Kamis, 17 September 2020

Coronavirus: Test demand 'significantly outstripping' capacity - BBC News

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Demand for coronavirus testing is "significantly outstripping the capacity we have", head of NHS Test and Trace Baroness Harding has told MPs.

She told the science and technology committee that the return to school meant test demand in England from under-17s had doubled.

She also acknowledged that results were also taking "slightly longer".

But she said she was "very confident" of raising capacity to 500,000 tests a day by the end of October.

"I am certain we will need more as we go beyond the end of October. We have plans to go beyond 500,000 a day," Baroness Harding said, before adding there was no formal target beyond the October deadline.

The test and trace programme has come under increasing pressure in recent days, with reports of people unable to access tests or being directed to test centres many miles away.

Figures published on Thursday also showed the turnaround time for community tests was getting longer. Only a third of these tests came back in 24 hours in the week up to 9 September, compared to two-thirds a week earlier.

It comes as the UK reported another 3,395 confirmed cases of coronavirus, and a further 21 deaths were recorded within 28 days of a positive test.

The number of people calling 119 and visiting the website to book tests was three to four times the number of available tests, Baroness Harding told the committee - although she said that may exaggerate the problem as some people call repeatedly from different numbers.

Committee chairman Greg Clark said it was "dispiriting" that despite the "entirely predictable" circumstances of the return to schools and offices "we haven't had the right capacity put in place".

Baroness Harding said they built the testing capacity for this autumn - which is now 242,817 a day - based on modelling from the Sage scientific advisory group.

"I don't think anybody was expecting to see the really sizable increase in demand that has happened over the last few weeks," she said.

Prof Carl Heneghan, a GP and epidemiologist at Oxford University, told the committee that the testing strategy was "utter chaos" at the moment because other illnesses with Covid-like symptoms such as colds and flu had risen by 50% in children in September.

He said there was only a "slight increase" in hospital admissions and deaths, however, and increased testing may explain some of the rise in cases.

"What's happening at the moment is the language and the rhetoric is making people so fearful and terrorised that they're going beyond the guidance because they're so fearful of what's coming next," he said.

An unpublished study suggested that coughs and fevers from other winter viruses could rise to 445,000 a day in December, overwhelming test capacity.

In Sunderland, meanwhile, more than 100 people were left waiting at an empty car park where they said they had been booked in for Covid-19 testing, although no staff or equipment was there.

Bolton Council, which faces the highest levels of infection nationally, said it was "incredibly frustrated" after problems with the national booking system led to long queues and people with appointments being turned away.

Similar problems were reported in Lewisham, south London, where the approach to the centre was "gridlocked".

Baroness Harding said testing was limited by the laboratory processing capacity, and that they had to restrict the number of people at centres because it would be "very dangerous" to send too many samples to the laboratory that would then go untested.

An NHS Test and Trace survey showed 27% of people seeking tests had no symptoms but had only been in contact with an infected person. Tests should only be provided for members of the public with a continuous cough, a high temperature or a change in sense of smell or taste.

"We don't want to push away people who are scared," Baroness Harding said. But she added that they must "protect the capacity we have for the people who most need it".

The current priorities for testing are NHS patients, NHS staff and care home residents and staff. Together these account for 50% of testing, she said.

After that, areas with serious outbreaks are given priority. Baroness Harding said they were looking at putting key workers next, particularly teachers, "but work is still ongoing".

In other developments:

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2020-09-17 20:02:51Z
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London, Leeds and Liverpool could be next cities to face lockdown - Metro.co.uk

Composite image of London, Leeds adn Liverpool
Three more cities could face restrictions similar to those imposed on the North East today.

Rising numbers of coronavirus infections in London, Leeds and Liverpool have promoted warnings the cities could be next to face lockdown.

Merseyside is expecting an announcement from government as early as tomorrow, with restrictions expected to be as severe as those imposed on the North East today.

From midnight tonight, around 2 million people living in Newcastle and the surrounding areas will be banned from mixing with other households.

Pubs, restaurants and other licensed premises will also be forced to close their doors to the public between 10pm and 5am and move to table service only.

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The restrictions will apply to Newcastle upon Tyne, Northumberland, North Tyneside, South Tyneside, Gateshead, County Durham and Sunderland.

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According to the Liverpool Echo, the same measures will be brought in for the entire Merseyside region tomorrow, while two boroughs in neighbouring Cheshire could also face the crackdown.

