Selasa, 27 September 2022

William promises to improve his Welsh during first visit as prince - The Times

The Prince of Wales admitted that he needs to brush up on his Welsh as he made his first trip to the nation since taking up his new title.

The couple’s visit to Holyhead came as a royal source said that William had “no plans” for an investiture like his father’s at Caernarfon in 1969.

William and the Princess of Wales were given a warm welcome as they visited a lifeboat station where a small boy who had been waiting for four hours to see the couple was plucked from the crowd to give them flowers.

The couple were welcomed at the RNLI station with a bouquet of flowers from a boy aged four

The couple were welcomed at the RNLI station with a bouquet of flowers from a boy aged four

PAUL ELLIS/GETTY IMAGES

Rebecca Crompton, Theo’s mother, said they had been on their way to school when they changed their mind at the last minute to see the couple at the Holyhead

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2022-09-27 15:45:00Z
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Mortgage lenders pull deals due to interest rate rise fears - BBC

A young woman looks at housing options through an estate agents' windowGetty Images

Some mortgage deals have been withdrawn by banks and building societies after a fall in the pound fuelled forecasts of a sharp rise in interest rates.

Virgin Money and Skipton Building Society halted mortgage offers for new customers while Bank of Ireland said it had withdrawn all mortgages.

Halifax said it would stop mortgages with product fees.

The Bank of England said on Monday it would "not hesitate" to hike interest rates after the pound hit record lows.

The pound plunged against the dollar on Monday after comments at the weekend from Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng pledging more tax cuts, on top of Friday's mini-budget when he announced the biggest tax cuts for 50 years. Overnight, the pound stabilised at $1.08 after hitting a record low of $1.03 on Monday.

The mini-budget plans will require a large increase in government borrowing and concerns among investors about the country's ability to meet that debt led to the value of the pound being pushed down while the cost of UK government borrowing also soared.

Former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers tweeted: "I was very pessimistic about the consequences of utterly irresponsible UK policy on Friday. But, I did not expect markets to get so bad so fast."

A weaker pound also makes imports and goods priced in dollars, such as oil, much more costly and risks fuelling price rises at a time when UK inflation is at its highest for 40 years.

The Bank of England said it would make a full assessment as to whether it should change interest rates at its next meeting on 3 November, following speculation it might have intervened earlier.

Following Monday's volatility, financial markets updated predictions and said interest rates could now more than double by next spring to 5.8%, from their current level of 2.25%, to curb inflation - the rate at which prices for consumers rise.

Experts said a rise in the cost of long-term borrowing meant the current cost to mortgage lenders of offering new deals was now more expensive. There are also concerns that would-be borrowers will rush to secure mortgages at favourable rates before interest rates rise and if they do jump, homeowners will not be able to afford higher repayments.

Some 8.3 million people have mortgages in the UK, according to UK Finance, the trade association.

The number of residential mortgages on offer by lenders fell to 3,596 on Tuesday, according to financial information firm Moneyfacts, compared with 3,961 deals on Friday when the mini-budget was announced. It is also a sharp fall from the number available in December last year when the Bank of England started raising interest rates.

Julie-Ann Haines, chief executive at Principality Building Society, said: "As a lender what we need to do is one of two things. Firstly to make sure that customer mortgages are affordable. We have to do that under regulation and we therefore need to stress-test and make sure that if the Bank of England base rates go up that consumers can still afford their mortgage.

"And of course the second thing is banks and building societies have to be able to make a margin and so they have to price that increased financial market view of the interest rates into their products, and that's why you're seeing [mortgage] rates start to really go up quite fast over the past two to three months."

The Bank has already lifted interest rates seven times in a row since December to the highest rate in 14 years.

In August, the Bank scrapped a mortgage affordability rule which required banks and building societies to stress test whether homeowners could cope with a 3% rise in interest rates.

Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said if interest rates rise as predicted, the average household refinancing a two-year fixed rate mortgage in the first half of next year would see monthly payments jump to £1,490 from £863.

