Jumat, 11 Desember 2020

EU states urged to push UK into new talks in event of no-deal Brexit - Financial Times

Brussels has warned EU governments not to break ranks or entertain the idea of side deals with Britain should trade talks fail, urging a firm line in order to force the UK back to the negotiation table “as soon as possible” after January 1.

According to a diplomatic note seen by the Financial Times, EU member states were warned by Brussels not to do anything that would ease the consequences of a no-deal end to the Brexit transition period on January 1. 

One EU official familiar with the discussion said Brussels was under “no illusion” that a no-deal Brexit would be highly unpredictable. “Everyone understands there are no guarantees the British come back to the table.”

A second senior EU diplomat said hopes were fading for a deal. “A deal would, of course, be preferable, but it is beginning to look like the question is not whether we can stop the Brexit ship hitting the rocks, but how it can be refloated.”

With negotiators making a last-ditch attempt to secure a breakthrough, UK prime minister Boris Johnson warned on Friday that it was “very, very likely” that Britain would leave the single market without a trade deal. 

Ursula von der Leyen, European Commission president, told EU leaders at a summit in Brussels that there was a “higher probability” that talks would fail than succeed.

Brussels and London will decide on the fate of the talks on Sunday. Despite this, senior EU figures, including the Irish and German foreign ministers, said on Friday that they continued to believe that an agreement was possible. 

But, with time running out, the EU’s working party on the trade negotiations, which is made up of national diplomats, met on Thursday to run through no-deal measures which Brussels had published earlier in the day.

According to the diplomatic note from the meeting, national governments were encouraged to be careful not to expand on unilateral EU “no deal” contingency measures published by the Commission this week. The measures mainly cover temporary arrangements for air and road transport.

A Brussels official told the assembled diplomats that an “incentive must be maintained” for the UK to return to the negotiating table “as soon as possible” if the negotiations did not lead to success this year.

National governments were told it was important not to do anything that would replicate the benefits of EU membership, beyond what was contained in the specific, time-limited measures designed to keep planes flying and trucks moving.

The decision not to include the so-called “fifth freedom” — allowing intra-EU airfreight movements — and to deny “cabotage” rights that would allow British trucks to make drop-offs around Europe were explicitly designed to keep up the pressures, diplomats were told.

With a no-deal outcome looming, the pound fell in choppy trading on Friday. Sterling slipped as much as 1.2 per cent in afternoon dealing, before trimming its losses to about 0.4 per cent to trade at $1.3241. It has shed 1.5 per cent over the past week in its biggest slide since September.

Negotiations between Brussels and London are snarled up primarily over EU demands for a regulatory “level playing field” that would guarantee that its companies be shielded from unfair competition. Mr Johnson has said the demands are an affront to sovereignty.

But leaders including Dutch prime minister Mark Rutte and his Irish counterpart Micheál Martin stressed that both sides needed to strive for an agreement, warning of the economic blow of a no-deal outcome.

“The implications are very serious for all concerned in the event of a no-deal and I think all politicians in the UK and across Europe need to reflect on that,” Mr Martin told reporters at the summit in Brussels.

Mr Rutte said: “It would be unexplainable to the world if the UK and Europe were not able to come to a deal.”

Additional reporting by Jim Pickard in London

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2020-12-11 21:01:00Z
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Duke and Duchess of Cambridge give George, Charlotte and Louis attend a West End pantomime - Daily Mail

Duke and Duchess of Cambridge give George, Charlotte and Louis an early Christmas treat with a trip to a pantomime as they throw support behind performing arts that have been devastated by virus

  • Duke and Duchess of Cambridge and their three children went to a pantomime in London's West End on Friday
  • Prince George, Princess Charlotte and Prince Louis had a ball on their first official royal red carpet together
  • The special pantomime performance was held at The London Palladium and hosted by The National Lottery
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The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge gave their children an early Christmas treat today with a trip to the pantomime in London's West End.

Prince George, Princess Charlotte and Prince Louis had a ball on their first official royal red carpet together late this afternoon.

The youngsters were taken by William and Kate to a special pantomime performance at The London Palladium, hosted by The National Lottery, which was held to thank key workers and their families for their phenomenal efforts this year.

