Rabu, 27 Oktober 2021

Budget 2021: Rishi Sunak unveils help for low paid, pubs and businesses - BBC News

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Chancellor Rishi Sunak has set out changes to universal credit he says will give low income families an extra £1,000 a year.

In an upbeat Budget speech, he said the UK economy had not been hit as hard by the Covid pandemic as expected.

He promised more money for schools, business rate cuts and took 3p off the price of a pint of beer.

Labour said his universal credit measure would not make up for axing the £20-a-week top-up to the benefit.

The chancellor painted a positive picture of the health of the UK economy as it emerges from the pandemic, in his autumn statement to a packed House of Commons.

"Employment is up. Investment is growing. Public services are improving. The public finances are stabilising. And wages are rising," he told MPs.

"Today's Budget delivers a stronger economy for the British people: stronger growth, with the UK recovering faster than our major competitors."

He said unemployment had not hit the levels feared at the height of the pandemic - but inflation was set to rise further, from 3.1% to 4% over the next year.

Much of his Budget had been pre-announced, including an end to the public sector pay freeze and an increase to the National Living Wage from £8.91 per hour to £9.50.

But Paul Johnson, of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, told BBC News the "almost non-existent" increase in living standards predicted over the next five years was a "big blow" to families.

Household disposable income is set to rise by 0.8% per year, according to Office for Budget Responsibility figures.

Economic growth is forecast to rise to 6.3% next year - higher than previously predicted - but it will then slow to 1.3% by 2023.

New Budget measures included:

  • A real-terms rise in spending for every government department
  • A freeze on fuel duty
  • Funding per pupil in England's schools is to be restored to 2010 levels over the next three years
  • A 5% cut to the extra corporation tax banks have to pay to "maintain competitiveness"
  • An extra £2.2bn for courts, prisons and probation services, including £500m to reduce courts backlogs
  • A cut in air passenger duty for internal UK flights - and a tax rise on "ultra long haul" flights
  • More support for industrial research and development

The teetotal chancellor also announced plans to "radically simplify" alcohol tax, so that it was based purely on the strength of the drink.

Taxes on sparkling wine, draught beer and cider are to be cut, but will rise for stronger drinks such as red wine and "white ciders", from 2023.

He also announced that the planned increase in duty on spirits, wine, cider and beer due to take effect from midnight on Wednesday has been cancelled.

And he scrapped next year's planned increase in business rates in England and promised more frequent revaluations, and tax breaks for firms that make improvements to their properties, from 2023.

In further moves to boost the leisure industry as it emerges from the pandemic, he announced a 50% business rate discount for pubs, cinemas, restaurants, gyms and other venues.

Analysis box by Laura Kuenssberg, political editor

Rishi Sunak portrays himself as a light touch Tory - who doesn't like heavy taxes, who doesn't like big government.

But he's not using the fading of the pandemic emergency to call time on hefty spending.

Nor is the chancellor seizing a moment to argue for a leaner state.

Instead, his plans increase spending everywhere, in a Budget that on first examination has something for everyone.

Mr Sunak even chose to emphasise how he's restoring spending in some areas to levels not seen since Labour was in charge; less keen to remind you that they were cut back by successive administrations made up of his Tory colleagues.

Despite dangling the promise of tax cuts by 2024, the Budget seems to confirm the political conclusions of Mr Sunak and Boris Johnson - vows to shrink the state are not going to win them the next election.

But with the threat of inflation, higher taxes and puny, if better growth, the seeming largesse may not be toasted by the public in the months to come, even if they could so with cheaper cider or prosecco.

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The chancellor waited until the end of his 70 minute speech to announce changes to universal credit, which come after a widely condemned £20-a-week cut to the benefit earlier this month.

The universal credit "taper" will be cut, so that instead of losing 63p of benefit for every £1 earned above the work allowance, the amount will be reduced to 55p.

The amount people can earn before starting to lose the benefit will also increase by £500 a year. The new rate will be introduced by 1 December, he told MPs.

"This is a tax cut next year worth over £2bn," said the chancellor.

"Nearly two million families will keep, on average, an extra £1,000 a year."

Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves said Labour welcomed the move but it would not make up for the £6bn cut from universal credit earlier this month, which affected five million families.

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"Even after this reduction, working people on universal credit still face a higher marginal tax rate than the prime minister. And those unable to work - through no fault of their own - still face losing over £1,000 a year," she said.

The opposition leader normally responds to the chancellor's Budget speech, but Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is self-isolating after testing positive for Covid.

