Minggu, 13 Juni 2021

Covid: Lockdown easing in England to be delayed by four weeks - BBC News

Social distancing sign in London
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Senior ministers have signed off a decision to delay the lifting of all coronavirus restrictions in England beyond 21 June.

Government sources have told the BBC most current rules will remain for another four weeks after this date.

It means nightclubs will stay closed and people will be encouraged to still work from home where possible.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to confirm the delay later at a press conference.

The extension will be put to a Commons vote this month and could trigger a sizeable Conservative backbench rebellion.

Stage four of the government's roadmap out of lockdown would see all legal limits on social contact removed.

But many scientists have called for the reopening to be delayed to enable more people to be vaccinated and receive second doses amid rising cases of the Delta variant.

A delay would also allow for more work to be done on whether vaccines are breaking, or simply weakening, the link between infections and hospitalisations.

On Sunday Prime Minister Boris Johnson said a final decision on whether the reopening should be paused had not yet been taken.

All areas of Scotland are due to move to Level Zero Covid restrictions on 28 June - meaning bigger groups can gather in cafés, pubs and restaurants, although they will still have to observe social distancing.

Limits on indoor gatherings in Northern Ireland are scheduled to be relaxed on 21 June - when the current rules in Wales will also be reviewed.

'Break clause'

Former Conservative cabinet minister Damian Green told the BBC's Westminster Hour that he wanted to see the decision to delay reviewed as more data becomes available.

"I think if it is as long as a month then there should be a break clause after two or maybe three weeks, to say that if we can tell by then that the rise in cases is not leading to a sort of rise in the serious illness that sends people into hospital, then we can unlock earlier," he said.

On Sunday, Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab told the BBC's Andrew Marr Show the government "don't want to yo-yo in and out of measures".

He said the decision on postponing unlocking would depend on whether the link between infections and hospital admissions had been severed.

Under stage four of the roadmap, venues and events would be allowed to operate without capacity limits and the cap on guests at weddings would also be lifted.

Even if these restrictions are removed, rules on face coverings and social distancing could remain in place.

The prime minister has previously said the government must be cautious so any easing of restrictions is irreversible.

Chart showing infections trend

Rising infections in the UK are being driven by the Delta variant, first identified in India, which now accounts for 90% of infections.

It is believed to be around 60% more infectious than the Alpha variant - which was first identified in Kent and was previously dominant in the UK - and twice as likely to result in infected people being hospitalised.

Prof Andrew Hayward from University College London, who is a member of the Sage group which advises the government, said easing more restrictions would "fan the flames" of rising infections.

On Sunday, the UK recorded 7,490 new cases of Covid-19 and eight deaths within 28 days of a positive test.

The seven-day average for cases in the UK is up 49% compared with the seven days before.

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Analysis box by Nick Triggle, health correspondent

If it wasn't for the Delta variant, the government would in all likelihood be announcing the go-ahead for a full unlock.

But a more infectious variant against which one shot of the vaccine works less well has created a problem.

That much can be seen from how quickly infection levels are rising. The trajectory we are on means we could see January levels of infection by the end of July.

Exactly what that means for hospital admissions is less clear. It is already obvious that while the vaccines have weakened the link between cases and serious illness they have not broken it completely - admissions are rising after all.

Early data suggests less than 5% of cases are ending up in hospital - half the rate seen previously.

But that still has the potential to cause 2,000 admissions a day if we did reach January levels of infection - twice what the NHS would see for all respiratory illnesses in a bad winter.

None of that is guaranteed, of course, and so a delay, government scientists are arguing, gives them more time to work out with confidence where we are heading - and it is even possible the immunity built up by the vaccines will have started to halt the growth by then.

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The government has set out four tests that must be met for the next stage of easing restrictions to go ahead:

  • The vaccine deployment programme continues successfully
  • Evidence shows vaccines are sufficiently effective in reducing hospitalisations and deaths in those vaccinated
  • Infection rates do not risk a surge in hospitalisations which would put unsustainable pressure on the NHS
  • Its assessment of the risks is not fundamentally changed by new variants of concern

More than 41 million people in the UK have had a first dose of a coronavirus vaccine, while nearly 30 million have had two doses.