Prince George, Princess Charlotte and Prince Louis had their first experience of a royal box, chatting excitedly (with the Duchess of Cambridge) as they waited for the start of the performance of 'Pantoland', starring Julian Clary and Elaine Page

Prince George, Princess Charlotte and Prince Louis had their first experience of a royal box, chatting excitedly (with the Duchess of Cambridge) as they waited for the start of the performance of 'Pantoland', starring Julian Clary and Elaine Page

The Duchess of Cambridge with Prince Louis on her lap as Princess Charlotte rests her head of her mother ahead of the performance

The Duchess of Cambridge with Prince Louis on her lap as Princess Charlotte rests her head of her mother ahead of the performance 

Princess Charlotte whispers to Prince Louis in the royal box as they waited for the performance of 'Pantoland', starring Julian Clary and Elaine Page

Princess Charlotte whispers to Prince Louis in the royal box as they waited for the performance of 'Pantoland', starring Julian Clary and Elaine Page

Holding their parents' hands tightly, they walked up to the the theatre, entranced by the sight of an elf juggling snowballs.

Little Louis, two, smartly dressed in blue cardigan was with his mother, the Duchess of Cambridge, elegant in a Alessandra Rich dress, while his brother, George, seven, looking more grown up than ever in a stripped jumper, held onto the duke.

Feisty Charlotte, five, happily walked on her own, kicking her legs in a grey and black tartan dress, shrugging off her father's guiding arm.

The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge with their children Prince George (right), Princess Charlotte and Prince Louis (left) ahead of a special pantomime performance at The London Palladium, hosted by The National Lottery on Friday

The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge with their children Prince George (right), Princess Charlotte and Prince Louis (left) ahead of a special pantomime performance at The London Palladium, hosted by The National Lottery on Friday

Little Louis, two, smartly dressed in blue cardigan was with his mother, the Duchess of Cambridge, elegant in a Alessandra Rich dress while Charlotte wore a grey and black tartan dress

Little Louis, two, smartly dressed in blue cardigan was with his mother, the Duchess of Cambridge, elegant in a Alessandra Rich dress while Charlotte wore a grey and black tartan dress

Do it like the Duchess of Cambridge in an Alessandra Rich midi dress

The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge surprised their little ones with an early Christmas treat today in the form of a special pantomime performance at The London Palladium.

Her dress is by Alessandra Rich, a label she has worn on several occasions now. Remember that green floral number, or the festive red dress for the Mary Berry Christmas TV special? Both of those were by the brand too!

This chic silk style features a frill collar, midi length, petal print and navy colourway. It's equal parts sophisticated and wearable!

Unfortunately this dress is no longer available to buy as it's from an older collection, but you can shop the current collection by Alessandra Rich at NET-A-PORTER now; simply click (right).

Or recreate Kate's midi moment with the help of our edit...

* PRICES MAY NOT BE AS ADVERTISED

Rules for Covid-secure performances  

Covid-secure performances of pantomimes mean that shouting, booing and singing is discouraged.  

Government guidelines state: 'Shouting or singing loudly can produce 20-times the mass of aerosol than speaking at a normal level of loudness'. 

Audiences at pantomimes will be able to click their fingers or stamp their feet instead of yelling 'he’s behind you!' 

Theatres in Tier 3 are not allowed to open but can still rehearse and will have to wait until December 16 to find out if they can put on Covid-secure shows. 

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Inside, they had their first experience of a royal box, chatting excitedly as they waited for the start of the performance of 'Pantoland', starring Julian Clary and Elaine Page.

William, 38, nipped downstairs and onto the stage make a speech before the start of the show leaving Louis sitting on his mother's lap.

The second in line to the throne thanked Britain's key workers and sweetly marked the death of Dame Barbara Windsor, a fitting tribute given her frequent appearance as a pantomime star.

He said: 'Before I go on, I want to pause and pay tribute to a true national treasure, Dame Barbara Windsor, who so sadly passed away last night.

'She was a giant of the entertainment world, and of course a legend on pantomime stages across the country including here at the London Palladium. And I know we'll all miss her hugely.'

He told the audience sitting in family groups with social distancing between them: 'It's wonderful to be back here in the West End and see theatres reopening their doors....Catherine, George, Charlotte, Louis and I are all really looking forward to the show.