"Many simply won't be able to afford this," he said.

Pound v dollar graphic

Virgin Money confirmed a decision to halt deals for new customers was due to the market conditions.

Both Virgin and Skipton Building Society said submitted applications would still be processed. The lenders also said they would issue a new range of mortgage deals in the coming weeks.

Bank of Ireland said it had "withdrawn all residential and buy to let rates" on Monday, adding that it "will launch new ranges as soon as possible".

Halifax said from Wednesday it would remove mortgage products that come with a fee "as a result of significant changes in mortgage market pricing we've seen over recent weeks".

Mortgage deals which have product fees can result in lower monthly repayments for homeowners, with the fee being added to the total mortgage debt.

But although mortgage rates may be lower per month, the overall cost of the loan will be higher due to more interest accruing over time.

Halifax said it had not changed its mortgage rates and it continued to offer product fee-free options for borrowers.

HSBC said it had no plans to change mortgage offers, while NatWest said its rates were under "continual review in line with market conditions". Nationwide said it had not withdrawn any mortgage deals and will "continue to keep the market under review".

TSB declined to comment.

The statement from the Bank of England came shortly after a separate statement by the Treasury, seemingly intended to reassure investors, laying out a timetable for when more details of the government's plans would be given.

It said cabinet ministers would announce measures to boost growth over the coming weeks and that the chancellor would set out a "medium-term fiscal plan", including measures to reduce the national debt, on 23 November.

It also said the plan would come with a forecast of expected UK growth and government borrowing from the independent Office for Budget Responsibility, the omission of which from Friday's mini-budget had drawn criticism.

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Analysis box by Chris Mason, political editor

In government, there is nervousness about talking about what is going on.

And there is nervousness about NOT talking about what is going on.

What does that tell you?

It tells you the government has been a reluctant passenger on this big dipper of market volatility that it strapped itself and the rest of us into.

There appears to be some relief that the markets overnight are not as bumpy.

They think, they hope - and there's a lot of hoping going on - that the double dose of attempted reassurance from the Treasury and the Bank of England on Monday shows a road map without a panic.

But guess what? No sooner had I just said what you've just read on the radio and a minister texted me suggesting this was "too optimistic."

"The impact on mortgage rates of these ill-considered policies will be very damaging. I can't see the pound rising substantially, in fact it feels more likely to drift down further over time if this path is continued."

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2022-09-27 11:05:55Z
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Senin, 26 September 2022

Pensioner killed in hit-and-run in Tesco car park in north London - Sky News

A man in his 80s has died in a hit-and-run in a Tesco car park in north London, police have said.

Officers are searching for the driver of the van involved in the fatal incident at the Coppetts Centre in Barnet shortly before 5pm on Saturday.

Detective Inspector Ian Watson said: "The car park was extremely busy with people going about their day when this collision occurred.

"If you saw anything, or captured events on dashcam or a mobile device, then please get in touch."

Both the land and air ambulance were called to the scene.

But the pensioner, who was taken to hospital, died on Sunday.

His family has been told.

More from UK

Two men were arrested on suspicion of causing serious injury by dangerous driving and failing to stop at the scene of a collision but have been released pending further enquiries.

Anyone with information can call police on 020 8246 9820 quoting the reference 4826/24SEP, or to remain anonymous contact Crimestoppers on 0800 555 111.

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2022-09-26 08:28:22Z
1581708602

Pound sinks to record low against the dollar and UK economy predicted to flatline next year - as PM and chancellor defend mini-budget - Sky News

The pound has fallen to a record low against the dollar amid a fresh investor rush towards the US currency globally.

Sterling slipped by nearly 5% early on Monday to $1.0327 - building on fresh 1985 lows seen on Friday after UK chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng unveiled the biggest programme of tax cuts for 50 years.

The £45bn tax-slashing package saw the market deliver a verdict on the sustainability of the public finances, given the additional demands it will place on borrowing.

Bond markets also continued to reflect the crisis of confidence with the rates being demanded in return for investor cash hitting levels not seen since 2008.

