Kamis, 23 September 2021

Ministers prepare for worst in gas price crisis - BBC News

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The government has said it has to "prepare for the worst" as the UK's energy firms continue to come under pressure from soaring gas prices.

Small business minister Paul Scully told the BBC his department was working closely with regulator Ofgem to protect customers if more firms went bust.

Nearly 1.5 million customers have been hit in just two weeks by energy firms collapsing under soaring gas prices.

Among them are Avro Energy and Green, which ceased trading on Wednesday.

Their 830,000 combined customers face being switched to a new, potentially more expensive, provider.

All affected customers will still receive energy while a new supplier is appointed by Ofgem.

Smaller providers launched in recent years have been overwhelmed by a global spike in wholesale gas prices, as economies have reopened from lockdowns and high demand from Asia has pushed down supplies to Europe.

Mr Scully said he would not speculate about what might happen to gas prices next, as that would cause "instability and a run on confidence".

He said "cyclical issues" were to blame for the rising cost of gas.

But when asked what the government would do if prices did not come down again, he said: "We have to prepare for the worst... We need to plan for that situation."

He added: "We will work with each company and look at their particular circumstances to make sure we can get through this difficult time."

He said there was "a mature system" in place to deal with the collapse of energy firms, "protecting customers both in continuity of supply and prices".

Tough it out

Despite Mr Scully's comments, the government has cooled on the idea of loans to the industry, says BBC business editor Simon Jack.

He says that while the government had been talking of state-backed loans for larger energy firms, that idea is now "very much on the back burner" and its intention is to "tough this one out".

The BBC has been told that ministers believe the current system for managing the failure of energy companies, which allows companies to recoup losses through an industry-wide levy, is working satisfactorily, even though it will add costs to millions of customers' bills.

Our business editor says ministers do accept that the existing system of reallocating customers would not work if one of the bigger challenger firms went bust.

In that case, the government has the power to appoint a special administrator, in what would be a quasi-temporary nationalisation.

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Analysis box by Kevin Peachey, Personal finance correspondent

The plight of Avro customers is a good illustration of what may befall hundreds of thousands of people in the coming weeks.

An Avro customer in a household using a typical amount of gas and electricity, who got a fixed rate deal in August, would have been paying £1,087 a year, according to price comparison site Uswitch. In March, they could have got a deal costing £920 a year.

Now Avro has collapsed, they are likely to be paying £1,277 a year at their new supplier from 1 October, in line with Ofgem's price cap.

The price cap does not mean it is impossible to pay more than £1,277 a year. It is a cap on the price, not the final bill.

That figure is an illustration of the cap's effect on a gas and electricity customer's annual bill, assuming they have an average level of energy consumption. So, a household with heavy energy use will have a higher annual bill.

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'They must have known'

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The boss of failed firm Green, Peter McGirr, told the BBC he had done nothing wrong and said bigger firms would soon face problems.

Mr McGirr predicted: "You will see larger suppliers feeling the pain as well and they will come cap in hand for a bailout."

But his firm faced criticism from one angry customer, 52-year-old Sara Pilgrim of North Lincolnshire, who switched to Green just a week ago.

"My contract switched on the 16 September. I went from E.On. I was with Npower, who transferred to E.On," she told the BBC.

"I went around and looked at different companies. Green weren't the lowest, but I decided to go with them.

"How can they have been allowed to take on new contracts that close to them going bust? They must have known something was going on six days ago.

"I'm just angry really that they've been allowed to do that. You know if you have to cease trading. That's my gripe really, that they've been allowed to take on new contracts so close to them ceasing trading."

UK Gas price

Ofgem's price cap, which covers 15 million households across England, Wales and Scotland, protects customers on some tariffs by limiting how much firms can charge per unit of gas.

But providers have complained that they are unable to pass on rising costs to customers because of the cap on energy bills.

Price comparison site Uswitch has acknowledged there is currently no point in energy customers shopping around.