'We are here tonight for a very special performance. Special, because of you – the key workers here in the audience.

'You include community workers, volunteers, teachers, NHS staff, representatives from the emergency services and military, researchers working on the vaccine, people helping the homeless, those manning vital call centres, and staff from a wide range of frontline charities – to name but a few.

'You have given your absolute all this year, and made remarkable sacrifices.

'So too have your families, who I'm sure have seen far less of you than they would have liked. It's lovely that you are all here together tonight.

The youngsters were taken by William and Kate to a special pantomime performance at The London Palladium, hosted by The National Lottery, which was held to thank key workers and their families for their phenomenal efforts this year

The youngsters were taken by William and Kate to a special pantomime performance at The London Palladium, hosted by The National Lottery, which was held to thank key workers and their families for their phenomenal efforts this year

Holding their parents’ hands tightly, they walked up to the the theatre, entranced by the sight of an elf juggling snowballs

Holding their parents' hands tightly, they walked up to the the theatre, entranced by the sight of an elf juggling snowballs

Duke and Duchess of Cambridge (pictured left). Pantoland, billed as a celebration of pantomime, features a host of stars including singer Beverley Knight, dancers Ashley Banjo and Diversity, comedian and ventriloquist Paul Zerdin, actor Nigel Havers, singer Gary Wilmot, actor Charlie Stemp, and Joseph star Jac Yarrow

Duke and Duchess of Cambridge (pictured left). Pantoland, billed as a celebration of pantomime, features a host of stars including singer Beverley Knight, dancers Ashley Banjo and Diversity, comedian and ventriloquist Paul Zerdin, actor Nigel Havers, singer Gary Wilmot, actor Charlie Stemp, and Joseph star Jac Yarrow

'You are representative of the huge number of people across the UK who have stepped forward to make a difference this year in so many crucial ways. The country owes you a huge debt of gratitude.

'I hope you all thoroughly enjoy yourselves this evening. It is the least we could do to thank you for everything you do – day in, day out – to keep our country safe and look after those who need help the most.

'From all of us - we wish you all a very Happy Christmas!'

The Duke of Cambridge gave a speech on stage and thanked Britain’s key workers and sweetly marked the death of Dame Barbara Windsor, a fitting tribute given her frequent appearance as a pantomime star

The Duke of Cambridge gave a speech on stage and thanked Britain's key workers and sweetly marked the death of Dame Barbara Windsor, a fitting tribute given her frequent appearance as a pantomime star

For much of William's speech, Louis was focused on a big glitter ball hanging from the ceiling above the main part of the auditorium, pointing upwards at it and talking to Kate, 38.

When the duke returned to the box, there was a swift shuffling of seats, as William came to sit between his eldest son and daughter, leaving Charlotte amusingly doing a face palm gesture before they all settled down for the show.

Pantoland, billed as a celebration of pantomime, features a host of stars including singer Beverley Knight, dancers Ashley Banjo and Diversity, comedian and ventriloquist Paul Zerdin, actor Nigel Havers, singer Gary Wilmot, actor Charlie Stemp, and Joseph star Jac Yarrow.

William told the audience sitting in family groups with social distancing between them: ‘It’s wonderful to be back here in the West End and see theatres reopening their doors....Catherine, George, Charlotte, Louis and I are all really looking forward to the show
Louis sat on his mother’s lap during the speech and was focused on a big glitter ball hanging from the ceiling above the main part of the auditorium

William (left) told the audience sitting in family groups with social distancing between them: 'It's wonderful to be back here in the West End and see theatres reopening their doors....Catherine, George, Charlotte, Louis and I are all really looking forward to the show. Louis (right) sat on his mother's lap during the speech and was focused on a big glitter ball hanging from the ceiling above the main part of the auditorium

The family outing comes after the duke and duchess undertook a mini Christmas tour on the royal train tour to pay tribute to the incredible work of individuals and organisations that have gone above and beyond in response to the coronavirus pandemic.

The trip was also designed to showcase the UK's arts, heritage and live performance sector, which has been devastated by the pandemic, but been supported throughout by the Government's £1.57 billion Culture Recovery Fund.