Leaders in London have warned it is also heading towards a lockdown.

Chair of the London councils Peter John said today that the capital’s infection rates are doubling every two weeks yet testing capacity has been cut by a fifth.

Speaking to Times Radio he said he was ‘massively worried’ authorities will be forced to impose restrictions as cases are ‘only going in one direction and only going to speed up’. 

‘We are going to see an influx of half a million students into the city and that is bound to have an impact,’ he said.

The Southwark Council leader said the government had not told local authorities how restrictions might be imposed in the capital, probably because they are ‘not sure’ themselves.

London boroughs have the power to impose their own local lockdowns, but due to people travelling between areas to work and study, city-wide restrictions might be required.

People wearing protective face masks pass a social distancing sign at Waterloo station
Infection rates in London are doubling every two weeks (Picture: Reuters)

PHE’s director for London, Kevin Fenton, has suggested that curfews could also be deployed in the capital to prevent it going into full lockdown.

However a No10 spokesperson told the Sun that there were no specific plans to put restrictions on the city yet.

Meanwhile, Leeds has been told it has entered a ‘critical phase’ in transmission.

North Yorkshire has been put into ‘full emergency mode’, meaning testing facilities have been redirected to areas of greatest need, care homes receiving extra support and the brakes put onto the reopening of social care day services.

The North Yorkshire Local Resilience Forum said Selby, Harrogate and parts of Scarborough and Craven are particular places of concern owing to rising case numbers.

A social distancing sign is seen on a street, amid the coronavirus disease outbreak, in Newcastle
A social distancing sign in Newcastle, where new lockdown restrictions come into force at midnight (Picture: Reuters)

Dozens of regions in the UK, including Greater Manchester, Birmingham and Leicester, have already been hit with local lockdowns. 

There has been a 167% increase in new people testing positive for coronavirus since the end of August, Test and Trace figures have revealed.

Today saw the biggest daily rise in cases since April.

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Reports todauy claimed offices could shut ‘within two weeks’ if the ‘rule of six’ does not push surging infection rates down.

There are fears the return of students to universities will could coronavirus cases to spiral, with images from Freshers Week showing young people ignoring social distancing on nights out.

Get in touch with our news team by emailing us at webnews@metro.co.uk.

For more stories like this, check our news page.

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2020-09-17 18:35:00Z
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Coronavirus: Slovenia and Guadeloupe added to UK's quarantine list - but Thailand and Singapore removed - Sky News

Travellers arriving in the UK from Slovenia and Guadeloupe after 4am on Saturday will have to isolate for two weeks.

England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland are moving in harmony and have added the two countries to each of their quarantine lists.

But anyone returning from Thailand and Singapore will no longer be subject to the restrictions. Wales, which took Singapore off its quarantine list last month, will also remove Gibraltar.

Thailand is among 14 countries the EU has said is safe for non-essential travel
Image: Thailand is coming off the quarantine list

Transport Secretary Grant Shapps said the changes were needed to "to keep everyone safe".

He added: "A reminder that travellers to the UK (from ANY location) MUST complete a passenger locator form by law. This is vital in protecting public health and ensuring those who need to are complying with self-isolation rules."

In Slovenia, the COVID-19 case rate per 100,000 people has risen from 14.4 to 29.1 in the week ending 16 September. Local press agency STA said Tuesday saw the second highest daily rises in cases since the pandemic began.

And in Guadeloupe, there has been a 558% spike in the number of infections per 100,000 people over the past three weeks.

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London Southend Airport
Image: The transport secretary says the changes are 'to keep everyone safe'

The Department for Transport vowed to "take decisive action if necessary to contain the virus, including removing countries from the travel corridors list rapidly if the public health risk of people returning from a particular country without self-isolating becomes too high".

Ministers say countries where the coronavirus infection rate is higher than 20 per 100,000 people are at risk of being added to the list - but last week the UK tipped over that threshold itself.

Since then, tough restrictions have been imposed on millions of people.

The latest will come into force on Friday in Northumberland, North Tyneside, South Tyneside, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, Gateshead, Sunderland and County Durham.

Grounded planes
Image: Some travellers are angry and confused at the timing of the announcements

The government in England has tried to be more flexible by taking the lead of Wales and saying it may treat islands separately from the mainland part of a country being added to the quarantine list.

