Kamis, 07 Mei 2020

Coronavirus: 'Maximum caution' from the PM and UK recession warnings - BBC News

Here are five things you need to know about the coronavirus outbreak this Thursday evening. We'll have another update for you on Friday morning.

1. Any lockdown change will be 'small'

Everyone is waiting to hear what Boris Johnson will announce on Sunday in terms of any easing of lockdown measures. Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab, leading the daily Downing Street briefing, stressed any changes would be "modest, small, incremental" steps.

The prime minister has said the government will proceed with "maximum caution" when considering easing restrictions, as Scotland announced its lockdown was being extended. Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have the power to diverge from what the government at Westminster decides on the lockdown.

Mr Raab urged everyone, ahead of what's expected to be a sunny bank holiday weekend for VE Day, to continue following the social distancing guidelines. People have also been told not to travel to beauty spots such as beaches or national parks.

2. Black Britons face 'twice the risk of death'

There's been some new analysis from the Office for National Statistics, showing that black men and woman in England and Wales are nearly twice as likely to die with coronavirus as white people. Those from Indian, Bangladeshi and Pakistani communities also face a significantly higher risk of death.

Dominic Raab said the government was "very concerned" about the statistics. A review has been launched looking into the issue.

3. UK heading for 'worst recession'

There's worrying news from the Bank of England, which warns the UK economy is heading towards its deepest recession on record. It predicts the impact of coronavirus will see the economy shrink 14% this year, if the lockdown is relaxed from June.

Andrew Bailey, governor of the bank, says there will be no quick return to normality.

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4. Notting Hill carnival cancelled

For the first time in its history, there will be no Notting Hill carnival this year. It's the latest big summer event to be cancelled, following the likes of the Tokyo Olympics and Glastonbury Festival. The annual event, on the streets of west London, was meant to happen on the August bank holiday weekend.

5. Hobbit reading to 'take people on adventure'

Andy Serkis, perhaps best known for playing Gollum in the film adaptations of The Hobbit and The Lord of the Rings, is to do a continuous live reading of The Hobbit to help people under "stressful conditions" right now and to take them "on an adventure".

He is reading JRR Tolkein's 1937 novel from beginning to end, starting at 10:00 BST bank holiday Friday, to raise money for NHS Charities Together and Best Beginnings.

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And don't forget...

What is testing - and why is it important? Find out more here.

You can find more information, advice and guides on our coronavirus page, and follow all the latest development via our live page.


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Use this form to ask your question:

If you are reading this page and can't see the form you will need to visit the mobile version of the BBC website to submit your question or send them via email to YourQuestions@bbc.co.uk. Please include your name, age and location with any question you send in.

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2020-05-07 17:21:32Z
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BBC's Laura Kuenssberg suffers embarrassing on-air blunder during No10 press briefing - Express

Laura Kuenssberg ran into an embarrassing blunder as she appeared virtually at the Government's press briefing. The BBC Political Editor began asking her question, but could not be heard as she was muted. Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab was forced to step in to help the journalist.

She told Mr Raab: "Nicola Sturgeon has said it's potentially catastrophic to move from the stay-at-home message.

"Given that the disease is still prevalent in many parts of the country, are you really sure that it is safe to lift any of the restrictions, however gradual?

"And, if I could ask Dr Harries, you said that the R is somewhere between 0.5 and 0.9.

"Can you tell people exactly what the R level is in different parts of the country, given that it's such a key factor in how the decisions will be made?"

He continued: "We are locked in to the closest collaboration with the devolved administrations through COBRA.

"Also the PM spoke to the First Ministers today and he reiterated our commitment to the UK-wide approach to tackling the pandemic.

UK National Statistician Professor Ian Diamond also answered: "Clearly there is some variation with the R around the country.

"The consensus is that it is below one everywhere, lowest probably in London.

"Certainly there is some variation across the different regions."

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2020-05-07 16:54:44Z
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Coronavirus UK: Black people 'FOUR TIMES more likely to die' - Daily Mail

Black people are up to FOUR TIMES more likely to die from coronavirus than white people, figures show

  • Statisticians analysed all COVID-19 fatalities between March 2 and April 10
  • Data showed the risk of dying was much higher among some ethnic groups
  • It comes amid a Number 10 probe into the risks for British BAME communities
  • Several studies have shown minority ethnic Brits are at higher risk of dying 
  • It has prompted calls for BAME NHS workers to be removed from the frontline 
  • Here’s how to help people impacted by Covid-19

Black people are four times more likely to die from coronavirus than white people, according to figures released today.

Government statisticians analysed the number of all COVID-19-related fatalities in England and Wales between March 2 and April 10.

Data showed the risk of dying from the coronavirus was 'significantly' higher among some ethnic groups compared to white people, when age was taken into account.

After accounting for health conditions and differences in factors such as income, the risk for black people was still almost twice as high.

The reasons behind the findings remain largely 'unexplained', said the Office for National Statistics, which collected the data. The report did not look into whether people from BAME backgrounds are more likely to be infected in the first place.

It comes amid an urgent Number 10 investigation into the disproportionate impact of COVID-19 on black and minority ethnic Britons.  

A series of worrying studies have shown the risk of dying from coronavirus for BAME communities is several times higher. 

It has prompted calls for black and minority ethnic NHS workers to be removed from the frontline over concerns they are more vulnerable to coronavirus. 