The National Lottery is currently supporting pantomimes at 10 theatres across the country, helping them to open their doors to the public safely by paying for the empty seats required for social distancing.

The Duke of Cambridge chats to Prince George and Princess Charlotte in the royal box ahead of the performance

The Duke of Cambridge chats to Prince George and Princess Charlotte in the royal box ahead of the performance 

The Duke of Cambridge waiting at the side of the stage ahead of his speech in which he said: 'We are here tonight for a very special performance. Special, because of you – the key workers here in the audience'

The Duke of Cambridge waiting at the side of the stage ahead of his speech in which he said: 'We are here tonight for a very special performance. Special, because of you – the key workers here in the audience'

The audience included key workers from across the capital, including NHS staff, delivery drivers, refuse collectors, emergency services staff, charity workers and volunteers.

Nigel Railton, chief executive of National Lottery operator Camelot, said: 'We wanted to do something ahead of Christmas to thank key workers who are playing such a vital role in this pandemic.

'We're delighted to have been able to host this special one-off performance of Pantoland with The London Palladium and Qdos Entertainment to hopefully lift spirits and say thank you to some of the key workers who keep us safe, ensure our public services run and continue to support the vulnerable. Never has their work been so critical during these extraordinary times.'  

The National Lottery is currently supporting pantomimes at 10 theatres across the country, helping them to open their doors to the public safely by paying for the empty seats required for social distancing. Pictured: The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge congratulate the cast of the production

The National Lottery is currently supporting pantomimes at 10 theatres across the country, helping them to open their doors to the public safely by paying for the empty seats required for social distancing. Pictured: The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge congratulate the cast of the production

Culture Secretary Oliver Dowden, was in the audience and at the interval in the foyer the royal couple, wearing face masks, chatted to him briefly about their Royal Train tour earlier this week where acts funded by the Culture Recovery Fund performed at every stop.

'Thank you for all the help on the train journey,' William said.

He and Kate also spoke to families involved in efforts to support communities during the pandemic.

William said in his speech: 'Before I go on, I want to pause and pay tribute to a true national treasure, Dame Barbara Windsor, who so sadly passed away last night. Pictured: Duke and Duchess of Cambridge with Dame Barbara Windsor in 2013

William said in his speech: 'Before I go on, I want to pause and pay tribute to a true national treasure, Dame Barbara Windsor, who so sadly passed away last night. Pictured: Duke and Duchess of Cambridge with Dame Barbara Windsor in 2013

Dom Warren, 35, and his wife Alex, 33, from Hastings in East Sussex set up Dom's Food Mission five years ago to use surplus food to help feed struggling families. In the Covid-19 pandemic they have seen demand rise dramatically and are currently providing 8,000 food parcels per month to families.

The couple, who are helped by their daughter, Lexie, 11, and son, Roman, 7, who both collect surplus food for the charity, work seven days a week. All four of them spoke to the royal couple.

William and Kate thanked them for all their hard work but William urged Dom to take it easy. 'Look after yourself. You've got to look after yourself in the long term because then you can look after other people,' the future King said.

The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge talk to Dom Warren, founder of Dom's Food Mission and his family, at the performance

The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge talk to Dom Warren, founder of Dom's Food Mission and his family, at the performance

After their chat, Lexie and Roman said they were enjoying the show. 'It's very cool,' Lexie said.

Roman added: 'It's funny.'

Asked what the Cambridges had thought of the show so far, Dom said: 'They said they thought it was amazing.'

He added they had not discussed what George, Charlotte, and Louis had thought of it.

Matt Ridsdale, Executive Director for the National Lottery operator Camelot, introduced William to the stage stage and couldn't resist using one of the oldest panto lines.

'As this is panto, I'm very conscious of who's behind me,' he said.

A REAL East End legend: How 4ft 10in Barbara Windsor towered over British show business for more than 60 years 

The 83-year-old cockney heroine Dame Barbara Windsor died on Thursday evening at a care home after being diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease six years ago. 

She was born Barbara Ann Deeks on August 6, 1937, in Shoreditch in east London to father John, a barrow boy, and her dressmaker mother Rose. 

With her irresistible chuckling laugh and signature crop of bright blonde hair, she became one the nation's stars as a buxom blonde in the Carry On films.