Graph showing number of patients in hospital in the UK with Covid-19 starting to rise

The Night Time Industries Association has warned any delay beyond 21 June would be "catastrophic" for sectors like nightclubs which have been forced to close since March last year.

It said businesses had already spent millions preparing to reopen on that date.

The UK Weddings Taskforce, an industry group, estimates that 50,000 weddings planned in the four weeks from 21 June could be cancelled if the lifting of restrictions is pushed back and that the industry would lose lose £325m for every week of delay.

Currently the number of guests allowed at weddings and other life events is limited to 30.

Some Conservative MPs also oppose a delay to easing restrictions, including members of the Covid Recovery Group of backbenchers.

The group's chairman, former minister Mark Harper, said any postponement would be a "political choice".

He warned that if the unlocking did not go ahead as planned, restrictions could carry on through the autumn and into the winter as other respiratory infections picked up.

"The effectiveness of our vaccines at preventing hospitalisation means unlocking on 21 June could proceed safely. Any decision to delay will be a political choice," he said.

"Variants and mutations will appear for the rest of time. We have to learn to live with it.

"If our very effective vaccines cannot deliver us freedom from restrictions, then nothing ever will."

Steve Baker, the CRG deputy chairman, questioned how long the country could "fumble along" with restrictions that had such "devastating consequences" for both business and people's mental health.

Labour's Emily Thornberry said the decision over stage four of the roadmap was "the last chance" for the government to follow the science and communicate clearly with the public.

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2021-06-14 02:40:05Z
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COVID-19: PM to plead for 'one last heave' to freedom as he is set to delay lockdown easing by four weeks - Sky News

Boris Johnson will plead with the nation to make "one last heave" to freedom as he announces a delay of four weeks in lifting lockdown restrictions in England.

A government source has told Sky News the prime minister will dash hopes that Freedom Day will come in two weeks' time, on 21 June, and it will instead be postponed until 19 July.

"It is one last heave," a senior source was quoted as saying after the PM met senior cabinet ministers and his scientific advisers. "It is a straight race between the vaccine and the virus."

Mr Johnson will blame the delay on a third wave of COVID-19 infections and say it will allow millions more people to be vaccinated and more to receive a second jab by the end of July.

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PM urges caution as COVID cases rise

As well as a delay in lifting restrictions, allowing scientists more time to monitor the Delta variant, the PM is likely to announce a drive to accelerate the vaccination programme.

But the delay means that despite the success of the vaccination programme so far there will only be minor adjustments to the current lockdown rules in England.

Under the PM's likely plan, which will dismay many Tory MPs and business leaders, that would mean:

More on Covid-19

• Pubs remain restricted to table service, despite the Euro 2020 football championships getting under way

• The guidance that "everyone who can work from home must do so" remains in place

• Theatres and other indoor venues will be restricted to 50% capacity, despite a plea by Andrew Lloyd Webber to reopen

• Nightclubs will remain closed, but there is likely to be a reprieve for weddings, which at present can only be attended by 30 guests

Four tests for lifting lockdown
Image: Four tests for lifting lockdown

The four-week delay was agreed by a group of senior ministers - Mr Johnson, Chancellor Rishi Sunak, Cabinet Office minister Michael Gove and Health Minister Matt Hancock - after a briefing by Chris Whitty, the chief medical officer for England, and Sir Patrick Vallance, the chief scientific adviser.

Announcing his controversial decision later at a Downing Street news conference, Mr Johnson will argue that sticking to the rules now is worth it to avoid a future lockdown.

"The message has always been cautious but irreversible," the senior government source told The Daily Telegraph. "That has been our mantra throughout and that continues.

"It would be far worse to have uncertainty and go backwards. It is better to be cautious and have certainty."

As a sop to Conservative MPs who will be furious about a four-week delay, Mr Johnson is expected to promise a review of the continuing restrictions after the first two weeks.

But the expected delay has also provoked a furious reaction from the trade body representing pubs, cafes restaurants, hotels and nightclubs.

"A full and final ending of restrictions is the only way to ensure that businesses in this sector can trade profitably," said Kate Nicholls, chief executive of UK Hospitality.

"If government decides it has to keep some restrictions in place after June 21, then it must prioritise those that do the least damage to business and commit to further supporting the sector.

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"Hospitality is desperate to get back to what it does best and can play a key role in the economic recovery of the UK - but only if it is given permission to trade and proper support."