Government statisticians analysed the number of all COVID-19-related fatalities in England and Wales between March 2 and April 10. Data showed the risk of dying from the coronavirus was 'significantly' higher among some ethnic groups compared to white people

Government statisticians analysed the number of all COVID-19-related fatalities in England and Wales between March 2 and April 10. Data showed the risk of dying from the coronavirus was 'significantly' higher among some ethnic groups compared to white people

The ONS data compared the deaths they had recorded in all settings with ones confirmed by NHS England hospitals that went up to April 21

The ONS data compared the deaths they had recorded in all settings with ones confirmed by NHS England hospitals that went up to April 21

Dr Craig Wakeham (pictured), a GP from Dorset, is believed to the only doctor who has died and is not from the Black, Asian and ethnic minority community

Dr Craig Wakeham (pictured), a GP from Dorset, is believed to the only doctor who has died and is not from the Black, Asian and ethnic minority community

The ONS data, released today, analysed 12,805 confirmed and suspected COVID-19 deaths that occurred in all settings in England and Wales between March 2 and April 10.

As ethnicity is not recorded on death certificates, the ONS linked these to the 2011 Census which includes self-reported ethnicity. 

COVID-19 MOST DEADLY FOR THE POOR, ELDERLY AND MINORITY ETHNIC, STUDY FINDS

Coronavirus patients are most likely to die if they are elderly, poor or black or minority ethnic, a study has found.    

Research published today by the University of Oxford and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine studied data of more than 17million UK adults, and 5,707 deaths in hospitals, to reveal what scientists said was the best evidence so far on risk factors associated with coronavirus deaths.

The scientists found death from COVID-19 was strongly associated with being male, with a hazard ratio of 1.99, meaning they were twice as likely to die from the disease as females. 

People with uncontrolled diabetes had a risk 2.36 times higher, while black people's risk of death was between 1.71 and 2.17 times higher than white people's.  

Researchers said race-associated medical problems or deprivation only accounted for a small part in the excess risk of death in people from BAME backgrounds, although further research was needed to understand why.

The results chime with separate data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) which showed black males are 4.2 times more likely to die from a coronavirus-related death than white males, while black females are 4.3 times more likely than white females.

The ONS figures, which have been adjusted for age, suggest that men and women from all ethnic minority groups - except females with Chinese ethnicity - are at greater risk of dying from COVID-19 compared with white people. 

Professor Liam Smeeth, professor of clinical epidemiology at LSHTM, an NHS doctor and co-lead on the study, said: 'We need highly accurate data on which patients are most at risk in order to manage the pandemic and improve patient care.

'The answers provided by this analysis are of crucial importance to countries around the world.

'For example, it is very concerning to see that the higher risks faced by people from BAME backgrounds are not attributable to identifiable underlying health conditions.' 

Raw data showed white people made up 83.8 per cent of the fatalities, despite 87 per cent of people in the UK being white.

Black people made up the largest minority ethnic group of COVID-19 victims, accounting for six per cent.  

Black males are 4.2 times more likely to die from a COVID-19-related death and black females are 4.3 times more likely than white ethnicity males and females.

But after taking account of socio-demographic characteristics and measures of self-reported health and disability, the risk of a COVID-19-related death for males and females of black ethnicity reduces to 1.9 times more likely than those of white ethnicity. 

People of Bangladeshi and Pakistani, Indian, and mixed ethnicities also have a  significantly raised risk of death, ONS data shows.

Males in the Bangladeshi and Pakistani ethnic group are 1.8 times more likely to have a COVID-19-related death than white males when taking age and other factors into account.

For females, the figure is 1.6 times more likely. 

The ONS found increased mortality rates due to COVID-19 for all ethnic minority groups, except for in Chinese women. 

The ONS said a 'substantial part' of the difference in COVID-19 mortality between ethnic groups is explained by differences in how these communities live, such as areas with socio-economic deprivation.

It continued: 'Geographic and socio-economic factors were accounting for over half of the difference in risk between males and females of black and white ethnicity. 

'However, these factors do not explain all of the difference, suggesting that other causes are still to be identified.'

Commenting on the findings, Keith Neal, emeritus professor of the epidemiology of infectious diseases, University of Nottingham, said it was important to acknowledge that COVID-19 death risk is nearly double in the Black group as is the Pakistani/Bangladeshi group.

Dr Riyaz Patel, an associate professor of cardiology, UCL, said the data differs from previous mortality reports which only included hospital deaths by including all deaths including those in the community and care homes.

But he cautioned: 'The analysis relies on data from the 2011 census, which is now almost 10 years old and population demographics are likely to have shifted in this time.'

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer tweeted: 'There needs to be a reckoning at the end of this crisis. We must build a fairer, more equal society.

'This is why Labour appointed Doreen Lawrence to hold an inquiry into why coronavirus is having such a disproportionate impact on our BAME communities.'

Mounting data from NHS intensive care units shows BAME populations face a greater risk of suffering complications than white Britons, including a report from the Institute of Fiscal Studies (IFS) think-tank earlier this month. 

It said that Black and Asian Britons are two-and-a-half times more likely to die from coronavirus than white people after comparing the number of hospital deaths in the NHS during the COVID-19 crisis against ethnicity. 

WHY ARE SO MANY CORONAVIRUS VICTIMS FROM BAME BACKGROUNDS? 