Justina Miltienyte, the site's energy policy expert, said: "If you are coming to the end of your fixed deal, our advice is to hold tight, stay put and be rolled over on to your supplier's standard variable rate.

"Your supplier may try to offer you a new fixed deal, but this is unlikely to be the best option right now.

"However, people can leave their contact details so we could contact them once the situation improves. They can still head to Uswitch.com to compare deals across the whole of the energy market."

Firms that have gone bust chart

Since wholesale gas prices have started to spike, a number of firms have collapsed.

These smaller companies account for more than 5% of the UK energy market - about 1.5 million customers.

Other small companies could fold in the coming days and weeks.

Igloo, for example, has said it is working with restructuring consultants Alvarez & Marsal, although it told the BBC it had not appointed administrators.

Bulb, the UK's sixth largest energy company with 1.7 million customers, is also seeking additional financing.

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Gas hob
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What happens if your energy supplier goes bust?

  • Customers will still continue to receive gas or electricity even if the energy supplier goes bust. Ofgem will move your account to a new supplier, but it may take a few weeks. Your new supplier should then contact you to explain what is happening with your account
  • While you wait to hear from your new supplier: check your current balance and - if possible - download any bills; take a photo of your meter reading
  • If you pay by direct debit, there is no need to cancel it straight away, Citizens Advice says. Wait until your new account is set up before you cancel it
  • If you are in credit, your money is protected and you'll be paid back. If you were in debt to the old supplier, you'll still have to pay the money back to your new supplier instead
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Gas prices are rising all across Europe, but Britain has also been affected by lower winds than usual - denting renewable energy supplies - as well as a recent fire at a National Grid site in Kent.

In the UK, firms had already been hit by a jump in costs even before the recent spike. From more than 70 suppliers in 2018, there are just over 30 now.

Industry sources fear there may be as few as 10 suppliers left by the end of the year.

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Has your energy firm collapsed? How will this affect you? Email haveyoursay@bbc.co.uk.

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2021-09-23 14:10:59Z
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Energy crisis, labour shortages and supply chain issues hitting the UK - here's what we're short of and the industries under threat - Sky News

From "cancelled" Christmas dinners to numerous energy suppliers collapsing and items missing from supermarket shelves, many industry experts claim Britain is in crisis.

The UK economy has been disrupted by several factors including labour shortages, new immigration rules and the lingering effects of the pandemic.

There is estimated to be a shortfall of around 100,000 lorry drivers, and soaring energy costs have also added to the cost of food production and logistics.

What is Britain running low on?

Food supplies

The use of CO2 is critical in the food supply chain - particularly when it comes to packaging and meat production. It is also used to stun animals prior to slaughter.

So the closure of fertiliser plants is having a knock-on effect on the food industry.

Ranjit Singh Boparan, the owner of Bernard Matthews and 2 Sisters Food Group, said supply issues, as well as a shortage of workers, will affect the supply of turkeys for Christmas.

CO2 is also injected into the packaging of some perishable foods including meat and salads to prevent the growth of bacteria - and can prolong the shelf life of products such as beef for around five days.

Ian Wright, the chief executive of the Food and Drink Federation, said consumers could start noticing shortages in poultry, pork and bakery products in the coming days.

Warburtons, one of the UK's biggest bread makers, announced a halt on its crumpet production at two out of four of its plants because they have run out of CO2.

Food grade CO2 is used for hundreds of products - so Britain is facing shortages of:

  • Packaged meats including poultry and pork
  • Packaged fresh foods and baked goods
  • Packaged baby foods
  • Crisps
  • Pet food
  • Beer and wine
  • Carbonated water and soft drinks

Christmas trees

A woman walks with a child at Walton Christmas Trees Centre and Plant Nursery amid the outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Warrington, Britain,

Retailers are warning of a potential shortage of Christmas trees and higher prices this year following the labour and supply chain difficulties - since around one tenth of the real Christmas trees sold in the UK are imported.

Post-Brexit regulations and a stretched labour market could lead to shortages and higher demand for locally grown trees.