Leading a backlash from Conservative MPs, Mark Harper, chairman of the COVID Recovery Group of Tory MPs, said he feared lockdown could be extended until at least the end of September if ministers attempt to wait until the whole population has been double-jabbed.

"We have a rapid rollout of effective vaccines and are heading into summer," he tweeted. "If, even at this point, the government won't release restrictions, this points to restrictions in the autumn and winter, when respiratory diseases increase and the NHS is always under more pressure.

"This would be devastating for business confidence, people's livelihoods and wellbeing."

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2021-06-13 22:17:11Z
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Boris Johnson denies G7 summit overshadowed by post-Brexit row with EU - BBC News - BBC News

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2021-06-13 21:14:49Z
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Covid-19: Hospital data key to 21 June lockdown end, says Raab - BBC News

The decision on whether England can end all Covid restrictions on 21 June will depend on whether the link between infections and hospital admissions has been severed, Dominic Raab has said.

The foreign secretary told the BBC the government was examining real-time data before announcing its decision on Monday.

"We don't want to yo-yo in and out of measures," he said.

After one of the scientists advising the government warned the UK is facing a "substantial" third wave of infections, Mr Raab said: "The crucial thing that we set out in the four tests that we set at the outset of the road map is the link between transmission of the virus, and then the variants, and hospitalisations."

He told the Andrew Marr Show the country has made "great progress in weakening the link".

"The question is whether we have severed and broken it. We are looking at the data in real time," Mr Raab said.

"The race we're in is to get everyone as quickly as we can up to two doses," he said, adding that this maximises the effectiveness in preventing serious illness and stopping transmission of the virus.

He stressed that the roadmap out of lockdown said that stage four - when all legal restrictions on social contact are due to be abolished - was due no earlier than 21 June.

"We said at the start we would be guided by the evidence," he said. "We've been faithful to the roadmap and the strategy and the criteria."

With 90% of infections in the UK now due to the Delta variant, first identified in India, Dr Jeffrey Barrett at the Wellcome Sanger Institute said a "major part" of why the UK is facing a growing wave of cases is because hundreds of infections were brought in from abroad in April.

But Mr Raab denied the government had acted too slowly to prevent the variant being introduced to the UK, saying: "We've got a system where we get flagged variants of concern and we take action when we get that advice."

Prof Andrew Hayward from University College London, a member of the Sage group which advises the government, said ending all restrictions on 21 June could "fan the flames" of rising infections.

"I think it's clear we will have a substantial third wave of infections, the really big question is how much that wave of infections is going to translate into hospitalisations," he told the Andrew Marr Show.

He said the suggestion that the Delta variant was 60% more transmissible was "extremely worrying" and added there was still a "substantial chance" there could be a wave of hospital admissions that would put significant pressure on the NHS.

Chart showing infections trend

Infections in the UK are doubling every one or two weeks, depending on the region, Prof Hayward said. He said the UK is only "three or four doubling times" from reaching the same peak of infections as the second wave in January.

Labour's Emily Thornberry said tomorrow's decision about the 21 June reopening was "the last chance" for the government to follow the science and communicate clearly with the public.

She said: "This is the last push and we need to make sure it's done properly. The weak link is government ministers not making decisions fast enough and not communicating them properly."

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2021-06-13 10:12:21Z
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Politics live: Prime minister hails 'fantastic harmony' at G7 summit despite Northern Ireland row - Sky News

Priest admits to being 'nervous' as US president attends Sunday Mass

Joe Biden told a Catholic priest that "many serious matters" were discussed at the G7 summit.

The US president and First Lady Jill Biden went to Mass on the final day of the summit in Cornwall.

They arrived at the Sacred Heart and St Ia Catholic Church in St Ives, a short drive from where they have been staying in Carbis Bay, at 9.15am.

Speaking to the Press Association, Father Philip Dyson said he had not been given advance warning that the president and his wife would be joining them.

"We realised people were coming with security so I thought maybe the president would be coming along so we just welcomed him," he said.

Father Philip admitted that he was a bit nervous while conducting the service.

"It's the President of the United States of America," he said. "It's a great occasion to welcome him into our parish, into the church, and it's lovely to know he made the time in his busy schedule in order to come to Mass."

The priest added that he had managed to have a "quick word" with the president.