Ms Reeves, who was drafted in to replace him at the last minute, said Mr Sunak had "no coherent plan" to deal with cost of living crisis facing many families, with rising energy bills, food prices and tax increases.

She told MPs Mr Sunak was a chancellor that "gives with one hand but takes so much more with the other".

The SNP's leader at Westminster, Iain Blackford, branded the chancellor's planned cut to domestic air passenger duty a "disgrace", asking what kind of message it sent to the world on the eve of the COP26 climate summit in Glasgow.

The Liberal Democrats said cutting bank taxes would cost the Treasury more than £3.8bn over the next four years, compared with £1.8bn extra to help school pupils catch up.

"He is offering a measly pound a day of extra catch up funding for each child, six times less than the tax cut being offered to the Conservatives' banker buddies," said leader Sir Ed Davey.

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2021-10-27 17:20:49Z
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COP26 transport chaos avoided as union strikes deal with ScotRail - Daily Record

A deal has finally been agreed to avert train staff striking during the COP26 climate conference next week.

The RMT trade union had set out its final negotiating position, calling for a 2.5% pay rise backdated to April and a “Cop26 payment” for all staff.

A one-year deal has now been reached between the union and ScotRail, a source has told the Daily Record.

The announcement was made on Wednesday evening following talks between the trade union and transport bosses.

The union confirmed the planned industrial action would be “withdrawn immediately” as members welcome a recent agreement on a pay rise.

The Scottish Government and ScotRail imposed a deadline of 5pm on Wednesday for a resolution to the dispute over pay and conditions.

In a letter sent to union members after Wednesday evening’s talks, RMT general secretary Michael Lynch said: “I can advise you that subsequent negotiations have been held and that your union made a counter offer to ScotRail.

“By accepting the offer all industrial action is now cancelled and I instruct you all to work normally on the days you had previously been instructed to take action on.”

Scottish Labour transport spokesman Neil Bibby said: “This eleventh hour deal may help the SNP save face but it won’t fix the mess they’ve made of our railways.

“However welcome the pay deal is, it doesn’t undo the contempt the SNP have shown rail workers over the last two years.

“It is disgraceful that it took the risk of embarrassment at COP26 to convince the SNP to give rail workers the fair pay they deserve.

Scottish politics

“Scotland’s railways are not just for COP26. The SNP must now commit to building a railway that is truly fit for purpose and stopping the reckless cuts to services.”

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2021-10-27 19:03:45Z
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Three children rushed to hospital after being struck by car on Scots road - Daily Record

Three children have been rushed to hospital after being hit by a car in South Lanarkshire this afternoon.

Emergency services rushed to the scene on James Street at its junction with Kirkton Street, at around 3:07pm following reports of a serious accident.

A woman, in her 20s, was also injured.

All four casualties are being treated at the Queen Elizabeth University Hospital in Glasgow, but the extent of their injuries are currently not known.

Police have cordoned off the scene in Carluke

There's a huge mercy response at the scene including 10 ambulances and specialist trauma teams.

A Scottish Ambulance Service spokesperson said: "We received a call at 15:07hrs to attend an incident on Kirkton Street, Carluke and dispatched 10 resources to the scene.

"One female in her twenties and three children have been transported to the Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow."

A major investigation has started and cops are asking anyone who witnessed the accident to get in touch.

Top news stories today

Emergency services rushed to the scene in Kirkton Street, Carluke

Police Scotland Inspector William Broatch, from Motherwell Road Policing Unit, said: "Around 3.10pm, police were called to James Street in Carluke, at the junction with Kirkton Street, following a report of a road crash involving a car and four pedestrians - a woman and three children.

"The pedestrians are all being conveyed to hospital for treatment. Emergency services remain at the scene and local diversions are in place.

"Anyone with information on the incident can call police on 101, quoting incident 2110 of 27 October.”

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2021-10-27 16:07:07Z
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Budget 2021: Rishi Sunak sets out ‘moral’ mission to limit state and cut taxes - Financial Times

Rishi Sunak has scaled back a cut to universal credit by £2bn a year and reduced business rates in a Budget that set out a longer-term “moral” mission to halt the growth of the state, cut taxes and restore fiscal discipline.

But, in the meantime, the UK chancellor continued to pump money into public services recovering from the Covid-19 crisis, boosting departmental budgets by 3 per cent a year in real terms over the next three years and adding £150bn to overall spending over the life of the parliament.

Sunak arrived in the House of Commons on Wednesday armed with new official forecasts showing that Britain had bounced back from the pandemic more quickly than expected, with growth of 6.5 per cent this year.

