and spends. This will involve political choices about how much debt is acceptable, what taxes can go up and what spending can be squeezed.

The exact level of spending cuts and tax increase changes based on different decisions being signed off. But the accepted wisdom in the Treasury is that there will be more spending cuts than tax rises. This is likely to mean spending cuts of about £35bn and tax rises of around £20bn.

The Treasury is trying to emphasise this is quite different from the George Osborne era, when the vast majority of savings came through spending cuts.

But a number of Conservative MPs are unhappy at the tax increases we are likely to see - so there could be some political pushback ahead.

Stealth taxes

This could be a big theme of the Autumn Statement. Stealth taxes involve freezing the thresholds at which people start paying different rates of tax.

For the last few weeks, the Treasury has been discussing a wide range of tax thresholds which could be frozen. But because of inflation and pay increases, this involves people paying more tax because more of their money qualifies for a given tax band.

The final plans are still be signed off, but the signs are that this could be used pretty widely. Income tax bands are likely to be frozen until 2028 - it's also likely that threshold at which people start paying the 45p tax rate could be reduced to £125,000. That's quite a turnaround from the days of Liz Truss and Mr Kwarteng wanted to scrap the additional rate altogether.

Energy bills

Ms Truss had planned a massive support package when she was in Downing Street; limiting the average unit price for two years. This "energy price guarantee" meant that typical households would pay no more than £2,500 on gas and electricity annually.

That is not going to happen under Rishi Sunak, because the government is worried about the cost. Instead there will be a more targeted approach from April.

It's expected the chancellor will still announce a cap of some sort on Thursday, but it will mean bills going up for a lot of people. There is likely to be support for certain groups like those on low incomes and pensioners.

Windfall tax

Rishi Sunak introduced the Windfall Tax on the profits of oil and gas companies when he was chancellor. But ever since, there have been calls for it to be extended, both in timescale and scope.

This is another revenue raiser which looks likely, the question is how. Treasury officials have been exploring increasing the rate of the tax to 35%, extending the time frame the windfall tax applies for and bringing electricity generators into the scope.

Labour wants loopholes closed. At the moment, if oil and gas companies can offset their tax liability if they invest profits in the UK. There was controversy when it emerged Shell had not been liable for any Windfall Tax, despite reported profits of £25.4bn ($30bn) this year - more than double the amount it made over same period in 2021.

Getty Images

Social care

Remember the health and social care levy? It was Boris Johnson's plan to try and cap the amount of money people in England paid for social care.

But it was a tax rise that Conservative members didn't like - and Ms Truss scrapped it. Rishi Sunak isn't going to open that can of worms again, so the money it would have raised has gone, leaving big questions over how a cap would be funded.

It is expected that on Thursday, the chancellor will postpone the introduction of the social care cap for at least two year - roughly the period covered by the spending review. That would kick the decision until after a general election and opens the door to the cap being scrapped altogether.

Triple lock and benefits

This is one of the biggest spending decisions the Treasury has been weighing up. Should pensions and benefits go up by the rate of inflation, despite the rate being extremely high at the moment?

Nobody in government will confirm this, but the mood music is both are likely to happen.

The government committed to the pensions triple lock in its manifesto, something which the prime minister has talked a lot about. The triple lock is popular with Conservative voters. And if the prime minister decided not to follow it, he would risk a rebellion among Tory MPs.

The same is true on benefits. Ms Truss faced a lot of pressure to commit to uprating benefits in line with inflation. Among those pressing her were some senior MPs who are now in Mr Sunak's cabinet, including Michael Gove and Mel Stride.

And it was Mr Sunak as chancellor who promised earlier this year the benefits increase would be in line with inflation. He would face a lot of political flack if he changed his mind, despite the changing economic picture.

Council Tax

One of the taxes which is likely to go up soon is council tax in England.

The government currently limits the amount councils can increase the tax to 3% without a referendum to approve bigger hikes.

But the Treasury has been discussing ways that limit could be increased. It wouldn't mean councils can put tax up by as much as they want without asking voters, but it would mean they can increase it by more. We don't know exactly how much the increase will be, but there has been speculation the limit could go up to 5%.

This is a way of increasing funding for public services and social care without the government directly raising taxes. But it would increase pressure on household budgets. The Tory manifesto in 2019 said local people would continue to have the final say on council tax, being able to veto "excessive rises".

Capital Gains Tax

When it comes to tax rises, we're told the chancellor is of the view that the greatest burden should fall on those with the broadest shoulders.

We'll have to see how that pans out but Capital Gains Tax is one levy that looks very likely to be targeted. The tax is paid on the profit gained when an asset is sold - a second home or shares, for instance.

It is not clear yet if it would be an overall rise in the rate - something one source believed to be unlikely - or another change to thresholds or exemptions.

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2022-11-15 09:11:24Z
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Edinburgh's War Memorial set on fire by vandals - BBC

City of Edinburgh Council

By Angie Brown

BBC Scotland, Edinburgh and East reporter

Edinburgh's War Memorial has been set on fire - less than 24 hours after Remembrance Sunday services were held.

Several wreathes were completely burnt in the fire and Edinburgh's Stone of Remembrance blackened with soot.

Edinburgh's Lord Provost said it was "disgusting and disrespectful".

The Army major who runs the team that makes the poppies and wreathes said he was "horrified" by the act of vandalism outside the City Chambers building in the Royal Mile.

Major Charlie Pelling, factory manager of the Lady Haig Poppy Factory in Redford Barracks in Edinburgh, told BBC Scotland: "This is deeply insulting to the memory of the men and women the memorial is meant to remember. I'm absolutely horrified."

First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said it was "utterly beyond comprehension".

She said it was "sickening and disgraceful" that someone would vandalise a war memorial.

She said: "I hope those responsible are identified and brought to justice."

City of Edinburgh Coucnil

It is understood CCTV in the area is now being checked and witnesses are being urged to come forward.

Lord Provost Robert Aldridge said: "Yesterday it was my honour to lay a wreath on behalf of the City of Edinburgh to remember those who served and sacrificed so much.

"The vandalism discovered this morning not only to the recently laid wreaths but also Edinburgh's Stone of Remembrance is disgusting and disrespectful.

"We remain at a loss for the reasons someone could do something like this which has caused a lot of upset for everyone who respects the memories of all who serve their country. We have reported this to the police and would urge anyone who knows anything about what happened to contact them."

Ex-servicemen and women make the wreathes.

Money raised from selling poppies helps support vulnerable ex-servicemen and women - and their families.

Police Scotland confirmed they were investigating the incident.

Ch Insp Murray Tait said: "Our inquiries are ongoing after poppy wreaths were set on fire at the war memorial in High Street, Edinburgh about 05:00 on Monday.

"Officers are carrying out inquiries and gathering CCTV footage to find out more information on whoever is responsible.

"I utterly condemn this appalling act of vandalism, especially at this time of year when remembrance services have just been held across the country."

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2022-11-14 14:49:05Z
CBMiQ2h0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmJiYy5jby51ay9uZXdzL3VrLXNjb3RsYW5kLWVkaW5idXJnaC1lYXN0LWZpZmUtNjM2MjQxNDnSAUdodHRwczovL3d3dy5iYmMuY28udWsvbmV3cy91ay1zY290bGFuZC1lZGluYnVyZ2gtZWFzdC1maWZlLTYzNjI0MTQ5LmFtcA