Mark Rofe, who owns ChristmasTrees.co.uk, said: "We've spoken to our UK growers and they are all facing the same challenges.

"They are seeing an increase in demand for their product, especially from clients who would usually import their trees from Europe, but are keen to avoid any red tape that could increase costs or cause delays for what is of course a highly seasonal and time-sensitive business."

Lorry drivers

The UK has been hit by a shortage of lorry drivers this summer, a crisis that has affected supermarkets, restaurants, and other retailers.

The shortfall has been triggered by an exodus of foreign nationals, post-Brexit immigration rules, and self-isolation requirements.

lorry driver shortage
Image: The lorry driver shortage has affected supermarkets, restaurants, and other retailers

McDonald's, KFC, Greggs, Subway and Nando's are among food retailers impacted by the truck driver shortages.

In August, McDonald's was forced to pull milkshakes and bottled drinks from its menu due to supply chain issues, while Greggs said some products containing chicken were missing from its shelves.

The UK's biggest dairy supplier, Arla, said that up to a quarter of supermarket milk deliveries were unable to get through due to a shortage of lorry drivers.

And the UK's biggest supermarket chains including Tesco, Sainsbury's, Morrisons, Co-op and Iceland Foods have all been affected by supply chain shortages due to disruptions to deliveries - with Tesco urging people not to panic buy.

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Energy 'worst-case scenario' being planned for by government

Pet food

Such difficulties are bleeding across into other sectors, including the pet food industry.

Major supermarkets including Sainsbury's and Tesco reported widespread shortages of pet food back in March due to unanticipated high demand - with supply issues affecting wet food pouches for dogs and cats the most.

There are now concerns that UK pet food shortages could worsen into winter as empty shelves in supermarkets become more noticeable.

Bikes

Halfords, the UK's largest cycling retailer, said bike sales were down by almost 23% in the 20 weeks to 20 August compared to the same period last year.

It blamed supply chain disruption from imports to the shortage of lorry drivers, and Britain's bike shops are still struggling to keep up with demand.

Production was disrupted also as Asian factories temporarily closed due to COVID-19, which affected distribution, resulting in a reduced supply and increased demand.

Beer

Empty shelves
Image: Supermarkets have urged people not to panic buy

Wetherspoons said on 1 September that it was having problems with the supply of Carling and Coors beers and that it was the knock-on effect from industrial action by drivers acting on behalf of another brewer. Molson Coors, which makes the brands, also cited the HGV driver shortage.

Ivan Menezes, chief executive of the Johnnie Walker-to-Guinness drinks giant, told Sky News that supply chains had become "more challenging… particularly on logistics and shipping around the world and on procuring some of our packaging materials" but that he expected to be able to fulfil global demand.

Cars

In a headache for automakers, widespread closures of magnesium smelters in top producer China are due to a clampdown on emissions and shortages of energy, propelling prices of the metal to their highest since 2008.

Magnesium, which is also widely used in the aerospace industry, is needed to make aluminium alloys for the auto sector, which is already reeling from chip shortages.

The White House is set to discuss ways to overcome a semiconductor chip supply crisis that is cutting auto production around the world in a new round of meetings with major companies.

cars
Image: Automakers have felt the impact of supply chain shortages

Electronics

Electronics manufacturers have also become a victim of supply chain disruptions and component shortages.

Many components come from supply chains in Asia, and due to closures in China during the COVID-19 pandemic, the shortages have continued to impact manufacturers around the world.

Dwindling supplies have resulted in surging prices as demand for electronic components rises.

Construction materials

The lack of lorry drivers and high construction vacancies continues to impact the supply of construction materials - which has left the construction sector on its knees.

A shortage of key building materials such as roof tiles, cement and timber has impacted the industry for months, with prices climbing across several materials.

Amid the dwindling supplies, prices could climb higher in the short term, with data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showing the cost of materials rose by 20% between July 2020 and July 2021.

construction warehouse with cement bags for industry use
Image: The construction sector is suffering with a shortage of key materials

• What caused the crisis?