The improved forecasts gave Sunak a Budget “windfall” that he divided between higher spending on public services, help for people on low incomes and tax cuts in targeted areas, including business rates and alcohol duties.

He insisted he could do all this while setting out new fiscal rules committing him to balance the books for day-to-day spending by 2024-25, with debt projected to fall as a share of national income in that year.

Sunak, with one eye on a future run for the Conservative party leadership, said his determination to halt the inexorable growth of the state had a “moral dimension” and he wanted to start cutting taxes before the next election.

He said the state accounted for 50 per cent of the total economy because of the pandemic, but that a turning point had been reached. “Do we want to live in a country where the response to every question is what is the government going to do about it?” he asked.

As a signal of his desire to start unwinding the huge tax rises he announced this year to pay for Covid relief programmes, Sunak set out a range of measures to help struggling individuals and businesses.

Amid cross-party criticism of his decision to end a temporary £20-a-week uplift to universal credit, Sunak partly reversed that move by reducing the taper rate — the rate at which UC is withdrawn as earnings rise — from 63 per cent to 55 per cent at a cost of more than £2bn a year.

However, the change will not help those who receive UC and are not working, and it only partly unwinds the £6bn total cut in the top-up payments when they were ended this month.

A shake-up of business rates, including a one-year holiday for pubs, hotels and other leisure venues, was billed as the “biggest cut to business rates in 30 years” but it fell short of the major overhaul demanded by the Labour party.

Sunak confirmed that the “bank surcharge” on profits would be slashed from 8 per cent to 3 per cent in 2023 — the same year that corporation tax rates for all businesses rise from 19 per cent to 25 per cent. Total taxes on the banking sector from 2023 will increase from 27 per cent now to 28 per cent.

The chancellor also announced a series of reforms to alcohol taxes — including a freeze on duty increases — that his aides said would help address a cost of living crisis and help pubs. Fuel duty was frozen and air passenger duty for domestic flights cut.

Underpinning what Sunak called “a new age of optimism” were Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts showing expected economic growth of 6.5 per cent this year, up from 4 per cent previously, the fastest in 50 years.

On this trajectory, the economy will reach its pre-pandemic level at the turn of the year. With an earlier, stronger rebound, growth in 2022 is now forecast to be slightly lower, at 6 per cent. Tax receipts are also growing fast.

But the more significant change is the OBR’s judgment that the economy will now settle 2 per cent below its pre-pandemic path, rather than the 3 per cent it forecast in March, implying less long-term pandemic damage. Unemployment will also peak much lower than initial OBR estimates, at 5.2 per cent.

Those forecasts allowed Sunak to claim he could spend more, cut some taxes and start to restore fiscal discipline.

Under the new forecasts, national debt would start to fall as a share of national income from 2024-25, in what could be a general election year, while he would start to run a surplus on day-to-day spending in the same year with £25bn to spare.

Gilts were on course for their biggest one-day rally since March 2020 after the government slashed its planned debt sales this year by almost £60bn, a much larger cut than markets had anticipated.

Figures from the Debt Management Office published alongside the Budget showed the government plans to sell £198.4bn of gilts in the 2021-22 fiscal year, £57.8bn less than projected in April. Investors were already expecting a reduction in bond issuance as a faster-than-expected economic recovery helped borrowing undershoot forecasts, but analysts had forecast a cut of only £34bn.

“This means a lot less supply than the market was anticipating,” said Peter Schaffrik, a strategist at RBC Capital Markets.

Ten-year UK borrowing costs fell by 0.11 of a percentage point to 1.00 per cent — reflecting higher gilt prices — the lowest level in more than three weeks, with UK government bonds also receiving a boost from a global debt rally.

Sunak said he was spending more on the government’s main priorities, including investing in skills, infrastructure and projects to help “left behind” regions in the country, in an effort to raise productivity and wage levels.

The chancellor claimed “levelling up” was a “golden thread” running through the Budget, but the government has yet to publish a white paper explaining what the policy means.

Sunak, who also announced the results of a three-year review of public spending, said total spending would rise by £150bn over the parliament, with an annual average increase of 3.8 per cent in real terms.

Among the areas to receive more money were education — Sunak said he was providing almost £2bn extra for schools and colleges — the courts service, skills training and local transport. All departments would receive a real-terms budget increase.

The overseas aid budget, controversially cut by £4bn by Sunak earlier in this parliament, is scheduled to be restored in 2024-25; but the chancellor confirmed a £2bn cut in proposed public spending on research and development in the last year of the parliament.