A series of worrying studies have shown the risk of dying from coronavirus for BAME communities is several times higher. 

The findings prompted an urgent Number 10 investigation into the disproportionate impact of COVID-19 on black and minority ethnic Britons.

Experts say there is unlikely to be one sole reason as to why ethnic minorities are more likely to become severely ill or die from the virus.

They could also be more at risk because of their professions, according to Shaomeng Jia, an economics professor at Alabama State University's College of Business Administration.

Those working in retail, in supermarkets and in construction - who cannot work from home - were still mingling and risking infection even when the outbreak peaked, she said.

Meanwhile, health care jobs, including NHS workers and care home staff are exposed to bigger loads of the virus more often because they come into face-to-face contact with gravely ill patients.

Having a high viral load - the number of particles of the virus someone is first infected with - gives the bug a 'jump start', scientists say.

Members of ethnic minority communities are twice as likely to be affected by poverty, and are often hit the hardest by chronic diseases.

Those living in poverty smoke and drink alcohol more and are more likely to be obese - all of which increase the likelihood of chronic health conditions.

Patients with pre-existing health troubles struggle to fight off COVID-19 before it causes deadly complications such as pneumonia.

Impoverished people are also more likely to use public transport more often and live in crowded houses - driving up their chance of catching and spreading the virus. 

It did not look at hospital admissions, meaning it could not tell if BAME groups were more at risk of catching the virus. The report only suggested their risk of death was greater.  

An Imperial College study found that 40 per cent of Covid-19 patients in three London hospitals were from ethnic minorities - when in the UK 19.5 per cent of the population is from those groups. 

Similarly data from the Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre has suggested 34.5 per cent of critically ill Covid-19 patients have BAME backgrounds.

This is despite just 10.8 per cent of the population being black or Asian, according to the 2011 census.

A spate of data analysis has prompted the government to launch an inquiry. On 16 April the UK Public Health England announced a formal review.

It will analyse the impact of different factors including ethnicity, gender and age on coronavirus outcomes and is expected to be published at the end of May, according to Equalities Minister Kemi Badenoch.

She told MPs yesterday that the government are 'very concerned' by reports of a 'disproportionate' impact of the disease on BAME communities. 

A Department of Health and Social Care spokesperson said: 'Any death from this virus is a tragedy and we are working incredibly hard to protect the nation's public health.

'We're aware that this virus has sadly appeared to have a disproportionate effect on people from BAME backgrounds. It is critical we find out which groups are most at risk so we can take the right steps to protect them and minimise their risk.' 

A separate rival review from the Labour party is being lead by Baroness Doreen Lawrence, a campaigner and mother of murdered teenager Stephen Lawrence.

She has been appointed as Labour's race relations adviser by leader Sir Keir Starmer, who today tweeted: 'There needs to be a reckoning at the end of this crisis. We must build a fairer, more equal society.

'This is why Labour appointed Doreen Lawrence to hold an inquiry into why coronavirus is having such a disproportionate impact on our BAME communities.'  

After taking account of socio-demographic characteristics and measures of self-reported health and disability, the risk of a COVID-19-related death for males and females of black ethnicity reduces to 1.9 times more likely than those of white ethnicity

After taking account of socio-demographic characteristics and measures of self-reported health and disability, the risk of a COVID-19-related death for males and females of black ethnicity reduces to 1.9 times more likely than those of white ethnicity

Far higher numbers of people from black and Asian backgrounds have died from COVID-19 per 100,000 people than white Britons, despite making up much less of the overall population. 'Other whites' include Gypsy and Irish Travellers, and 'other ethnic group' includes Arabs

Far higher numbers of people from black and Asian backgrounds have died from COVID-19 per 100,000 people than white Britons, despite making up much less of the overall population. 'Other whites' include Gypsy and Irish Travellers, and 'other ethnic group' includes Arabs

A string of MPs from across different parties raised the issue during Commons women and equalities questions yesterday, including Diane Abbott, MP for Hackney North and Stoke Newington.

She said of the 17 doctors who had died from COVID 19, 16 were from BAME backgrounds.

People who are black or from an ethnic minority are up to three times more likely to die from COVID-19 says study

People from black, Asian and minority ethnic (BAME) communities are two to three times more likely to die from coronavirus, a study suggests. 

Researchers found the risk of death from COVID-19 for black African groups was more than three times higher than the general population.

In people of Pakistani background it was also more than times higher, 2.41 times higher for Bangladeshi, black Caribbean was 2.21 times higher, and Indian was 1.7 times higher.

There was 12 per cent lower risk of death from COVID-19 from white populations in England than the general population, the analysis of NHS data by University College London (UCL) also found.   

Co-author of the report, Dr Delan Devakumar, of the UCL Institute for Global Health, said: 'Rather than being an equaliser, this work shows that mortality with COVID-19 is disproportionately higher in black, Asian and minority ethnic groups.

'It is essential to tackle the underlying social and economic risk factors and barriers to healthcare that lead to these unjust deaths.' 

The analysis was published in Wellcome Open Research.

MailOnline looked at the latest figures today and found they are actually higher and that 22 doctors from the BAME community are thought to have died.

A spokesman for the British Medical Association confirmed that at least at least 22 doctors who died have been from that group.

Dr Chaand Nagpaul, BMA council chair, repeated calls today for an urgent investigation into why such a large proportion of doctors have died from BAME backgrounds. 