As well as the labour shortages, new immigration rules and the lingering effects of the pandemic, soaring wholesale European natural gas prices also sent shockwaves through energy, chemicals and steel producers, and strained supply chains which were already creaking due to a shortage of labour and the tumult of Brexit.

Wholesale prices for gas have increased 250% since the start of the year, and there has been a 70% rise since August.

After gas prices triggered a carbon dioxide shortage, the government extended an emergency state support to avert a shortage of poultry and meat.

The hike in gas prices resulted in six firms folding this month: PfP Energy, MoneyPlus Energy, Utility Point, People's Energy, Green, Avro Energy.

There are fears that more could follow, with Bulb and Igloo reportedly on the brink of collapse. There are now some 40 suppliers in the UK market, sharply down from a peak of 70 in 2018.

• Why are there shortages?

The hike in gas prices has threatened to cause havoc on the food supply chain - which has led to warnings that shop shelves could be left bare in the coming weeks.

Some factories were forced to close down, stopping carbon dioxide production - which has critical uses in the meat production industry and in food packaging.

The government has said it has now struck a deal to avoid shortages in CO2.

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2021-09-23 15:10:46Z
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What can I do if my energy supplier goes bust? - BBC News

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Almost 1.5 million customers have seen their energy firm collapse as a result of soaring gas prices.

What are your rights if this happens to you?

Which energy suppliers are going bust?

Seven energy suppliers - Hub, Money Plus, Utility Point, People's Energy, PFP, Green and Avro - have gone out of business.

There are fears more firms could follow.

Bulb, which has 1.7 million customers, is trying to bolster its finances and Igloo is working with consultants.

Many firms have struggled because they offered customers cheap fixed deals and the price of gas has since soared.

What happens if my energy supplier collapses?

If your energy provider goes bust, you will still receive gas and electricity.

You can't chose the provider and may end up on a more expensive tariff.

Ofgem has sent Utility Point customers to EDF, while customers of People's Energy, PfP and MoneyPlus Energy have gone to British Gas.

It's not clear which firm will take on the 580,000 customers from Avro Energy, or Green's 250,000 customers.

What do I need to do?

Citizens Advice recommends making a note or taking a photo of your meter reading and downloading any bills, while waiting for your new supplier.

There's no need to cancel direct debits before your new is account set up.

You should also wait until you have your new provider before shopping around for a better deal. You won't be charged an exit fee if you move.

If you're in credit, the balance will be added to your account with your new supplier. However, this may take several weeks.

If you are in debt to a company which has stopped trading, you still have to pay the money you owe. You will be contacted by its administrators, or the supplier which takes over its business.

Will I still be able to find a cheap deal?

It's unlikely at the moment.

Price comparison site Compare The Market has paused its energy switching service and similar sites are offering fewer deals than usual.

The market had already been shrinking before these closures - from more than 70 suppliers in 2018 to about 30 now.

Citizens Advice has a useful guide to choosing the right tariff.

What is the energy price cap?

About 15 million households in England, Wales and Scotland were already facing a 12% rise in their energy bills from October, when a higher energy price cap begins.

The energy price cap sets the maximum price suppliers can charge customers on a standard - or default - tariff.

The cap means energy suppliers can't pass on all of the recent gas price increases.

In Northern Ireland, a separate market with two suppliers, prices will also rise next month by 21.8% (SSE) and 35% (firmus).

Why are gas prices so high?

A worldwide squeeze on gas and energy supplies has meant gas prices in the UK, Europe and Asia have risen 250% since January.

Wholesale gas price chart

Supplies of renewable energy in Great Britain are also down because it's been the least windy summer since 1961.

A recent fire at a National Grid site in Kent closed a power cable supplying electricity from France.

Rising gas prices have also led to a shortage of carbon dioxide (CO2), which is widely used in the food and drink industry.

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How have you been affected by issues raised in this article? You can share your experience by emailing haveyoursay@bbc.co.uk.