"I welcomed him to Cornwall and he said he was enjoying his time here and there were many serious matters they were discussing and just hope it's going to come to fruition," he said.

"I think the G7 has been such a great occasion. The scripture readings were appropriate because it was about creation and climate, and things growing, so it absolutely suited the occasion."

He added that the scriptures were not selected "by choice", adding: "It's just the way it always is. The word of God always fits in."

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2021-06-13 12:57:52Z
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Boris Johnson doesn't rule out a longer delay to end of restrictions - Metro.co.uk

Boris Johnson looks set to order a delay to 'freedom day'.
Boris Johnson is set to delay ‘freedom day’ as Covid cases continue to surge (Picture: PA/AP/Reuters/Getty)

Boris Johnson is poised to confirm England’s June 21 ‘freedom day’ is cancelled – and hasn’t ruled out a delay of over a month.

The Prime Minister is expected to make a formal announcement tomorrow that the full easing of social-distancing restrictions can’t go ahead as hoped.

It has been widely reported the government will opt for a four week delay, meaning the easing would happen happen no sooner than July 19.

But when questioned at a press conference at the G7 summit, he refused to be drawn on details, including refusing to rule out a delay of more than four weeks.

If a delay is confirmed, it means nightclubs will remain closed, mask wearing will continue in public places and working from home advice will stay in place.

Senior figures in Whitehall were hopeful the rapid rollout of the vaccine programme would mean the country would be able to shake off all lockdown measures this summer.

But the mood among senior officials darkened when it became increasingly clear the Delta variant, first identified in India, is fuelling a rise in cases across the country.

Scientists now estimate 96% of all new Covid cases are attributed to the highly transmissible variant that has effectively replaced the Alpha variant first spotted in Kent.

A woman reacts to the camera as Nightclub Circus hosts the first dance event, which will welcome 6,000 clubbers to the city's Bramley-Moore Dock warehouse on April 30, 2021 in Liverpool, England.
Nightclubs were among the businesses hoping to fully reopen on June 21 – but that now looks unlikely (Picture: Getty)
2021 England fans outside Wembley Stadium before the match.
Ministers had hoped the easing of restrictions along with the Euros would give the nation a boost – but the data doesn’t look good (Picture: Reuters)

The latest figures from Public Health England (PHE) show there have been 42,323 cases of the Delta variant confirmed in the UK, up by 29,892 from the previous week.

It’s estimated that the strain is 60% more transmissible compared with the Alpha variant and that cases are doubling every four-and-a-half days in some parts of England.

While almost 30 million people have received both doses of the vaccine, this is still well short of the percentage needed to provide herd immunity, meaning the disease can still spread.

Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson speaks during a news conference at the end of the G7 summit in Carbis Bay, Cornwall.
The Prime Minister wouldn’t be drawn on details when questioned at a press conference at the G7 summit (Picture: Reuters)

Public health officials argue a delay would also give more opportunity to control the spike using surge-testing techniques and provide time to get more people vaccinated.

When pressed on whether a delay of longer than the reported four weeks is on the cards, the PM refused to deny it, the Daily Mirror reports.

He said: “The right time to fill everybody in on what we’re going to do with step for with June 21 is tomorrow.

“That’s when we’ll be putting out the whole package of information so everyone can see it together.”

He added: “We don’t want to get it out in dribs and drabs”.

The Prime Minister is likely to face unrest on his own benches over the decision.

Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson and wife Carrie Johnson arrive for a G7 leaders reception at the Eden Project in Cornwall, England, Friday June 11, 2021, during the G7 summit.
Boris Johnson will return from the G7 today to dire warnings from scientists that the Delta variant is fuelling cases across the country (Picture: AP)

Unnamed ministers have briefed The Telegraph they believe a four-week delay could results in restrictions remaining in place until the spring.

While the PM is likely to be hit by harsh criticism from leaders in impacted sectors like hospitality, the public is broadly supportive of a delay.

A recent poll by Opinium found significant public support for a postponement, with 54% in favour and 37% against.

Ministers are also considering whether the vaccine programme will need to be rolled out to under-18s in order to get on top of the new variant.

The new wave of infections is being fuelled by cases among the unvaccinated young, with people aged between 10 and 19 now representing the most infected cohort.