He added: 'This is why the BMA called for an urgent investigation, since the Government has a duty of care to the significant number of doctors from BAME backgrounds who are serving the nation as we fight this virus.'

Dr Craig Wakeham, a GP from Dorset, is believed to the only doctor who has died and is not from the Black, Asian and ethnic minority group 

He died in mid-April and his colleagues paid tribute to the devoted husband and father-of-two.

They said: 'His industry and innovation led our practice for 30 years.

'He was also a leading light in both the Clinical Commissioning Group and Local Medical Committee, as well as a devoted husband a father to his two boys.

'His legacy lives on in our patients who he cared for diligently, and in the good name he built for our surgery.'

A total of 140 frontline NHS staff have died during the coronavirus pandemic. The doctors who have passed away are: Dr Habibhai Babu, Saad Al-Dubbaisi (GP), Dr Furqan Ali Siddiqui, Dr Nasir Khan, Dr Paul Kabasele, Dr Vishna Rasiah, Medhat Atalla (consultant), Dr Yusuf Patel (GP), Sadeq Elhowsh (surgeon), Craig Wakeham (GP), Manjeet Singh Riyat (consultant), Rajesh Kalraiya (paediatrician), Mamoona Rana,Dr Kamlesh Kumar Masson, Dr Krishan Arora, Dr Peter Tun, Dr Abdul Mabud Chowdhury, Dr Edmond Adedeji, Fayez Ayache (GP), Syed Zishan Haider (GP), Dr Alfa Saadu, Dr Anton Sebastianpillai, Dr Habib Zaidi, Dr Adil El Tayar.   

A total of 140 NHS staff (pictured, frontline staff) have died during the coronavirus pandemic

A total of 140 NHS staff (pictured, frontline staff) have died during the coronavirus pandemic 

BMA repeats calls for 'urgent investigation' into deaths of doctors from BAME community

Dr Chaand Nagpaul, BMA council chair, said:  'These are stark and disturbing statistics, with such an overwhelming proportion of doctors having died being from BAME backgrounds.

'This is why the BMA called for an urgent investigation, since the Government has a duty of care to the significant number of doctors from BAME backgrounds who are serving the nation as we fight this virus.

'It is vital that this review records data on healthcare workers who are admitted to hospital, their occupational status, whether they worked in infectious areas, and also whether they had access to appropriate personal protective equipment.

'While this investigation takes place, it is crucial that we put in place all measures right now to protect those BAME doctors who are at high risk of serious illness or death. 

'This must include occupational risk assessments, including whether they have other medical conditions, and redeploying those doctors at highest risk away from COVID-19 areas. 

'Such doctors can still provide an essential role in the NHS in less infectious or non-patient facing areas, including remote working with telephone and video consultations.'

Ross Warwick, a research economist at IFS and co-author of the recent report, said: 'When you account for the fact that most minority groups are relatively young overall, the number of deaths looks disproportionate in most ethnic minority groups.

'There is unlikely to be a single explanation here and different factors may be more important for different groups.'

The IFS report noted that minorities were more likely to be key workers or have underlying health problems.

For example, two-thirds of Bangladeshi men over the age of 60 have a long-term health condition that would put them at particular risk from infection. 

Of all working-age Black Africans, a third are employed in key worker roles – 50 per cent more than the white British population, according to the think-tank IFS.

Meanwhile Pakistani, Indian and Black African men are 90 per cent, 150 per cent and 310 per cent -more likely to work in healthcare than white British men, respectively.

Hospital workers are vulnerable to the virus because they are repeatedly exposed to higher doses of the bug than the general public.   

Recently The Royal College of Surgeons said NHS workers from black or ethnic minority groups working on the COVID-19 frontline must be risk-assessed and changes made accordingly, as more evidence points to them being more vulnerable to the virus. 

Being overweight or obese increased the risk of ending up in hospital with the killer infection by 1.6-fold and 2.3-fold, respectively, according to a major study by Glasgow University

Being overweight or obese increased the risk of ending up in hospital with the killer infection by 1.6-fold and 2.3-fold, respectively, according to a major study by Glasgow University  

Professor Neil Mortensen, president-elect of the RCS, said until experts work out why almost two-thirds of NHS staff killed by Covid-19 are from BAME groups they should be shielded.

New guidance sent by NHS England to hospitals nationwide asked that BAME staff are 'risk-assessed' on a 'precautionary basis' and potentially taken out of high risk areas if they are considered 'vulnerable'. They should also get priority access to PPE.

OBESITY 'DOUBLES THE RISK' OF COVID-19 HOSPITALISATION  

Being obese may double the risk of needing hospital treatment for the coronavirus, according to a major study.

British scientists trawled through data for more than 428,000 people who were part of the UK Biobank.

Some 340 of those tested positive for COVID-19 in hospital - one of the only places to access a test in the UK - amid the pandemic. 

Being overweight or obese increased the risk of ending up in hospital with the killer infection by 1.6-fold and 2.3-fold, respectively.  

Obesity leads to conditions such as type 2 diabetes and heart disease, both of which are known to make patients more vulnerable to COVID-19.

But extra fat may also lead to inflammation within the body, heavily linked to grave complications. An overproduction of inflammatory markers results in what has been described as a 'cytokine storm', which can be deadly for coronavirus patients.  