The pound plunged below its all-time low against the greenback - set in February 1985 - of $1.054 early on Monday in Asian trading, fuelling fears that parity was possible ahead.

And the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has said the UK economy will grow slower than previously predicted in 2022 - and it will flatline entirely in 2023.

Cost of living latest

More on Kwasi Kwarteng

This morning the pound has stabilised around $1.07 - still over 1% below the previous session's close and 5% down on where it had stood early on Friday morning before the mini-budget.

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The government's growth plan was clearly the catalyst for Friday's plunge but traders said it had since intensified the focus more widely as the dollar also shot up against a basket of other international currencies.

Joseph Capurso, head of international economics at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. wrote: "The poor situation in the UK exacerbates support for the USD, (which) can track higher again this week.

"If a sense of crisis about the world economy were to emerge, the USD could jump significantly."

The euro fell to fresh 20-year lows versus the greenback amid growing recession fears linked to the war in Ukraine and in the wake of Italy's elections that will see a far-right leader become the country's new PM.

The Japanese yen was among other currencies in focus.

The trouble for both the UK and Europe more generally is that weak currencies raise dollar denominated import costs, fuelling inflation further.

The UK also faces goods from the continent becoming more expensive because the pound's value has also slipped sharply versus the euro, standing at €1.0948 - leaving it 10 cents lower since August.

The rise in government borrowing costs saw the yield on the benchmark 10-year gilt hit almost 4.1% - the highest since April 2010. Shorter-term bonds were at levels not seen since the financial crisis.

Neil Wilson, chief market analyst at markets.com, said the market reaction to the government's growth plan had resulted in a "very swift and very aggressive repricing".

He wrote: "Does the Bank of England (BoE) intervene? Talk is of an emergency interest rate hike by the Bank to steady the ship.

"Traders now price in 150bps (1.5 percentage points) of hikes by the BoE by November, implying an expectation it comes out with a hike before the next meeting."

Both the chancellor and Prime Minister Liz Truss defended their programme over the weekend while shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves told Sky News on Monday it was clear that a "credible plan for the public finances" was now needed to address the market concerns.

In an interview with CNN on Sunday, Ms Truss rejected comparisons with US President Joe Biden's approach after he said he was "sick and tired of trickle-down economics".

She said: "We all need to decide what the tax rates are in our own country, but my view is we absolutely need to be incentivising growth at what is a very, very difficult time for the global economy."

Asked whether she was "recklessly running up the deficit," Ms Truss said: "I don't really accept the premise of the question at all."

Mr Kwarteng suggested his announcements were just the beginning of the government's agenda to revive the UK's stagnant economy.

"We've only been here 19 days. I want to see, over the next year, people retain more of their income because I believe that it's the British people that are going to drive this economy," he told the BBC's Sunday With Laura Kuenssberg programme.

Read more: Mini-budget: PM going for broke in hope of winning big - but has she misjudged the public mood? | Beth Rigby

Mr Kwarteng is reportedly considering abolishing a charge for parents who earn more than £50,000 and claim child benefit, increasing the annual allowances on pension pots and a tax break for people who stay at home to care for children or loved ones.

If sterling fell to parity with the US dollar, it could trigger a rebellion among Tory backbenchers who could refuse to vote for the government's finance bill or submit letters of no confidence, the Daily Telegraph reported, citing backers and critics of the prime minister.

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Truss and Kwarteng defend plans

Asked whether he was nervous about the dropping pound, falling stock markets and rising cost of government borrowing, Mr Kwarteng said: "We've got to have a much more front-footed approach to growth and that's what my Friday statement was all about.

"I think that if we can get some of the reforms... if we get business back on its feet, we can get this country moving and we can grow our economy, and that's what my focus is 100% about."

He refused to comment on market movements, saying: "I've been focused on the longer term and the medium term, and I think it was absolutely necessary that we had a long-term growth plan."