Successfully crossing the generational divide, she later became just as revered for her role as Peggy Mitchell in EastEnders as the Queen Victoria landlady who often yelled at rogue drinkers 'get outta my pub.'   

She appeared in nine of the 31 Carry On films, but was mostly associated with Carry On Camping and the memorable and risque scene in which her bikini top springs off during an exercise routine. 

British actress Barbara Windsor poses with her insignia as she poses for a photograph with her husband Scott Mitchell, after being appointed a Dame Commander of the order of the British Empire (DBE) in March 2016

British actress Barbara Windsor poses with her insignia as she poses for a photograph with her husband Scott Mitchell, after being appointed a Dame Commander of the order of the British Empire (DBE) in March 2016

One of Dame Barbara's most famous scenes was in 1969's Carry On Camping, when her bikini top flew off in the middle of an exercise class
Dame Barbara in Aladdin aged 20

One of Dame Barbara's most famous scenes was in 1969's Carry On Camping, when her bikini top flew off in the middle of an exercise class (left). Right: Dame Barbara in Aladdin aged 20

Dame Barbara played Peggy Mitchell (pictured) on the soap EastEnders from 1994 until she left for good in 2016

Dame Barbara played Peggy Mitchell (pictured) on the soap EastEnders from 1994 until she left for good in 2016

With her blonde hair and infectious giggle, the 4ft 10ins star instantly became popular with audiences, before her final appearance in 1974's Carry On Dick.

She later said that she was typecast after appearing in the films. 

In May 2018, Barbara's husband Scott Mitchell revealed in an interview that Dame Barbara had been living with Alzheimer's after being diagnosed in April 2014.

In August 2020 Mr Mitchell revealed that Dame Barbara had been moved to a care home as she struggled with her advancing dementia.

A heartbroken Mr Mitchell said the former EastEnders star left the couple's home in mid-July.  

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2020-12-11 18:50:00Z
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Brexit: Emmanuel Macron denies 'having my cake and eating it' in fishing row - Sky News

UK and EU leaders might not yet be able to agree on a trade deal, but one Brexit issue they can agree on is their fondness for cake metaphors.

French President Emmanuel Macron became the latest leader to serve a slice of analogy on Friday when asked about the EU's contingency planning.

In the event of a no-deal outcome from Brexit trade talks, Brussels has proposed a series of short-term mini-deals with the UK to keep planes flying, lorries moving and allow fishing boats to carry on working.

A fishing boat at work in the English Channel
Image: The EU is eyeing continued access to UK waters in the event of no trade deal

However, this has risked provoking a fresh fishing row with Britain over plans for EU boats to continue working in UK waters, on a reciprocal basis, for up to a year.

Some Brexiteers have viewed the fishing demand as an attempt at "blackmail", with the EU - in return for continued access to UK waters - not grounding UK flights or stalling British hauliers from 1 January after a no-deal outcome.

Meanwhile, parts of the mini-deals offered by the EU to the UK contain the same demands for so-called level playing field provisions that have - along with fishing rights - been such a contentious aspect of post-Brexit trade negotiations.

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Asked after an EU summit on Friday whether the bloc's one-year fishing proposal was akin to "having your cake and eating it", Mr Macron replied: "I'm not asking to have my cake and eat it, no.

"All I want is a cake that's worth its weight. Because I won't give up my share of it either."

The French president is under domestic pressure to preserve access to UK waters for his country's fishing fleets during ongoing Brexit negotiations.

The use of cake metaphor over Brexit issues has been a regular occurrence over the last four years, with the UK often accused of wanting to "have its cake" - by leaving the EU - and "eating it" - by continuing to enjoy the same benefits of EU membership.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson once famously said his "policy on cake is pro having it and pro eating it."

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2020-12-11 17:10:25Z
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Covid: UK isolation period shortened to 10 days - BBC News

woman with bags at airport wearing mask by testing centre sign
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Self-isolation for contacts of people with confirmed coronavirus will be shortened from 14 to 10 days across the UK from Monday.

The change will also apply to people instructed to quarantine after returning from high-risk countries.

And it means anyone who has been self-isolating for 10 days or more will be able to end their quarantine on Monday.

The announcement comes as data shows Covid cases falling in most of England and Northern Ireland.