The team took their data from the UK Biobank, which recruited 37-70 year olds in 2006-2010 from the general population. BMI, smoking status, walking pace - a measure of fitness, ethnicity and any health conditions were collected at the time. 

Other important findings included that black people have a 2.7-fold higher risk of testing positive for the virus in hospital, while the risk for people of South Asian descent was 1.3-fold higher. 

The Glasgow analysis found both men and 'ever smokers' had 60 per cent higher odds of testing positive in hospital, and the risk increased by 10 per cent for every five years of age. 

Lead researcher Dr Paul Welsh added that the paper had not been peer-reviewed by other scientists. It is published on the pre-print site medRxiv

He said the link between obesity and COVID-19 was still there after taking into account co-founders such as age, ethnicity, and socioeconomic factors.

Professor Mortensen has admitted that while he backed the new advice from NHS England - it would inevitably put pressure on other staff. 

He told Sky News today: 'They [BAME people] are a particularly at-risk group. Like other at-risk groups, I think they need to not be put in positions where they're not quite so at risk. 

'We don't really quite know why yet, but it's important they are removed from - if you like - from danger.' 

Almost 50 per cent of all NHS medic and one in five of the health service's entire 1.3million staff are from ethnic minorities. 

But in big cities such as London, Birmingham and Manchester some trusts have approaching half of all workers from these groups, and removing many of them from their roles would put huge strain on the rest of the workforce.

Former Labour shadow home secretary Ms Abbott also asked about the NHS surcharge for migrants at the Commons women and equalities questions yesterday.

She said: 'It cannot be right that NHS migrant workers who are frequently BAME, pay twice for the NHS, first in taxation, then through the surcharge and increasingly with their lives.'  

Shadow women and equalities secretary Marsha de Cordova called on the Government to ensure 'no more workers are risking their lives to save lives'.

She told the Commons: 'PHE last week have asked all NHS trusts to risk assess their BAME staff and where necessary remove them from the front line.

'Can I ask the minister what steps is her department taking to monitor the impact of this new measure and ensure that no more workers are risking their lives to save lives?'

Responding, Ms Badenoch said: 'NHS England is the right body to make the decisions on how each and every care organisation should look after their staff.

'We are not calling for ethnic minority medical staff to be taken off the front line, this will disproportionately impact ethnic minority communities, but we are doing everything we can to ensure that they are protected.'

Tory Peter Bone (Wellingborough) said: 'Opening nurseries and at least schools for younger children would be a great benefit particularly for women.' 

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2020-05-07 16:35:51Z
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Coronavirus: Gordon Brown says the UK government is 'failing to test people' - Sky News

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  1. Coronavirus: Gordon Brown says the UK government is 'failing to test people'  Sky News
  2. Coronavirus: Boris Johnson urges 'caution' on lockdown easing  BBC South East Wales
  3. Boris Johnson: aim is 200000 coronavirus tests daily by end of May  Guardian News
  4. The public won't be coaxed out of lockdown if the PM remains overly cautious  Telegraph.co.uk
  5. PMQs doesn’t need Keir Starmer to point out Boris Johnson’s stunning inadequacy, but it helps  The Independent
  6. View Full coverage on Google News

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2020-05-07 16:08:00Z
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Coronavirus Explained: as Boris Johnson to review UK COVID-19 lockdown, was it the right strategy? - The Sun

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  1. Coronavirus Explained: as Boris Johnson to review UK COVID-19 lockdown, was it the right strategy?  The Sun
  2. Coronavirus: Boris Johnson urges 'caution' on lockdown easing  BBC South East Wales
  3. Boris Johnson: aim is 200000 coronavirus tests daily by end of May  Guardian News
  4. The public won't be coaxed out of lockdown if the PM remains overly cautious  Telegraph.co.uk
  5. PMQs doesn’t need Keir Starmer to point out Boris Johnson’s stunning inadequacy, but it helps  The Independent
  6. View Full coverage on Google News

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2020-05-07 15:15:00Z
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Coronavirus UK: Death toll with 30,540 with 464 new fatalities - Daily Mail

UK announces 464 more coronavirus victims taking the total official death toll to 30,540

  • NHS England today confirmed 383 more people had died in its hospitals between March 19 and May 6
  • Scotland announced a further 59 fatalities, 18 more people died in Wales along with four in Northern Ireland
  • Britain has the second highest death toll in the world, behind the US (75,000), and at least 201,100 cases  
  • Boris Johnson is expected to set out 'road map back to normality' on Sunday - but politicians are divided
  • Labour leader Kier Starmer and Scottish leader Nicola Sturgeon say it is too soon, fearing a second wave
  • Here’s how to help people impacted by Covid-19
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England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have announced a further 464 coronavirus victims in NHS hospitals.

The official death toll for the UK is now 30,540 - Britain last night became the first country in Europe to declare more than 30,000 people had died and the nation is now viewed around the world as a 'problem child' because of its crisis.

More fatalities that have happened outside of hospitals, including in care homes and private houses, will be announced by the Department of Health (DHSC) later today. 

Prime Minister Boris Johnson is this week expected to announce how the UK's lockdown measures will begin to loosen from Monday, with limits on outdoor activities expected to be the first thing to relax. 

NHS England today confirmed 383 more people had died in its hospitals between March 19 and May 6, aged between 28 and 100 years old.