Great debate

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2022-09-26 08:46:15Z
1578005664

Minggu, 25 September 2022

Pound sinks to record low against the dollar as chancellor and prime minister defend mini-budget - Sky News

The pound has fallen to a record low against the dollar amid a fresh investor rush towards the US currency globally.

Sterling slipped by nearly 5% early on Monday to $1.0327 - building on fresh 1985 lows seen on Friday after UK chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng unveiled the biggest programme of tax cuts for 50 years.

The £45bn tax-slashing package saw the market deliver a verdict on whether the public finances would be sustainable.

The pound plunged below its all-time low against the greenback of $1.054 early on Monday in Asian trading, fuelling fears at that time that parity was even possible.

However, it later stabilised around $1.05405 - still 3% below the previous session's close.

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Both the chancellor and Prime Minister Liz Truss defended their programme.

More on Kwasi Kwarteng

In an interview with CNN on Sunday, Ms Truss rejected comparisons with US President Joe Biden's approach after he said he was "sick and tired of trickle-down economics".

She said: "We all need to decide what the tax rates are in our own country, but my view is we absolutely need to be incentivising growth at what is a very, very difficult time for the global economy."

Asked whether she was "recklessly running up the deficit," Ms Truss said: "I don't really accept the premise of the question at all".

Mr Kwarteng suggested his announcements were just the beginning of the government's agenda to revive the UK's stagnant economy.

"We've only been here 19 days. I want to see, over the next year, people retain more of their income because I believe that it's the British people that are going to drive this economy," he told the BBC's Sunday With Laura Kuenssberg programme.

Read more: Mini-budget: PM going for broke in hope of winning big - but has she misjudged the public mood? | Beth Rigby

Mr Kwarteng is reportedly considering abolishing a charge for parents who earn more than £50,000 and claim child benefit, increasing the annual allowances on pension pots and a tax break for people who stay at home to care for children or loved ones.

If sterling fell to parity with the US dollar, it could trigger a rebellion among Tory backbenchers who could refuse to vote for the government's finance bill or submit letters of no confidence, the Daily Telegraph reported, citing backers and critics of the prime minister.

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Truss and Kwarteng defend plans

Asked whether he was nervous about the dropping pound, falling stock markets and rising cost of government borrowing, Mr Kwarteng said: "We've got to have a much more front-footed approach to growth and that's what my Friday statement was all about.

"I think that if we can get some of the reforms... if we get business back on its feet, we can get this country moving and we can grow our economy, and that's what my focus is 100% about."

He refused to comment on market movements, saying: "I've been focused on the longer term and the medium term, and I think it was absolutely necessary that we had a long-term growth plan."

Great debate

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2022-09-26 03:46:29Z
1578005664

Kwasi Kwarteng doubles down on tax cuts as Tories brace for investors' verdict - Financial Times

UK chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng has vowed to double down on his controversial tax-cutting drive despite investor jitters, leaving Conservative MPs and traders braced for further market turbulence.

Kwarteng said on Sunday that there was “more to come” and insisted that Friday’s announcement of £45bn in tax cuts was just the start.

After the announcement the pound dropped to its lowest point since 1985, and many Tory MPs have privately expressed fears that sterling will take another pummelling this week. Leading economists and investors warned that the Bank of England might have to introduce emergency interest rate rises to prop up the currency.

Kwarteng told the BBC’s Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg: “We’ve only been here [in government] 19 days. I want to see, over the next year, people retain more of their income.”

Kwarteng argues that tax cuts will bolster growth, but investors took fright on Friday after he announced a massive expansion of government borrowing, including an extra £72bn of extra debt before next April.

A succession of Tory grandees have expressed doubts about his plan.

Lord Ken Clarke, a former chancellor, denounced the idea that tax cuts for the wealthy made them work harder. “I’m afraid that’s the kind of thing that’s usually tried in Latin American countries without success,” he said.

Meanwhile George Osborne, another former Tory chancellor, told Channel 4’s Andrew Neil Show that he had concerns, although he found it refreshing that prime minister Liz Truss and Kwarteng were “conviction politicians”.

