Selasa, 16 Februari 2021

Covid: Extra 1.7m vulnerable added to shielding list - BBC News

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There is to be a large expansion of the number of people being asked to shield in England.

An extra 1.7 million people are expected to be added to the 2.3 million already on the list.

Half of the group have not yet been vaccinated so will now be prioritised urgently by their local GPs.

It comes after a new model was developed that takes into account extra factors rather than just health.

This calculation includes things such as ethnicity, deprivation (by postcode) and weight to work out a person's risk of becoming seriously ill if they were to catch Covid.

It also looks at age, underlying health issues and prescribed medications.

Until now, only those with specific conditions or undergoing certain types of treatment have been advised to shield until 31 March.

They include adults with Down's Syndrome, organ donor recipients and people with severe respiratory conditions.

The new model was developed following work by Oxford University which looked at the characteristics of people who died in the first wave to better understand risk.

Medical records have been searched to identify high-risk patients, based on their combined risk factors.

They are now being sent letters by the NHS informing of them of their new status, which means they are entitled to statutory sick pay, prioritisation for online shopping slots and help collecting medicines.

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Bumped up the list

Of the 1.7 million, around 900,000 have already received an offer of a vaccination because they were over 70.

The remainder are all thought to fall into one of the priority groups that are being invited for vaccination next.

They will be bumped up the list first for a jab, the government said.

It means they will receive the offer a few weeks later than if they had been in the shielding group originally.

Shielding was re-introduced in tier four areas from mid-December, before being expanded nationally once the third lockdown was announced in early January.

Unlike in the first lockdown, people who are shielding are being advised they can leave their homes for exercise.

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What is shielding?

Government guidelines strongly advise clinically extremely vulnerable people to stay at home at all times, apart from going out to exercise or to attend a medical appointment.

They should also try to stay 2m (6ft) away from other people within their household, especially if they display symptoms of the virus or have been advised to self-isolate.

People on the list are still advised to shield even if they have had two doses of the vaccine.

Who is on the shielding list?

  • Solid organ transplant recipients
  • Some people with cancer who are undergoing treatments such as chemotherapy and radiotherapy
  • People on immunosuppression drugs
  • Women who are pregnant and have heart disease
  • People with severe respiratory conditions - cystic fibrosis, severe asthma and COPD
  • Some people with rare diseases such as severe combined immunodeficiency
  • Adults with Down's syndrome
  • Adults on dialysis or with stage 5 chronic kidney disease

The list does not include all elderly people, although they are strongly advised to do social distancing.

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Deputy chief medical officer for England Dr Jenny Harries said: "This action ensures those most vulnerable to Covid can benefit from both the protection that vaccines provide and from enhanced advice and support should they choose it."

Phillip Anderson, of the MS Society, said some people with multiple sclerosis were being added to the shielding list.

He said it would come as a "huge shock" to people who would potentially have to make "drastic changes" to their lives.

The Westminster government said the model had been shared with the other nations of the UK, who would decide individually how to use it.

There are no current plans to formally expand the shielding list in Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland in the same way as in England.

The Welsh government said the same computer model had already been used to add those with chronic kidney disease and adults with Down's Syndrome to its list of those who are extremely clinically vulnerable.

In Northern Ireland, GPs and hospital doctors can add individual patients to the shielding list if they are assessed as extremely vulnerable based on a range of factors.

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2021-02-16 18:32:00Z
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COVID-19: Foreign holidays 'highly unlikely' this summer, warns Nicola Sturgeon - Sky News

Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has warned holidays abroad are "highly unlikely" this summer due to the risks posed by new COVID variants.

In a statement to the Scottish Parliament on Tuesday, Ms Sturgeon dampened hopes of Scots being able to jet overseas in the near future.

Delivering a coronavirus update to MSPs, in which she confirmed the phased return of Scottish pupils to classrooms from Monday, the first minister also advised Scots against booking holidays abroad or staycations during the Easter holidays.

"We are likely to advise against booking Easter holidays, either overseas or within Scotland, as it is highly unlikely that we will have been able to fully open hotels or self-catering accommodation by then," Ms Sturgeon said.

"For the summer, while it is still highly unlikely that overseas holidays will be possible or advisable, staycations might be - but this will depend on the data nearer the time.

"However, given the risks posed by new variants of this virus, it is hard to overstate the necessity of being careful, cautious and gradual as we exit this lockdown, if we want to avoid another one later in the year.

"And that means, for now, all of us continuing to abide by the stay at home requirement."