The 28-year-old patient had no other health problems before they were diagnosed with the coronavirus, it said.

Scotland, meanwhile, announced a further 59 fatalities, and 18 more people died in Wales along with four in Northern Ireland. 

Britain now has the second highest death toll in the world, after the US where 75,000 people have succumbed to the pneumonia-causing virus. 

In developments in the coronavirus crisis today:

  • The PM will address the nation to announce plans for the next phase of lockdown at 7pm on Sunday night; 
  • Chancellor Rishi Sunak has announced a £32million funding injection so doctors and chemists can stay open over the May bank holiday tomorrow; 
  • Ministers are facing demands to get a refund on PPE equipment they boasted about sourcing from Turkey after it emerged it has failed safety standards; 
  • Ministers have blamed the dramatic fall in daily tests from 122,000 to 69,000 on a 'technical issue', despite complaints that the figures were manipulated to make it look as it Matt Hancock's target was hit last week; 
  • Being obese may double the risk of needing hospital treatment for the coronavirus, according to a major study. 
Katie Ffolloitt-Powell and Mike Carr of the Patient Transport Services of South Central Ambulance Services prepare to move an elderly non-COVID-19 patient from hospital to a care home on May 05, 2020 near Portsmouth, England. As the list of recognised Covid-19 symptoms grows, paramedic crews like those with the South Central Ambulance Service are forced to treat every patient as being a potential case, often requiring specialised personal protective equipment (PPE). Paramedics now routinely don what the NHS refers to as Level 2 PPE, like face masks and disposable aprons. Cases with patients potentially needing airway procedures require Level 3 PPE, such as full-face visors and long-sleeved surgical gowns. While the infection rate is falling, and government officials are discussing ways to relax the country's quarantine measures, Covid-19 still creates everyday risks for paramedics and other first responders. (Photo by Leon Neal - Pool/Getty Images)
Ambulance crews work to stabilise a patient with possible COVID-19 symptoms who was found unconscious having suffered a cardiac arrest while cycling in Botley on May 6 near Southampton, England

NHS England today confirmed 383 more people had died in its hospitals between March 19 and May 6, aged between 28 and 100 years old. Scotland announced a further 59 fatalities, 18 more people died in Wales along with four in Northern Ireland

Britain's daily coronavirus death toll is showing continuous signs of slowing down after peaking in mid-April. 

England's hospital death tally today is slightly lower than the 391 reported seven days ago and half that of three weeks ago, when officials reported 740 deaths on April 16. 

The UK has recorded at least 201,101 cases of the coronavirus as of yesterday at 5pm. The number of people who have tested positive since then will be reported by DHSC today. Yesterday cases jumped up by a further 6,111.

But there will be hundreds of thousands people who have suffered mild forms of the virus - or not shown symptoms at all - who are not included in the toll.

Testing has slumped for three days in a row since the goal of 100,000 was met last Thursday, with just 69,463 tests conducted on 5 May. Despite this, Boris Johnson has promised that Britain will manage 200,000 daily tests by the end of the month. 

But after the cumulative figure reached 30,000 yesterday, countries across the world have rallied to criticise the UK for its response to the pandemic.

Newspapers around the world are pointing the finger at Britain's handling of the crisis as a 'problem child', not only from countries such as Germany and Australia which have been widely praised for their handling of the virus, but even from nations such as Italy and the United States where the crisis has been equally severe.

The Sydney Morning Herald ran a feature about Britain under the headline: 'Biggest failure in a generation: Where did Britain go wrong?' describing a 'growing chorus' of experts and members of the public who regarded the UK response as a 'series of deadly mistakes and miscalculations'.

Despite the UK's international status as a bad example, politicians are pressing forward with plans to start relaxing lockdown rules.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson is set to unveil his plans for looser restrictions in an address to the nation this Sunday at 7pm, when he is expected to tell the public they will no longer face strict rules on going outdoors or travelling to the countryside. 

Starmer and Sturgeon blow hole in bid to ease lockdown: Labour and Scottish leaders say it's too early to lift restrictions 

Furious Nicola Sturgeon today laid into Boris Johnson over plans to ease lockdown - warning that ditching 'stay at home' guidance at this point would be 'catastrophic'.

The First Minister took an axe to the UK's united front on coronavirus as she insisted there can be no loosening at all for at least another week - and suggesting it will be largely unchanged in Scotland for the rest of the month.

The PM is expected to set out the next phase of the response to the crisis in an address to the nation on Sunday night. He said yesterday that 'easements' will be outlined to the restrictions.

Downing Street played down the extent of the changes this afternoon, saying Mr Johnson told the Cabinet there would be 'maximum caution'. But ministers have made clear the 'stay at home' mantra will be replaced with a more nuanced approach, while more people will be urged to return to work where possible.

Ms Sturgeon told a briefing in Edinburgh today that Mr Johnson had so far told her nothing about the proposals, and Cobra meetings had been delayed.

She warned that the crucial 'R' number, for how much the virus is replicating in the country, could be 'hovering around one' - meaning it is close to growing again - and appeared to be worse in Scotland.

Again pre-empting the Westminster government's actions, with the results of a formal lockdown review due to be announced tonight, Ms Sturgeon said: 'Our assessment of the evidence leads me to the conclusion that the lockdown must be extended at this stage.'