“You can’t just borrow your way to a low-tax economy,” he said. “Fundamentally the schizophrenia has to be resolved. You can’t have small-state taxes and big-state spending.”

Many Tory MPs fear that Kwarteng’s borrowing spree will fuel inflation and force up interest rates, with higher mortgage payments swallowing up the effect of the income tax cut.

“The market reaction on Monday will set the tone for the week ahead,” said one former minister.

Some market participants said rapid interest rate rises may be needed to stave off inflationary pressure and shore up confidence in sterling.

Sushil Wadhwani, an asset manager and former Bank of England policymaker, said it was “highly likely” that the pound would come under “significant downward pressure” in the coming days.

“If I were still at the BoE, I would be tempted to announce an extra meeting in a week,” Wadhwani said.

Mohamed El-Erian, president of Queens’ College, Cambridge and an adviser to leading investors Allianz and Gramercy, said: “There will be a significant expectation of the Bank of England doing something, being more hawkish.”

Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute and a former BoE Monetary Policy Committee member, said: “The key issue is that the Bank of England at this point has to take the pound’s value into account when setting policy in a way it hasn’t had to since 1992.”

He said the central bank might be forced by market volatility to act before the next scheduled MPC meeting in November. Asked whether it would hold an emergency meeting, the BoE declined to comment.

The Treasury tried to reassure markets that the new chancellor would not incur even more borrowing by increasing public spending before the election. “While driving economic growth and tackling high inflation, we will continue to take a responsible and disciplined approach to spending,” it said in a statement.

“It’s more important than ever that departments work efficiently to manage within existing budgets, focusing on unlocking growth and delivering high-quality public services,” the Treasury said. “The government is rightly focused on the immediate priorities of the economy, energy and the health service this winter. We will announce further details on our approach to future spending in due course.”

Tory MPs speculated that the chancellor could unfreeze personal tax allowances and thresholds in a full Budget expected to take place next year, along with removing the 60 per cent effective tax rate on earnings between £100,000-£125,000 caused by the tapering off of the personal allowance.

Speaking at the start of the Labour conference in Liverpool, party leader Sir Keir Starmer said he would reverse Kwarteng’s decision to scrap the 45 per cent additional income tax rate on earnings above £150,000 but would retain the cut in the basic rate from 20 per cent to 19 per cent.

Work by researchers Andy Summers and Arun Advani at the London School of Economics and Warwick University based on data from tax returns suggested that 46 per cent of the gains from the abolition of the 45 per cent rate would go to people with annual incomes over £1mn.

Summers said that “£1bn in gains will go to just 2,500 individuals, who each have income in excess of £3.5mn”.

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2022-09-25 20:00:58Z
1562042292

Man arrested at airport on suspicion of attempted murder after four hit by car - Sky News

Four men have been injured - two critically - after a hit-and-run in west London.

A 20-year-old man was arrested at nearby Heathrow Airport on suspicion of attempted murder just before 7pm.

Police said he had booked a flight and was planning to leave the country.

The Metropolitan Police were called at 2.43am on Sunday after reports four people had been hit by a car in Kingsley Road, close to the junction with Taunton Avenue, in Hounslow.

The pedestrians, all men in their early 20s, were taken to hospital, where two remain in a critical condition.

The two others were treated for non-life changing injuries.

'Justice for victims'

The driver of the car did not stop at the scene, police said.

Detective Chief Inspector Andy Thrower said: "This was a serious incident that will have shocked the local community.

"Two men are in hospital fighting for their lives, and our thoughts are with them and their families.

"We will continue at pace as we work to establish what happened and to get justice for the victims.

"I would continue to urge anyone with information to come forward."

A second man was also arrested nearby on suspicion of assisting an offender.

Information can be provided by calling 101 or tweeting @MetCC with the reference 921/25SEP or call the independent charity Crimestoppers, anonymously, on 0800 555 111.

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2022-09-25 20:38:08Z
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