But the Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures show that in the week to 5 December, there were increases in coronavirus case numbers in London and the east of England.

Meanwhile, new data shows the virus's reproduction or R number is back at levels seen two weeks ago (0.9 - 1) meaning the epidemic is not growing, but it's not really shrinking either.

On Thursday, Health Secretary Matt Hancock announced mass testing would be rolled out for secondary school children, their families and teachers in the worst-affected areas of London, Kent and Essex where cases are rising.

The change in self-isolation rules was announced in a statement from the four UK chief medical officers (CMOs) said: "After reviewing the evidence, we are now confident that we can reduce the number of days that contacts self-isolate from 14 days to 10.

"People who return from countries which are not on the travel corridor list should also self-isolate for 10 days instead of 14 days."

Each of the four nations has its own lists of "travel corridor" countries which are exempt from the quarantine rules. While in the main, they include the same countries, they can differ slightly.

The change to self-isolation rules has already been announced in Wales, but this new announcement will apply to all four nations.

Those with symptoms or a positive test are already expected to isolate for 10 days.

The CMOs added that self-isolation was "essential to reducing the spread of Covid as it breaks the chains of transmission".

The NHS app in England will not update its 14-day counter until next Thursday.

Because there will be a time-lag before it updates, anyone who has been advised to isolate by the app can leave isolation if their countdown timer hits three days between Monday and Thursday.

People are most infectious around the time they first develop symptoms and, 10 days into an infection, only about 2% will still be capable of passing on the virus to others.

The change in the rules reflects this low risk, which was judged not to justify asking people to self-isolate for longer periods.

Deputy Chief Medical Officer for England Dr Jenny Harries said the science was based on "a continuous accumulation of evidence through the pandemic".

She said the "tail end" of an infection was the period someone was least likely to transmit infection.

Presentational grey line
Analysis box by Pallab Ghosh, science correspondent

The latest estimate of the R number for the UK is 0.9 and 1 - up very slightly on the previous week. This means that the epidemic is still shrinking after lockdown but very slowly.

This is borne out by the latest Office for National Statistics infection survey. It indicates that cases continued to fall in most of England and Northern Ireland last week. But the view of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) is that the situation is fragile.

Cases are increasing in London and the East of England - especially among secondary school age children - and previous experience indicates that a surge among older age groups will inevitably follow.

The government's scientific advisers believe that it will be important to keep infection levels as low as possible in the run up to the holidays.

That's because the relaxation of restrictions that permit families to meet over Christmas will accelerate any increase in cases - and lead to another spike in infections early in the New Year.

Presentational grey line

One study suggested that less than 20% of people fully complied with self-isolation - although it's been pointed out this doesn't distinguish between people breaking the rules slightly by going for a walk on their own, and those who ignore it entirely.

Economic hardship has been identified a key factor in people not being able to isolate.

But it is understood the main aim of the change was not to encourage more people to comply.

Instead, the chief medical officers, say it reflects the highest-risk period, when people are most likely to be infectious.

A pilot in Liverpool is looking at testing the contacts of an infected person every day for a period after exposure, and not asking them to isolate unless they test positive.

This will be seen as the most attractive option as, if it doesn't increase infections, it will prevent significant numbers of people including school children from having to stay at home.

But it's not thought this will be able to be rolled out until early next year, provided the results of the pilot are positive.

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2020-12-11 16:11:00Z
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Pound falls on the prospect of a no-deal Brexit - BBC News

City trader
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The pound fell against the dollar on Friday after Prime Minister Boris Johnson said a no-deal Brexit looked "very, very likely".

Sterling fell nearly 1.2% before clawing back some ground when both the German and Irish foreign ministers said an agreement between the UK and the EU is still possible.

Both sides have until Sunday to reach a deal on trading from 1 January.

Talks are deadlocked on a handful of key issues, including fishing quotas.

The pound is trading 0.9% lower against the dollar at $1.3177, while it's down 0.4% against the euro to €1.0909.

There had been speculation that the UK and the EU were close to a deal last weekend, however since then discussions have reached an impasse.

Mr Johnson said: "It's looking very, very likely we'll have to go for a solution that I think will be wonderful for the UK.