Meanwhile, Labour's Keir Starmer has suggested lockdown must stay in place until testing capacity is much higher - after daily numbers slumped below 100,000 again. He said a track and trace regime was critical for controlling the outbreak, and 'if that's going to happen the planning needs to go in now because we need many many more tests than we've got already'.

A poll for MailOnline has also highlighted the challenge 'coronaphobia' will pose to the government getting the country running again.

The research by Redfield and Wilton Strategies found 62 per cent of Britons are more worried about the effects of the draconian curbs ending too early, while 38 per cent say their main concern is the havoc they are wreaking on the economy now.

Around seven in 10 believe bus and train drivers, teachers, and medical staff should have the right to refuse to go back to work, even if the government says it is safe. Some 60 per cent say the state should keep covering a proportion of people's wages even if in theory they should be able to resume their jobs.

But his opponents have poured cold water on the ambitious plans, saying it is too soon. And two thirds of the British public admit they are afraid of going too early.  

The science on what the country should do about lockdown remains unclear.

A paper published today has suggested that forcing everyone to stay at home and closing all shops and businesses might have been overkill, and evidence from 30 countries across the world suggests those measures have minimal effect on the spread of the virus.

Closing schools, preventing mass gatherings and large events, and shutting gyms, pubs, clubs, cinemas and restaurants, however, definitely have worked.

Researchers at the University of East Anglia said the insight into which measures appeared most effective could help authorities plan their way out of lockdown. 

One of the scientists, Dr Julii Brainard, said they found clear distinctions between which measures appeared to be most and least important.

'We found that three of the control measures were especially effective and the other two were not,' Dr Brainard told BBC Radio 4 this morning. 

'It pains me to say this because I have kids that I'd like to get back into education, but closing schools was the most effective single measure, followed by mass gatherings.

'[This was] followed by what were defined... as the initial business closures. So that was the point when, in the UK for instance, they closed gyms and clubs.

'Adding very little additional effect was the stay-at-home measure, surprisingly, and the additional business closures.'

The research chimes with an article written by World Health Organization scientist, Dr Johan Giesecke, from Stockholm's Karolinska Institutet. 

He maintains that total lockdowns are unnecessary because the virus is unstoppable.  His home nation, Sweden, has refused to shut businesses or send people home. 

Writing in an article in The Lancet, Dr Giesecke said: 'It has become clear that a hard lockdown does not protect old and frail people living in care homes—a population the lockdown was designed to protect.

'Neither does it decrease mortality from COVID-19, which is evident when comparing the UK's experience with that of other European countries.'

He added: 'COVID-19 is spreading like wildfire in all countries, but we do not see it - it almost always spreads from younger people with no or weak symptoms to other people who will also have mild symptoms. 

'This is the real pandemic, but it goes on beneath the surface, and is probably at its peak now in many European countries. There is very little we can do to prevent this spread: a lockdown might delay severe cases for a while, but once restrictions are eased, cases will reappear.'

Australia: The Sydney Morning Herald described the UK's response as the 'biggest failure in a generation', pointing to a series of errors including on testing and lockdown 

Italy: This headline in Positano News said the situation in Britain was a 'disaster' - as Italian media wondered why the UK had failed to learn lessons from Italy's experience  

AIR TRAVEL THE MAIN DRIVER OF COVID-19 SPREAD, STUDY SAYS

Air travel was the main driver behind the spread of coronavirus, according to a study which adds more weight to the theory that closing borders helps avert major crises.

Brazilian researchers found the nations hit hardest by the killer disease were ones which had busy airports accepting thousands of international flights.

It may explain why the US (73,431) and UK (30,150) – which have the first and third highest air travel globally - have also suffered the most COVID-19 deaths.

China, which has the second busiest airports, grounded all its flights from the virus’ epicentre in Hubei province on January 23, within weeks of the first diagnosed case.

The US did not lockdown its airports until late March, while Britain’s borders remain open to this day and officials still aren't routinely testing or quarantining travellers.

Damning figures show the UK quarantined just 273 out of 18.1million people who arrived in the UK in the three months before the lockdown was imposed.

The team from the Federal University of Bahia in Salvador scoured records of 7,834 airports using online flight databases to identify more than 67,600 transport routes.

They found that countries with the highest volume of international flights were at the highest risk of major crises.

The research, which has not yet been published in a journal or scrutinised by other scientists, assessed how climate, economic and air transport affected the size of outbreaks in 65 countries which had more than 100 cases.

They found climate had little effect on the virus' spread, rubbishing the theory that hot temperatures and high humidity kill off the disease.

And the researchers said socioeconomic factors - such as how rich a nation is or how well-funded their healthcare systems are - played a 'mild role'.

They concluded that global air travel was the ‘the main explanation for the growth rate of COVID-19’ and screening and isolating travellers may have been 'a cheap solution for humanity'.

It comes on the back of MailOnline analysis that suggested countries which banned international travel fared better in controlling their outbreaks>

The lockdown in Britain, however, appears to have successfully protected the NHS from an overload of sick and dying patients in need of oxygen therapy.

This was the Government's overriding mission after footage emerged from Italy of hospitals trying to treat severely ill patients in corridors.

But the toll of the virus in the UK has still been devastating for many communities.

Data from the Office for National Statistics today revealed that black people in England and Wales are four times more likely to die from COVID-19 than whites. 

Government statisticians analysed the number of all COVID-19-related fatalities in England and Wales between March 2 and April 10.