Rachel Reeves, shadow chancellor, accused Sunak of “living in a parallel universe” and said the government had failed to soften the cost of living crisis for millions of families this winter.

The OBR forecast inflation averaging 4 per cent this year, with households and businesses facing the immediate prospect of rising prices as well as soaring energy bills and supply shortages.

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2021-10-27 13:59:09Z
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Brexit: France prepares sanctions which could affect UK power supplies over fishing dispute - Sky News

Analysis by Adam Parsons, Europe correspondent

Fishing has always had a disproportionately big role in the discussion about Brexit, and so it is again.

This time, it's the French on the front foot, threatening big reprisals because of a dispute over a small number of fishing licences.

If it's not resolved, then British boats could be banned from French ports, and Scottish smoked salmon ripped from French menus.

What's more, it could also involve electricity supplies being cut to the Channel Islands, and a go-slow by French customs. These are not trivial inconveniences, but big, meaty threats.

A couple of days ago, Lord Frost, the Brexit minister, seemed calmly accepting of the row, saying that the UK was following Brexit rules to the letter, and awarding licences to all the boats who supplied the right evidence. It was, he seemed to suggest, simply a teething problem of Brexit.

The French, by contrast, say the process is too slow and laborious, and that their fishing community is suffering because of Britain's intransigence.

Talks to sort this out have been going on for a while, with the European Commission acting as the middle-man.

More licences have slowly been handed out. But the French insist that, in the absence of significant progress by early next week, the reprisals will begin.

Emmanuel Macron has an election next year and knows that sticking up for fishermen plays well with voters in northern France.

It also supports his plan to present himself as Europe’s most decisive leader, the man to fill the de-facto leadership role that will be vacated by Angela Merkel.

Boris Johnson, always casting his own eye on public opinion, is well aware that fishing rights became a totemic topic among many Brexit voters. And bearing in mind his other battle with Europe, over the Northern Ireland Protocol, he won’t want to be seen to back down too readily.

Compromise still looks like the most likely option. After all, a huge squabble between two old friends really does seem unnecessary here.

But a resolution will require cool heads, gentle diplomacy and level-headed thinking - France's decisions to go public with its threats may not help that process.

The French government says it could ban British fishing boats from its harbours as soon as next week, in an escalating row over granting fishing licences.

The British government maintains that it has already issued 98% of fishing licences and that this dispute concerns a relatively tiny number of boats.

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2021-10-27 15:42:39Z
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Labour leader Keir Starmer tests positive for COVID - Sky News

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer has tested positive for coronavirus so will miss the opportunity to challenge the government in-person on its budget this afternoon.

Former Labour leader Ed Miliband, now the shadow COP26 president, stood in for Sir Keir at Prime Minister's Questions, which took place just before Chancellor Rishi Sunak announces the budget.

Sir Keir will have to self-isolate for 10 days so will also miss the beginning of the COP26 climate change summit, however, it has not been confirmed if he was attending.

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'Just like the old days' - Miliband steps in

He tested positive for COVID-19 after taking a lateral flow test earlier on Wednesday.

The Labour leader was pictured with shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves and Bridget Phillipson, shadow chief secretary to the Treasury, on Wednesday morning but they have both tested negative with a lateral flow test.

Ms Reeves will respond to Mr Sunak's budget announcement this afternoon.

Sir Keir carries out daily lateral flow tests but this is the first time he has tested positive.

More from Politics

However, he has had to self-isolate four times previously since the pandemic began, with the last time being in July after one of his children tested positive although he tested negative.

The rules have changed since then for fully vaccinated people so they no longer have to self-isolate if they are a close contact of someone who tests positive but must do so if they test positive themselves.

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2021-10-27 11:37:30Z
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Net zero pledges offer hope of avoiding climate catastrophe, says UN - The Times

Net zero targets announced by 50 countries offer hope that the worst impacts of climate change can still be avoided, according to a UN report.

It said that many of the targets had yet to be translated into detailed plans to cut emissions this decade but overall they could limit global warming to 2.2C by the end of the century — close to the 2C upper limit for global warming set in the Paris agreement on climate change in 2015.

The UN Environment Programme (Unep) assessed all targets announced by countries by the end of last month and concluded that the net zero pledges “could make a big difference”.

MacAskill said that the 80m-high fibreglass blade was slippery

MacAskill said that the 80m-high fibreglass blade was slippery

THE CLIMATE GAMES/PA

It said: “If fully implemented, these pledges could bring the predicted global temperature rise to 2.2C,

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2021-10-26 23:01:00Z
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