Please include a contact number if you are willing to speak to a BBC journalist. You can also get in touch in the following ways:

If you are reading this page and can't see the form you will need to visit the mobile version of the BBC website to submit your question or comment or you can email us at HaveYourSay@bbc.co.uk. Please include your name, age and location with any submission.

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2021-09-23 12:01:28Z
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Ministers preparing for 'worst-case scenario' of persistently high gas costs beyond 'short spike' - Sky News

The government is preparing for the "worst-case scenario" of gas costs continuing to stay high beyond a "short spike", a minister has told Sky News.

Speaking to Kay Burley, Paul Scully said high wholesale gas costs were placing "pressure" on the energy price cap.

Asked what the worst-case scenario was for a rise in the level of the cap, the business minister replied: "This is all part of the conversations that Ofgem will set that cap at, because supply prices are based on a number of factors.

"Clearly, as a government, we need to make sure we are planning for the worst-case scenario because we want to make sure we can protect consumers."

Pushed on what a worst-case scenario could entail, Mr Scully said: "That it goes on for longer than a short spike. I can't give you a figure now."

His comments are in contrast to remarks from Boris Johnson to Sky News earlier this week.

The prime minister told Sky News political editor Beth Rigby that Britain's energy crisis was a "short-term problem".

More from Politics

Soaring global gas prices have thrown the industry into crisis, with six firms folding this month: PfP Energy, MoneyPlus Energy, Utility Point, People's Energy, Green, Avro Energy.

There are fears that more could follow, with Bulb and Igloo reportedly on the brink of collapse.

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Ofgem warns more energy companies will fold

There are now roughly 40 suppliers in the UK market, sharply down from a peak of 70 in 2018.

The chief executive of Ofgem has warned that rising gas prices may not be temporary and more supplies could go out of business in the coming months.

Jonathan Brearley told MPs that "well above" hundreds of thousands of customers could be affected.

The energy price cap is set to rise from next Friday to £1,227, a record level.

Wholesale prices for gas have increased 250% since the start of the year, and there has been a 70% rise since August.

Consumers are protected from sudden price hikes by the price cap, but this puts pressure on suppliers as they cannot pass on the increase in wholesale gas prices to customers.

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Your energy bills might shoot up - here's what to do

The rise has been put down to a number of factors, including a cold winter leaving stocks depleted, high demand for liquefied natural gas from Asia and a drop in supplies from Russia.

The energy crisis is having a knock-on effect in other areas, with rising gas prices affecting carbon dioxide production.

Ministers have struck a deal with American company CF Industries, which produces around 60% of the UK's CO2 supply, to provide "limited financial support" towards the firm's running costs for three weeks to help it restart production.

The closure of its two sites last week had prompted fears that shoppers could start noticing shortages in poultry, pork and bakery products within days.

CO2 is injected into the packaging of perishable foods such as meat and salads to inhibit the growth of bacteria, typically prolonging the shelf life of products such as beef steak by around five days.

The gas is also used to stun animals prior to slaughter, and is deployed as a coolant for medicines and vaccines in the NHS, and likewise in nuclear programmes.

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PM 'not worried' about energy shortages

Speaking to Sky News, Iceland's managing director said the UK has to become less reliant on gas by using a "broader energy mix" to prevent shortages.

Richard Walker said: "In the short term I'm more confident that supply chains will be more uninterrupted.

"Certainly in our own business we've been building up stocks of key lines that potentially could have been at risk, like frozen meat for example, and we're confident that we have fully stocked shelves.

"However I think we've now got to think longer-term. This loan is only three weeks: what happens after that, or what happens the next time the gas prices spike?

"So we need a broader, more diverse and therefore more sustainable energy mix so we're not so reliant on gas.

"We also need to look as a food industry, but also further up the supply chains, at different, better ways of capturing CO2 and potentially using alternative gases as well."

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2021-09-23 07:29:13Z
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Boris Johnson: Humanity is reaching a turning point on climate change - BBC News

A climate summit of world leaders in 40 days' time will be the "turning point for humanity", PM Boris Johnson has said in a speech to the United Nations.