It followed anger and confusion from holidaymakers when travellers returning from the Balearic and Canary Islands were told to isolate for two weeks along with those coming home from mainland Spain, where a cluster of new cases was largely confined to the northeast.

Last week, it was Portugal and Hungary that were added to England's quarantine list.

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2020-09-17 17:03:45Z
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Coronavirus: Test demand 'significantly outstripping' capacity - BBC News

Demand for coronavirus testing is "significantly outstripping the capacity we have", head of NHS Test and Trace Baroness Harding has told MPs.

Lady Harding told the science and technology committee that the return to school meant test demand in England from under-17s had doubled.

She acknowledged that results were also taking "slightly longer".

But she said she was "very confident" of raising capacity to 500,000 tests a day by the end of October.

"I am certain we will need more as we go beyond the end of October. We have plans to go beyond 500,000 a day," Lady Harding said, before adding there was no formal target beyond the October deadline.

The test and trace programme has come under increasing pressure in recent days, with reports of people unable to access tests or being directed to test centres many miles away.

Figures published on Thursday also showed the turnaround time for community tests was getting longer. Only a third of these tests came back in 24 hours in the week up to 9 September, compared to two-thirds a week earlier.

It comes as the UK reported another 3,395 confirmed cases of coronavirus, and a further 21 deaths were recorded within 28 days of a positive test.

The number of people calling 119 and visiting the website to book tests was three to four times the number of available tests, Lady Harding told the committee - although she said that may exaggerate the problem as some people call repeatedly from different numbers.

Committee chairman Greg Clark said it was "dispiriting" that despite the "entirely predictable" circumstances of the return to schools and offices "we haven't had the right capacity put in place".

Lady Harding said they built the testing capacity for this autumn - which is now 242,817 a day - based on modelling from the Sage scientific advisory group.

"I don't think anybody was expecting to see the really sizable increase in demand that has happened over the last few weeks," she said.

In Sunderland, meanwhile, more than 100 people were left waiting at an empty car park where they said they had been booked in for Covid-19 testing, although no staff or equipment was there.

Bolton Council, which faces the highest levels of infection nationally, said it was "incredibly frustrated" after problems with the national booking system led to long queues and people with appointments being turned away.

Similar problems were reported in Lewisham, south London, where the approach to the centre was "gridlocked".

'Protect the capacity'

Lady Harding said testing was limited by the laboratory processing capacity, and that they had to restrict the number of people at centres because it would be "very dangerous" to send too many samples to the laboratory that would then go untested.

An NHS Test and Trace survey showed 27% of people seeking tests had no symptoms but had only been in contact with an infected person. Tests should only be provided for members of the public with a continuous cough, a high temperature or a change in sense of smell or taste.

"We don't want to push away people who are scared," Lady Harding said. But she added that they must "protect the capacity we have for the people who most need it".

The current priorities for testing are NHS patients, NHS staff and care home residents and staff. Together these account for 50% of testing, she said.

After that, areas with serious outbreaks are given priority. Lady Harding said they were looking at putting key workers next, particularly teachers, "but work is still ongoing".

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2020-09-17 16:30:00Z
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Coronavirus: Head of Test and Trace says rise in demand for COVID tests wasn't expected - Sky News

The head of Test and Trace has said she doesn't believe "anybody was expecting to see the really sizeable increase in demand" for coronavirus tests.

Baroness Dido Harding's admission comes after some residents in COVID-19 hotspots complained they were finding it difficult to get tested.

Reports have poured in of people saying they were told tests were unavailable or had to be done hundreds of miles away from where they live.

Coronavirus tests are under strain
Image: Some people in COVID-19 hotspots complain they can't book a test

Greg Clark, a Tory MP who chairs the Commons Science and Technology Committee, said it was "dispiriting" the UK was "in circumstances which are entirely predictable" but "we haven't had the right capacity put in place during the quieter times of June, July and August".

He told Baroness Harding when she gave evidence on Thursday: "Clearly you didn't prepare enough."

A man arrives at a walk-in test facility following the outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in the Farnworth area of Bolton, Britain, September 15, 2020. REUTERS/Phil Noble
Image: The daily coronavirus test capacity is 242,817

The head of Test and Trace insisted that it had not been a "quiet summer" but admitted: "Plainly we don't have enough testing capacity."

Baroness Harding also confirmed that key workers are going to be prioritised for coronavirus tests - with teachers "likely to be top of that list" so schools can "remain functioning".