One government advisor has called for the jab to be administered to children as young as 12 as the new strain appears to be transmitting among younger people more than the original variant did.

Get in touch with our news team by emailing us at webnews@metro.co.uk.

For more stories like this, check our news page.

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2021-06-13 14:20:00Z
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G7 leaders face biggest climate change decisions in history - David Attenborough - BBC News

Boris Johnson and David Attenborough talking in front of a projection of Earth
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G7 leaders are facing the most important decisions in human history as they seek to tackle climate change, Sir David Attenborough has said.

The naturalist will address world leaders gathered in Cornwall on Sunday as they set out plans to cut carbon emissions and restore biodiversity.

Ahead of the meeting, Sir David warned that humans could be "on the verge of destabilising the entire planet".

Climate change is one of the key themes at the three-day summit in Carbis Bay.

The group of seven - the UK, US, Canada, Japan, France, Germany and Italy - are expected to pledge to almost halve their emissions by 2030, relative to 2010 levels.

The UK has already surpassed that commitment, previously promising to cut emissions by the equivalent of 58% on 2010 levels.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson will hold a press conference on Sunday afternoon, the final day of a summit where he has clashed with EU leaders over the Brexit deal's requirements for checks on goods from Britain to Northern Ireland.

And after the summit, US President Joe Biden will be met by a Guard of Honour at Windsor Castle, where he will have tea with the Queen.

'Plain to see'

The G7 countries are due to set how they hope to meet the emissions target.

This is expected to be through phasing out petrol and diesel cars, stopping almost all direct government support for the fossil fuel sector overseas, and ending all unabated coal use as soon as possible - meaning any remaining coal plants will need to have invested in technologies such as carbon capture and storage.

BBC environment analyst Roger Harrabin said there had been "a crucial lack of detail on two questions so far: the proposed green masterplan to help developing countries get clean technology and the amount of cash richer [countries] will hand to the poorer to tackle the climate crisis."

In advance of the session, Sir David said: "The natural world today is greatly diminished. That is undeniable.

"Our climate is warming fast. That is beyond doubt. Our societies and nations are unequal and that is sadly plain to see.

"But the question science forces us to address specifically in 2021 is whether as a result of these intertwined facts we are on the verge of destabilising the entire planet.

"If that is so, then the decisions we make this decade - in particular the decisions made by the most economically advanced nations - are the most important in human history."

China, which according to one report was responsible for 27% of the world's greenhouse gases in 2019 - the most of any country - is not part of the G7.

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What is climate change?

The Earth's average temperature is about 15C (59F) but has been much higher and lower in the past.

There are natural fluctuations in the climate but scientists say temperatures are now rising faster than at many other times.

This is linked to the greenhouse effect, which describes how the Earth's atmosphere traps some of the Sun's energy.

Solar energy radiating back to space from the Earth's surface is absorbed by greenhouse gases and re-emitted in all directions.

This heats both the lower atmosphere and the surface of the planet. Without this effect, the Earth would be about 30C (86F) colder and hostile to life.

Scientists believe we are adding to the natural greenhouse effect, with gases released from industry and agriculture trapping more energy and increasing the temperature.

This is known as climate change or global warming.

Read our simple explainer on climate change here.

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The G7 leaders will endorse a plan aimed at reversing the loss of biodiversity - a measure of how many different species live in ecosystems - by the end of the decade.

The plan will include supporting the global target to conserve or protect at least 30% of land and oceans by 2030.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who is hosting the summit, is also launching a £500m fund to protect the world's oceans and marine life.

The "blue planet fund" will help countries including Ghana, Indonesia and Pacific island states, tackle unsustainable fishing, protect and restore coastal ecosystems like mangroves and coral reefs, and reduce marine pollution.

Hundreds of protesters brought streets to a standstill in Cornwall on Saturday, with many campaigning for cleaner seas and action on climate change.

A major UN report from 2019 said that global emissions of carbon dioxide must peak by 2020 to keep the planet from warming more than 1.5C - the so-called safe limit.

Mr Johnson said protecting the planet was "the most important thing we as leaders can do for our people".

"There is a direct relationship between reducing emissions, restoring nature, creating jobs and ensuring long-term economic growth," he said on Saturday.

Graphic showing the faces of each leader
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2021-06-13 06:26:56Z
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