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Ms Sturgeon's warning that foreign holidays this summer are "highly unlikely" goes further than UK government ministers, who have only said it is "too early" to know if trips abroad will be allowed.

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Sturgeon confirms 'phased' school return

Last week, Health Secretary Matt Hancock told Sky News the government is "doing everything we can" to allow Britons to enjoy a holiday this year as he confirmed he had booked a trip to Cornwall for this summer.

It followed confusion about whether people should be planning summer breaks after Transport Secretary Grant Shapps urged Britons not to book holidays yet, but Mr Hancock previously predicted a "great British summer".

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said it is "too early for people to be certain about what we will be able to do this summer".

Labour accused UK government ministers of providing "mixed messages" on summer holidays and "creating chaos for families and businesses".

Travel companies have issued warnings about the future of their industry if foreign holidays are banned until everyone in the UK has received a COVID vaccine.

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On Monday, new UK border measures were introduced which now require those arriving from abroad to take two COVID tests - at a cost of £210 per person - on days two and eight of their mandatory 10-day quarantine.

Meanwhile, those UK nationals returning from 33 "red list" countries now have to quarantine in hotels for at least 10 days, at a cost of at least £1,750.

In Scotland, all passengers returning from overseas - whether from countries on the "red list" or not - now have to quarantine in hotels.

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2021-02-16 17:21:46Z
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COVID-19: Phased return of schools in Scotland to begin on Monday, Nicola Sturgeon announces - Sky News

The phased return of pupils to classrooms in Scotland will begin on Monday, the first minister has confirmed.

Nicola Sturgeon revealed the news in a statement to the Scottish parliament, as she said the country's lockdown would continue until "at least" the beginning of March and "possibly for a further period beyond that".

She told MSPs the shutdown was working - with fewer COVID-19 patients in hospital and intensive care - but cautioned that "even a slight" easing of restrictions could see cases "start rising rapidly again".

And Ms Sturgeon said that a return to "100% normality" would not be possible in the near future.

She told the Scottish parliament that some measures may have to remain in force, with "trade offs" required to ease some restrictions.

"We are choosing to use the very limited headroom we have right now to get at least some children back to school - because children's education and wellbeing is such a priority," the first minister said.

"But being able to get children back to education may mean the rest of us living with some other restrictions for longer."

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She warned that "if we open up too quickly to meet arbitrary dates, we risk setting progress back".

"Indeed, because of the new, more infectious variant, our exit from lockdown is likely to be even more cautious than it was last summer," Ms Sturgeon continued.

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Scotland's 'sunshine' after jabs target

"And secondly, probably for a while yet, 100% normality is unlikely to be possible. So in a world where we can't do everything immediately, we will need to decide what matters most."

She said the government hopes to produce a new roadmap for easing lockdown next week, with more emphasis on data rather than timings for relaxing measures.

Giving MSPs an example of what it might say, Ms Sturgeon said it would likely advise Scots not to book holidays at home or abroad over Easter, but added that "staycations" in the summer may be permitted depending on the data.

Education would be the priority, she said, followed by allowing greater family contact and the opening of non-essential retail heralding the beginning of a phased reopening of the economy.

On schools, Ms Sturgeon said pupils in Primary 1 to Primary 3 will return on 22 February, along with all children under school age in early learning and childcare and those in the senior phase of secondary school.

She said older pupils would only be allowed back to make sure practical work important to their qualifications was finished.

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Can we keep up with the evolving virus, and will we have to vaccinate the population for years to come?

The first minister said that further returns to school would not take place before 15 March, in order to allow sufficient time to assess the impact of the return in phase one.

And she warned parents not to socialise at school gates for fear of transmitting the virus, saying that the return to school for some pupils must only be treated as "a return to education for children only, and not as a return to greater normality for the rest of us".

Ms Sturgeon said earlier this month that the return of pupils would be supported by an expansion of testing, with older pupils and anyone working in schools or childcare settings routinely tested twice a week.

The first minister also used her statement to praise Scotland's "outstanding" vaccine programme.

She said 94% of people aged between 70 and 79 had been given the first dose of a vaccine, along with 58% of those aged between 65 and 69.

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"I want to thank everyone planning and delivering the programme and everyone who has come forward to be vaccinated," Ms Sturgeon said.

Scotland's return date for schools is two weeks earlier than the potential date proposed by Prime Minister Boris Johnson for the reopening of schools in England.

In Wales, children aged three to seven will also return to the classroom on 22 February, along with some older children on vocational courses.