"If there's a big offer, a big change in what they're saying then I must say that I'm yet to see it."

CMC Markets analyst, David Madden, said: "The UK-EU relationship has gone from bad to worse in the past 24 hours and that goes for sterling too.

"Traders are turning their back on the pound as the language being used now is more serious and a fears of a no-deal have increased considerably.

But later on Friday, Germany's foreign minister Heiko Maas said: "We believe finding a solution in the talks is difficult but possible."

His Irish counterpart Simon Coveney said he believed "it's possible to get a deal on a future relationship and on a trade agreement."

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2020-12-11 15:02:00Z
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Official coronavirus R rate goes UP as parts of UK creep over one - The Sun

BRITAIN'S R rate has gone up, officials say, as more data shows the southern parts of the country are seeing an uptick in cases.

The current R value - the number of people an infected person will pass Covid on to - is now estimated to be between 0.9 and 1.

The R rate across the UK, which has crept over 1 in parts
The R rate across the UK, which has crept over 1 in parts

The R rate had dropped for four weeks in a row prior to today's estimate, which comes after a move from the lockdown into the tiered system.

Last week, the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) estimated the R to be between a range 0.8 to 1.

The R rate must be kept below 1 to cause the outbreak to shrink. Above 1, and cases will continue to rise.

The coronaviruses' natural R rate is around 3. But it can be squashed by cutting back on social contact.

London is now among three areas, all in Tier 2, where the R rate has slightly tipped over 1.

It comes amid increasing concern over the capitals infection rate - higher than any other region of England.

The capital, along with the South East and East of England, have a value 0.9 to 1.1, meaning it is probably just at 1.

Following them are the South West and Midlands, with 0.8 to 1 R rate.

The North West and North East and Yorkshire - where swathes of people are living under the tough Tier 3 restrictions - had the next lowest range at 0.7 and 0.9.

It suggests the bans on seeing friends and family, along with the closure of hospitality, is working to push the R rate down.

What is the R rate across the UK?

England: 0.8-1.0
East of England: 0.9-1.1
London: 0.9-1.1
Midlands: 0.8-1.0
North East and Yorkshire: 0.7-0.9
North West: 0.7-0.9
South East: 0.9-1.1
South West: 0.8-1.0

Sage also estimates the growth rate, which reflects how quickly the number of infections are changing.

When the growth rate is less than zero, it means the epidemic is shrinking. But higher than that, and the outbreak is growing.

The current growth rate for England is -2 per cent to 0 per cent, meaning the number of new cases are still shrinking, but only just.

Last week it was estimated that the growth rate was -3 per cent to -1 per cent.

It's the third week in a row Sage have estimated the growth rate to be at least zero or below.

Once more, London, the East of England and the South East are showing signs of a stall.

The growth rate is highest in the East, at -1 to +2 per cent, followed by London and the South East at -1 to +1 per cent.

The North West, North East and Yorkshire are both reporting a shrinking in outbreaks of -4 to -2 per cent every day, while the South West is at -4 to 0 per cent.

The Midlands' growth rate is also below zero, at -3 to -1 per cent.

What does the R rate mean?

R0, or R nought, refers to the average number of people that one infected person can expect to pass the coronavirus on to.


Scientists use it to predict how far and how fast a disease will spread - and the number can also inform policy decisions about how to contain an outbreak.

For example, if a virus has an R0 of three, it means that every sick person will pass the disease on to three other people if no containment measures are introduced.

It's also worth pointing out that the R0 is a measure of how infectious a disease is, but not how deadly.

Every week, Sage cautions its estimates are based on an average - and a data lag means they may be slightly behind the nation's current picture.

It comes as data shows parts of the South are struggling with worsening coronavirus outbreaks.

Ministers are worried about rising infections in London, Essex and Kent specifically.

It means they could be moved into Tier 3 at the first review of restrictions on December 16, just a few days before Christmas. Kent is already in Tier 3.

As it stands 55 million are in Tiers 2 and 3 with only the Isle of Wight, Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly facing the lightest Tier 1 coronavirus restrictions.

Large swathes of the Midlands, North East and North West are in the most restrictive Tier 3, which accounts for 41.5 per cent of the population, or 23.3 million people.