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She added that about 50% of tests are being reserved for hospital patients, social care staff and residents, and NHS workers - including GPs and pharmacists.

The Conservative peer partially blamed the big rise in demand on schools reopening, revealing the number of children asking for tests has doubled - and grew at an even higher rate among those aged five to nine-years-old.

And she confirmed the current daily test capacity is 242,000 - though not all of these are being used.

The next target is 500,000 a day by the end of October, but Baroness Harding refused to say if that would be enough.

"I am certain we will need more as we go beyond the end of October," she said.

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2020-09-17 15:38:45Z
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Coronavirus: Test turnaround times getting longer in England - BBC News

People are waiting longer for coronavirus test results from England's community testing centres, figures show.

Only a third of tests carried out in these venues came back in 24 hours in the week up to 9 September.

That is down from two-thirds the week before, NHS Test and Trace said.

Health Secretary Matt Hancock admitted there was "a challenge in testing" as he faced criticism in the Commons.

He also announced new lockdown restrictions for most of the north east of England, where infections are on the rise.

Access to community testing has had to be rationed because labs are struggling to keep up with demand, but this is the first evidence tests which do happen are taking longer to process.

There are three types of community testing centres - drive-throughs, walk-in centres and mobile units that are deployed to hotspot areas.

All three saw rises in turnaround times.

  • Average turnaround times for regional drive-through centres rose from 20 to 27 hours, with 38% returned in 24 hours
  • For local walk-in centres the average was 35 hours, with just one in five results delivered in 24 hours
  • Mobile units faired best with an average of 26 hours, up from 19 the week before. Some 38% of results were given in 24 hours.

Over the week, 360,000 tests were carried out in these three settings, up from around 320,000 the week before.

The release of the turnaround times comes as growing numbers of people complain they cannot access tests at all.

Booking slots at testing sites, as well as the availability of kits that are posted out to people's homes, have been restricted across the UK because labs are not able to keep up with demand.

It has meant tests have had to be prioritised for high-risk areas, including care homes and areas where there are local outbreaks.

Shadow Health Secretary Jon Ashworth said the government must urgently fix test and trace to "avoid further restrictions", adding: "It's become not so much test and trace, more like trace a test."

And a succession of MPs raised the cases of constituents who had struggled to access tests.

Mr Hancock admitted there was "a challenge in testing", but said capacity was "at record levels" and had increased week on week but demand had "gone up faster".

He said it was important to prioritise testing in areas where cases are rising, as well as in care homes, saying "we must do everything in our power to protect residents in social care".

The government has announced care homes in England will receive extra funding of £546m to try to reduce transmission of coronavirus this winter.

'Boost testing capacity'

Experts are warning that testing problems will limit the UK's ability to contain spread of the virus.

Hospital labs, which process tests for patients and NHS staff, are not affected by the problems. Nearly nine in 10 tests there are turned around in 24 hours.

The government said testing capacity would be increasing. Currently 375,000 tests a day can be processed - although only around 160,000 of these are in the labs that process community tests.

For days software developers have been discussing what they described as a coding error on the government's Covid test booking site.

Now a senior source has confirmed that there is such an error although it is described as small and not a major factor in the issues with booking tests.

The problem, says the source, is that when the site is overwhelmed by the sheer volume of traffic - and "the load this week has been way higher than anything seen before" - users are getting the wrong error message.

It should read "the service is busy" but instead it says "there are no sites available".

Now, the reality is that mostly that is true, there are no testing sites free - but some people who might be successful if they tried later when the site traffic was lower may assume they can't get a test at all.

Two new labs are due to open soon, which would bring overall capacity to 500,000 by the end of October, with another two planned for early in 2021, the government said.

But NHS Test and Trace boss Baroness Dido Harding said it was important that "only those with symptoms book tests".

She added: "The service is there for those experiencing a high temperature, new continuous cough or loss or change in sense of taste or smell.

"If you don't have symptoms but think, or have been told by NHS Test and Trace that you have been in contact with someone with the virus, please stay at home but do not book a test.

"We need everyone to help make sure that tests are there for people with symptoms who need them."

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2020-09-17 14:03:45Z
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Coronavirus: New restrictions in north-east England - BBC News

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  • Coronavirus pandemic
Man wearing a mask walking through the centre of Newcastle
image copyrightReuters

Almost two million people in north-east England will be banned from mixing with other households and pubs will close early as coronavirus cases rise.