In Northern Ireland, ministers are set to discuss a potential date for reopening schools at a meeting on Thursday.

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2021-02-16 15:00:00Z
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Harry and Meghan to be interviewed by Oprah Winfrey - BBC News

Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex and the Duchess of Sussex in the Ascot Landau carriage during the procession after getting married
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The Duke and Duchess of Sussex are to talk about their decision to step away from the monarchy in a TV interview with Oprah Winfrey, to air next month.

Oprah With Meghan And Harry: A CBS Primetime Special has been described by the US television network as an "intimate conversation".

The "wide-ranging" interview will be broadcast on 7 March.

The news follows the announcement that the royal couple are expecting their second child.

According to CBS, Meghan will be interviewed about "stepping into life as a royal, marriage, motherhood" and "how she is handling life under intense public pressure".

She will then be joined by Prince Harry, and the couple will speak about their move to the United States last year and their future plans.

Oprah Winfrey
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The decision to speak publicly comes just over a year after the couple announced they had decided to "step back" from life as senior royals and work to become financially independent. They carried out their final formal royal duties last March.

Winfrey is a personal friend of Meghan and attended the couple's wedding in 2018.

It is not known whether Harry and Meghan informed the royal household about their plans to be interviewed. Buckingham Palace declined to comment. It is also not known which broadcaster, if any, will show the interview in the UK.

'Frantic speculation'

Jonny Dymond, the BBC's royal correspondent, said there would now be "three weeks of frantic speculation" about the contents of the interview.

"We wait to see what it will be and what kind of secrets are revealed about the past two or three years," he told BBC Radio 4's Today programme on Tuesday.

Dymond described Winfrey as "a very close acquaintance" of the royal couple and that she had apparently been "angling" for the interview "for some time".

He added that their conversation was unlikely to be a "hostile" interview like the one between the Duke of York and Newsnight's Emily Maitlis last year.

Meanwhile, press reports on Tuesday suggested the duke and duchess are set to lose their remaining royal patronages.

It is claimed that Harry will also lose his three honorary military titles - Captain General of the Royal Marines, Honorary Air Force Commandant of the Royal Air Force Base Honington, and Honorary Commodore-in-Chief of the Royal Naval Commands' Small Ships and Diving.

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2021-02-16 14:25:00Z
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What needs to happen for lockdown restrictions to ease? From the R rate to hospital admissions - The Sun

THE UK needs to hit a range of targets before lockdown restrictions can be eased across the country.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson last night said that he wants this lockdown to "be the last" and is set to outline a roadmap on February 22 which will detail how Brits will be eased out of restrictions.

🦠 Read our coronavirus live blog for the latest news & updates

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said infection rates need to come down before lockdown measures can be lifted
Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said infection rates need to come down before lockdown measures can be lifted
Cases are falling across the UK but still remain high
Cases are falling across the UK but still remain highCredit: Alamy Live News

Kids are set to be back in the classroom next month and it is rumoured that more outdoor activities could be on the cards for Brits.

Infection rates are falling across the UK but still remain at high levels.

It was yesterday reported that infections have fallen in 93 per cent of local authorities in England.

It was also reported this week that the rule of six could return and shops could open in weeks if infection levels continue to fall.

Hopes are also growing that families could be reunited outside by Easter

Mr Johnson said falling Covid rates are paving the way for the nation to get back to normal.

'RANGE OF OPTIONS'

He hailed the vaccine rollout across the UK, which has meant that over 15 million Brits have received their first dose of a jab with nearly half a million having received their second.

Speaking at a press conference last night he promised to gradually remove restrictions in a “cautious but also irreversible” was - though admitted he can't offer "an absolute cast iron guarantee.”

Mr Johnson hailed the "unprecedented national achievement", but said that now was "no moment to relax" as the vaccine rollout moves on to the next five priority groups.

He said: “Science is now unquestionably in the ascendancy over the disease.”

Brits have been urged to stay at home in order to stop the spread of Covid-19
Brits have been urged to stay at home in order to stop the spread of Covid-19Credit: Alamy Live News

The PM then added: “I don’t want people to think that I am not optimistic, there has been a big change.”

This week the Prime Minister's spokesperson said the government was looking at a range of options to lift lockdown.

They said: "We're looking at infection rates, and the transmission rates of the virus across the country, the number of people that are being hospitalised, the number of people who are currently in hospital and the number of people who are sadly going on to die from the virus.

They added that experts were also looking at the latest R rate, and the impact that the vaccination programme is having on transmission rates of the virus.