However, they may finally be released from the toughest rules soon, as data shows their case rates have improved week-on-week.

Matt Hancock warns Brits 'don't blow it now' as Covid-19 cases rise in Kent, Essex and parts of London

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2020-12-11 13:49:00Z
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Brexit: Boris Johnson says no-deal outcome 'looking very, very likely' ahead of Sunday deadline - Sky News

Boris Johnson has said a no-deal outcome from Brexit trade talks is "looking very, very likely" ahead of Sunday's deadline for a decision on the negotiations.

The prime minister, speaking on a visit to Blyth in Northumberland on Friday, suggested a breakthrough in the deadlocked talks would need a "big offer, a big change" from the EU, but that he had "yet to see it".

Mr Johnson outlined a Brussels demand for a "kind of ratchet clause" on so-called level playing field provisions, as well as fisheries, as the two roadblocks to a post-Brexit trade deal being agreed.

"It is looking very, very likely that we will have to go for a solution that I think would be wonderful for the UK, and we'd be able to do exactly what we want from 1 January," the prime minister said.

"It obviously would be different from what we'd set out to achieve but I have no doubt this country can get ready and, as I say, come out on World Trade terms."

Boris Johnson, Michel Barnier and Ursula von der Leyen meet in Brussels Pic: Andrew Parsons / No 10 Downing Street
Image: Boris Johnson and Ms von der Leyen have set Sunday as a deadline. Pic: Andrew Parsons / No 10 Downing Street

Mr Johnson and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen have set Sunday as a deadline for deciding whether a post-Brexit trade agreement will be possible.

Earlier on Friday, Ms von der Leyen said the UK and EU "remain apart on fundamental issues" as she spoke after a two-day summit of EU leaders in Brussels.

More from Brexit

Ms von der Leyen was earlier said to have spoken for less than 10 minutes about the deadlocked negotiations as she addressed EU leaders at their gathering in the Belgian capital.

One EU official revealed she had told the bloc's 27 leaders that "the probability of a no deal is higher than of a deal", it was reported by the Reuters news agency.

The pound dipped by a cent against the US dollar on the latest Brexit developments on Friday morning.

Sterling fell below $1.32 to hit its lowest level since mid-November, and was also down nearly a cent against the euro to slip below €1.09 and reach its lowest level since September.

Speaking at a post-summit news conference, Ms von der Leyen said that "positions remain apart on fundamental issues".

On level playing field commitments, the EU chief said the bloc's negotiators had "repeatedly made clear to our UK partners that the principle of fair competition is a pre-condition to privileged access to the EU market".

Mr Johnson has accused the EU - under the terms of a trade deal - of wanting the "automatic right" to punish the UK in the future, perhaps with tariffs, if it does not comply with new EU laws.

Ms von der Leyen said the UK would "remain free, sovereign if you wish, to decide what they want to do".

But she added the EU would "simply adapt the conditions for access to our market accordingly to the decision of the UK, and this would apply vice versa".

The European Commission president said the EU and UK had also not yet "found the solutions to bridge our differences" on post-Brexit fishing rights.

"We understand that the UK aspires to control its waters," she added.

"The UK must, on the other hand, understand the legitimate expectations of EU fishing fleets - built on decades and sometimes centuries of access."

Reiterating that there are now just two days for UK and EU officials to make a breakthrough, she added: "On these and other points, our negotiators are working.

"We will decide on Sunday whether we have the conditions for an agreement or not."

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Minister: UK '90% of the way there' on Brexit deal

With the Brexit transition period due to end on 31 December, Ms von der Leyen told the news conference: "One way or the other, in less than three weeks, it will be new beginnings for old friends."

The European Commission on Thursday offered a series of short-term mini-deals in the event of a no-deal outcome from trade negotiations, with the aim to keep planes flying, lorries moving and allow fishing boats to carry on working.

However, this risked provoking a fresh fishing row with Britain over the proposal for a year-long period for EU fishing boats to continue working in UK waters, on a reciprocal basis.

Asked in Brussels on Friday whether this was akin to "having your cake and eating it", French President Emmanuel Macron replied: "I'm not asking to have my cake and eat it, no.

"All I want is a cake that's worth its weight. Because I won't give up my share of it either."

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2020-12-11 12:33:45Z
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