Health Secretary Matt Hancock announced the temporary restrictions will be in place from midnight due to "concerning rates of infection".

The measures affect seven council areas including Newcastle, Sunderland, South Tyneside and Gateshead.

"The data says that we must act now," Mr Hancock told the House of Commons.

He said Sunderland currently had an infection rate of 103 cases per 100,000 people, while in South Tyneside, Gateshead and Newcastle the figures are all above 70.

The government was taking "swift action" after concerns were raised by the councils covering the affected areas, he said.

  • Live updates on this story
  • Which areas are now under local lockdown?
  • People waiting longer for virus test results

Northumberland, North Tyneside, and County Durham's council areas have also been included in the restrictions which mean residents will not be able to mix with people outside their households and support bubbles.

Restaurants will only be able to offer table service and restaurants, bars and pubs will have to shut between 22:00 BST and 05:00.

Newcastle City Council leader Nick Forbes said the temporary measures would hopefully "head off the potential of any further damaging full lockdown across the region".

"The evidence we've found from local testing is that it's spreading in three main areas - in pubs, in people's homes and in grassroots sports," he said.

However, Mr Forbes said the regulations still had not been published despite being announced at 11:30 GMT and coming into effect at midnight.

"The longer this goes on the greater the info vacuum and the more alarmed people are getting. We need clarity, now," he said.

Chart showing coronavirus cases in the North East

The council leaders had also requested additional funding for policing to enforce the measures, as well as additional local testing facilities, Mr Forbes added.

County Durham's director of public health, Amanda Heeley, said: "If we do want to be able to continue to go to work to schools, to keep in contact with relatives but stop an increase in the cases we have seen, we are really urging people to adhere to the guidance coming out today."

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Analysis

By Daniel Wainwright, BBC England data unit

Woman wearing a face mask walking through the centre of Newcastle
image copyrightReuters

While the rates of new coronavirus infections in the affected parts of the north-east England are lower than those in places like Bolton, this is not a simply a case of rankings.

Rates of new infections in areas like South Tyneside and Sunderland are at their highest since May and have been climbing for the past few weeks.

Other areas affected by the new restrictions, such as Northumberland, have much lower rates per 100,000 population but it is clear that infections have been climbing there too.

Northumberland's rate of 25.7 cases per 100,000 in the week to 13 September means it is outside the top 100 of 315 areas of England for new infections.

People outside a pub in Newcastle
image copyrightPA Media

However, when the government imposed tighter restrictions on Greater Manchester, the east of Lancashire and West Yorkshire in the summer, areas with lower rates were also included.

At the time, Wigan in Greater Manchester and Rossendale in Lancashire were not seeing the same rates of infection as their neighbouring boroughs and districts, but Public Health England included them because they were "part of an area in which overall infection rates are high, with household transmission a key pathway".

It will be the same for Northumberland, with people travelling to and from work in other areas of the North East.

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Gateshead Council leader Martin Gannon said: "Nobody welcomes these things but I would think the vast majority of people recognise these are extremely difficult times and we all need to act and pull together."

Mr Hancock said the people of the North East would "come together" to beat the virus.

He said: "I know, the whole House knows, that these decisions have a real impact on families, on businesses and on local communities and I can tell everyone affected that we do not take these decisions lightly."

Map showing the number of cases areas in the North East have had

Shadow Health Secretary Jon Ashworth called for more testing capacity to be available in areas where there were tightened restrictions.

He said it was urgent the government "fixes testing, fixes tracing" or we face a "very bleak winter indeed".

Small businesses broadly welcomed the approach but called for more support to adapt to the new measures.

Man wearing a Newcastle United face mask
image copyrightReuters

Simon Hanson, North East development manager for the Federation of Small Businesses, said: "It is absolutely critical that we get grant support to small and micro businesses quickly to help them adapt and provide some much needed support for cashflow."

However, the owner of a Newcastle restaurant described the new measures as "worrying" and a "bit of a nightmare".

Nick Greaves, who runs The Patricia in Jesmond, said shutting at 22:00 would put it in an "awkward position" as it would lose one of its later sittings.

"We have come so far to get back on our feet and now we are back down in this saga again", he said.

"It could even be a little bit dangerous with people going to the pub, necking as much as they can and then they end up drunk and are like 'let's go to a house or something'.

"I can't get my head around how that's going to help anything.

"The virus is still as dangerous before 10pm as it is afterwards."

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2020-09-17 13:31:00Z
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