"So we're looking at a whole range of evidence and data and it will be that that informs the road map that we publish on Monday next week", they added.

But what does the UK need to achieve in order for lockdown to be lifted?

Progress with vaccines

So far in the UK over 15 million Brits have received a first dose of either the Pfizer/BioNTech jab or the Oxford/AstraZeneca offering with over half a million having received their second.

Those who have been jabbed already include the most vulnerable in society as listed by the JCVI (Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation).

Residents in care homes and their carers were first in line to be jabbed as well as the over 80s.

Last week Health Secretary Matt Hancock urged people over 75 who had not yet received their jab to contact the NHS to organise inoculation.

Some areas of the country have already starting jabbing their over 65s and after they have received a jab, all adults who have underlying health conditions will be invited to be vaccinated.

Experts from Edinburgh University previously warned that relaxing all measures at the end of April – once all those in the first phase of the vaccination programme covering over-50s have been offered a jab – could still lead to a huge surge in cases.

The R rate

The R rate is a measure of the severity of the Covid outbreak.

The crucial value represents the number of people an infected person passes the virus onto.

But it can be suppressed if everyone reduces their contacts - and is one of the key reasons the country has been forced to shutdown.

Scientists say the R rate must be below 1 in order for the outbreak to shrink because this means every Covid patient infects fewer than one other person.

Data published by Sage on Friday revealed that the R rate across the UK is below one for the first time since July.

The figure is currently between 0.7 and 0.9 and while there are some slight regional differences, every region is below 1.

Health Secretary Matt Hancock praised the efforts of Brits in lowering the R rate.

He tweeted: "Thanks to the National effort, the R number has fallen below 1. We still have lots of work to do to defeat this virus, but we're making great progress.

"We will get through this, together."

Death rates

It's clear that before lockdown is lifted, death rates will need to fall.

So far in the UK over 100,000 people have died from the virus after daily deaths peaked in January at over 1,000 a day.

While vaccines are being rolled out across the UK, it is not yet clear how effective the jabs have been at reducing deaths and hospitalisations.

More data will be needed to evaluate this which should be available in the coming weeks.

Mr Johnson said the plan to exit lockdown will rely partly on “deaths falling at the pace we would expect as more people are inoculated”.

But he did not clarify how quickly officials expect to see numbers dwindle.

Hospital admissions

In order for restrictions to be relaxed, pressure needs to be lifted from the NHS.

Last month there were around 37,000 people in hospital with Covid in the UK with 4,032 on ventilators.

Data from the government's coronavirus dashboard shows that this has dropped off significantly.

At present there are 23,341 patients in hospital with Covid-19 and 2,943 requiring support from a ventilator.

Each patient admitted to hospital with Covid is treated for around three weeks.

Mr Johnson previously said that if the lockdown was lifted too soon, the NHS could come under more pressure.

Government experts have not given a figure as to how many hospital admissions would be acceptable for the government to lift restrictions.

This graph shows how hospital admission were climbing in December and early January and that they are now starting to fall
This graph shows how hospital admission were climbing in December and early January and that they are now starting to fall
The graph above shows the number of people who are currently on ventilation with Covid-19 in the UK
The graph above shows the number of people who are currently on ventilation with Covid-19 in the UKCredit: gov.uk

Infection rates

Data from Public Health England (PHE) suggests that infection rate are falling across most of England with just a handful of areas witnessing a rise in infections.

Fewer cases of coronavirus mean fewer hospitalisations and fewer deaths.

NHS boss Sir Simon Stevens previously said that infection rates are "fundamentally the driver of deaths".

Over the weekend he warned that Brits needed to be alert when it comes to new mutations.

He said: "We must all remain vigilant and follow the lockdown rules restricting social contact. We must also be very careful about relaxing those rules prematurely.

"This will prevent unnecessary deaths, reduce patient harm, and help ensure the NHS can care for all patients, Covid and non-Covid alike."

The graph above shows the current rate of cases -how they were flat during the summer months and the peak in January
The graph above shows the current rate of cases -how they were flat during the summer months and the peak in JanuaryCredit: gov.uk

Prof Tim Spector, behind the Zoe Covid symptom tracker app, told Sky News’s Sophy Ridge on Sunday infection rates had fallen by 80 per cent since New Year.

He said the data continues to look “quite good” and that the PM could even partially lift lockdown in some regions before March 8.

Prof Spector hinted that lockdown could be lifted "sooner rather than later" if infections rates continued to tumble.