He warned that global temperature rises were already inevitable, but called on his fellow leaders to commit to major changes to curb further warming.

Four areas needed tackling - "coal, cars, cash and trees", he said.

Countries must take responsibility for "the destruction we are inflicting, not just upon our planet but ourselves".

"It's time for humanity to grow up," he added ahead of the UK hosting the COP26 summit in Glasgow.

The prime minister also said it was time to listen to the warnings of scientists. "Look at Covid if you want an example of gloomy scientists being proved right."

Setting the tone for November's meeting, he said countries must make "substantial changes" by the end of the decade if the world is to stave off further temperature rises.

"I passionately believe that we can do it by making commitments in four areas - coal, cars, cash and trees," he said.

Mr Johnson praised China's President Xi Jinping for his recent pledge to stop building new coal-fire energy plants abroad.

But he called on the country - which produces 28% of global greenhouse gas emissions - to go further and end its domestic use of coal, saying the UK was proof that it could be done.

The UK used coal to generate 25% of its electricity five years ago - but that is now down to 2%. Mr Johnson said it would be "gone altogether" by 2024.

The prime minister also said he did not see a conflict between the green movement and capitalism, saying that: "The whole experience of the Covid pandemic is that the way to fix the problem is through science and innovation, the breakthroughs and the investment that are made possible by capitalism and by free markets."

"We have the tools for a green industrial revolution but time is desperately short," he added.

Elsewhere, the prime minister made a series of calls for action to his fellow leaders, including:

  • to allow only zero-emission vehicles to be on sale across the world by 2040
  • for every country to cut carbon emissions by 68% by 2030, compared to levels in 1990
  • to pledge collectively to achieve carbon neutrality - or net zero - by the middle of the century
  • to end the use of coal power in the developing world by 2040 and in the developed world by 2030
  • to halt and reverse the loss of trees and biodiversity by 2030.

Amid the serious warnings, Mr Johnson also attempted to strike a humorous note at points, including saying Kermit the Frog had been wrong when he sang It's Not Easy Bein' Green.

'We missed our cue'

The prime minister reiterated that the world must curb the rise in global average temperatures to 1.5C - the stricter of the two targets set by the UN in the 2015 Paris agreement.

However, the world is already 1C hotter compared with pre-industrial levels.

"If we keep on the current track then the temperatures will go up by 2.7 degrees or more by the end of the century," Mr Johnson said.

"And never mind what that will do to the ice floes... we will see desertification, drought, crop failure, and mass movements of humanity on a scale not seen before, not because of some unforeseen natural event or disaster but because of us, because of what we are doing now.

"And our grandchildren will know that we are the culprits and... that we were warned and they will know that it was this generation that came centre stage to speak and act on behalf of posterity and that we missed our cue and they will ask themselves what kind of people we were to be so selfish and so short sighted."

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Analysis box by Roger Harrabin, Environment analyst

Boris Johnson is fashioning himself as a leader on climate change.

He has set a benchmark by phasing out sales of most new conventional vehicles by 2030.

The international alliance he's formed to get rid of coal power is gathering support - though not yet enough.

And by setting aggressive targets to cut carbon emissions overall (78% by 2035) he is encouraging others to follow.

Yet, in his own backyard, the prime minister is stumbling.

He previously pledged "never to be lagging on lagging". But his plan for insulating homes is badly delayed - along with other vital initiatives on issues including aviation, farming and financing the low carbon revolution.

Recent research showed his government had imposed less than a quarter of the policies needed to clean up the economy.

And some policies - like not opposing a coal mine in Cumbria,cutting taxes on flying and building HS2 - will send emissions up when they are supposed to be going down.

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At COP26, leaders from 196 countries will be asked to agree action to limit climate change and its effects, like rising sea levels and extreme weather.

A recent report from UN scientists warned that global temperatures have risen faster since 1970 than at any point in the past 2,000 years.

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2021-09-23 06:21:11Z
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