He said: "Based on the ZOE data and our predictions we are soon to be in the same place we were in early June, with the advantage of having a large proportion of the population vaccinated which could mean good news in terms of lifting some restrictions sooner rather than later.

"By March 8 we should have less than 1 in 740 people with symptoms allowing us to get kids back into the classrooms and starting to allow people to exercise and meet, at least outdoors, where the risk of transmission is much lower.

"Until then it’s important to keep following the guidelines, even if you have had a vaccine, and keep reporting symptoms and getting tested even if your symptoms are not typical."

The government have not stated how low infection rates would need to be for lockdown to be lowered.

However in July last year there were days where under 50 cases a day were being reported.

Boris vows 'no vaccine passport to go to the pub' but you may need one to jet off on holiday

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2021-02-16 11:00:00Z
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Covid vaccine impact revealed in over-80s blood tests - BBC News

woman receiving covid vaccine
Dan Kitwood

England's vaccination programme is starting to pay off, with the over-80s age group now the most likely to test positive for coronavirus antibodies, Office for National Statistics testing suggests.

Blood tests reveal more over-80s than any other age group in England are showing signs of some immunity against Covid infection.

This comes as Covid deaths have fallen.

But overall, deaths are still 40% above the five-year average.

Protection in the blood

People have antibodies to Covid if they've had an infection in the last few months or if they have been vaccinated.

Previously, younger age groups who were more likely to be exposed to the virus were the most likely to test positive for antibodies.

In England, 41% of over-80s tested positive for antibodies, which the ONS said was "most likely due to the high vaccination rate in this group".

Two weeks ago that figure was 26%.

It takes two to three weeks for immunity to build after vaccination.

The next most likely to have antibodies against Covid in England were people aged 16-24 years - 26% of this age group had them, due to infection rather than vaccination.

This percentage has only increased a small amount in the past fortnight.

In the other three UK nations, which have jabbed a smaller proportion of their older people, antibody detection remained highest in younger groups.

Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland have not published data for week-on-week comparisons.

'Excess deaths'

Meanwhile, there were 7,820 Covid deaths registered in the UK in the week to 5 February - a fall of more than a tenth from the previous week (9,010).

That puts all deaths for any reason 38% higher than the average for the same week over the past five years.

This is the first time there has been a real fall in deaths in the ONS data since the last lockdown, although it refers to a fortnight ago. The government figures published each day already show significant falls in deaths.

Deaths involving Covid accounted for 43% of all mortality in England and Wales in the week to 5 February.

This means a doctor has judged it to be a factor and written it on a patient's death certificate.

For 90% of these deaths, Covid was the main underlying cause.

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2021-02-16 12:11:00Z
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Covid vaccine impact revealed in over-80s blood tests - BBC News

woman receiving covid vaccine
Dan Kitwood

England's vaccination programme is starting to pay off, with the over-80s age group now the most likely to test positive for coronavirus antibodies, Office for National Statistics testing suggests.

Blood tests reveal more over-80s than any other age group in England are showing signs of some immunity against Covid infection.

This comes as Covid deaths have fallen.

But overall, deaths are still 40% above the five-year average.

Protection in the blood

People have antibodies to Covid if they've had an infection in the last few months or if they have been vaccinated.

Previously, younger age groups who were more likely to be exposed to the virus were the most likely to test positive for antibodies.

In England, 41% of over-80s tested positive for antibodies, which the ONS said was "most likely due to the high vaccination rate in this group".

Two weeks ago that figure was 26%.

It takes two to three weeks for immunity to build after vaccination.

The next most likely to have antibodies against Covid in England were people aged 16-24 years - 26% of this age group had them, due to infection rather than vaccination.

This percentage has only increased a small amount in the past fortnight.

In the other three UK nations, which have jabbed a smaller proportion of their older people, antibody detection remained highest in younger groups.

Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland have not published data for week-on-week comparisons.

'Excess deaths'

Meanwhile, there were 7,820 Covid deaths registered in the UK in the week to 5 February - a fall of more than a tenth from the previous week (9,010).

That puts all deaths for any reason 38% higher than the average for the same week over the past five years.

This is the first time there has been a fall in deaths in the ONS data since the last lockdown, although it refers to a fortnight ago. The government figures published each day already show significant falls in deaths.

Deaths involving Covid accounted for 43% of all mortality in England and Wales in the week to 5 February.

This means a doctor has judged it to be a factor and written it on a patient's death certificate.

For 90% of these deaths, Covid was the main underlying cause.

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2021-02-16 10:53:00Z
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