Data showed the risk of dying from the coronavirus was 'significantly' higher among some ethnic groups compared to white people, when age was taken into account.

After accounting for health conditions and differences in factors such as income, the risk for black people was still almost twice as high. 

The reasons behind the findings remain largely 'unexplained', said the Office for National Statistics, which collected the data. The report did not look into whether people from BAME backgrounds are more likely to be infected in the first place. 

It follows a series of worrying studies have shown the risk of dying from coronavirus for BAME communities is several times higher, prompting for the roles of black and minority ethnic NHS workers to be reassessed. 

A report by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) - a respected think-tank - showed the death rate among Black African Brits was three times higher than that of the white British population. 

The report on May 1 also revealed fatalities among Pakistanis were 2.7 times higher, and for people of Black Caribbean heritage the death rate was 1.8 times greater.   

On 16 April the UK Public Health England announced a formal review into the disproportionate impact of COVID-19 on black and minority ethnic Britons, with results expected at the end of May.

The government are 'very concerned' by reports of a 'disproportionate' impact of the disease on BAME communities, according to Equalities Minister Kemi Badenoch.

A separate rival review from the Labour party is being lead by Baroness Doreen Lawrence, a campaigner and mother of murdered teenager Stephen Lawrence.

She has been appointed as Labour's race relations adviser by leader Sir Keir Starmer, who today tweeted: 'There needs to be a reckoning at the end of this crisis. We must build a fairer, more equal society.

'This is why Labour appointed Doreen Lawrence to hold an inquiry into why coronavirus is having such a disproportionate impact on our BAME communities.' 

The PHE will also look into obesity as a risk factor, after a series of studies showing those carrying extra weight may be more severely impacted by the disease.  

Today a study of Britons revealed that being overweight or obese increased the risk of ending up in hospital with the killer infection by 1.6-fold and 2.3-fold, respectively.

Glasgow University experts trawled through data for more than 428,000 people who were part of the UK Biobank, of which 340 had tested positive for COVID-19 in hospital - one of the only places to access a test in the UK.

Obesity leads to conditions such as type 2 diabetes and heart disease, both of which are known to make patients more vulnerable to COVID-19.

But extra fat may also lead to inflammation within the body, heavily linked to grave complications. An overproduction of inflammatory markers results in what has been described as a 'cytokine storm', which can be deadly for coronavirus patients. 

Other scientists have suggested fat cells harbour vital immune cells needed to fight the infection, or make large amounts of a protein used by the virus to latch on to human cells.

The findings uncovered several other risk factors for hospitalisation with COVID-19, including smoking, being of BAME background and sleep apnoea. 

The risk of dying from the coronavirus was 'significantly' higher among some ethnic groups compared to white people, when age was taken into account (pictured)
After accounting for health conditions and differences in factors such as income, the risk for black people was still almost twice as high (pictured)

Data from the Office for National Statistics today revealed that black people in England and Wales are four times more likely to die from COVID-19 than whites when age was taken into account (left), and twice as likely after accounting for health conditions and differences in factors such as income

Far higher numbers of people from black and Asian backgrounds have died from COVID-19 per 100,000 people than white Britons, despite making up much less of the overall population, a report from the IFS - a respected think-tank - showed. 'Other whites' include Gypsy and Irish Travellers, and 'other ethnic group' includes Arabs

Far higher numbers of people from black and Asian backgrounds have died from COVID-19 per 100,000 people than white Britons, despite making up much less of the overall population, a report from the IFS - a respected think-tank - showed. 'Other whites' include Gypsy and Irish Travellers, and 'other ethnic group' includes Arabs

The UK's coronavirus outbreak remains on a slow downward trajectory after peaking in the middle of last month. The graphs come from yesterday's Downing Street briefing and do not include data from the past 24 hours

The UK's coronavirus outbreak remains on a slow downward trajectory after peaking in the middle of last month. The graphs come from yesterday's Downing Street briefing and do not include data from the past 24 hours

The number of new cases of coronavirus spiked today, according to the latest Number 10 data. The graphs come from yesterday's Downing Street briefing and do not include data from the past 24 hours

The number of new cases of coronavirus spiked today, according to the latest Number 10 data. The graphs come from yesterday's Downing Street briefing and do not include data from the past 24 hours 

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2020-05-07 15:02:11Z
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Coronavirus: 'Very limited' lockdown changes in England next week, says Downing Street - Sky News

Lockdown changes in England from next week will be "very limited", Boris Johnson's spokesman has confirmed.

The prime minister will use "maximum caution" when starting to ease some of the strict social distancing measures that have been in force for nearly seven weeks during the coronavirus crisis, his spokesman said.

He told reporters on Thursday: "We are at a critical moment in the fight against the virus and we will not do anything that risks the progress the British public has made.

Boris Johnson takes a morning walk in St James's Park in London before returning to Downing Street
Image: Boris Johnson will give a TV address on Sunday on the next stage of the lockdown

More than 30,000 people have died with COVID-19 in the UK - the highest number of deaths in Europe.

Mr Johnson revealed at Prime Minister's Questions this week that he wants to "get going" with tweaking some lockdown measures from Monday.

But Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has said the stay at home message will be extended for another three weeks.

She insisted she will not be pressured into changing anything too early that would be "very, very risky".

More from Covid-19

Nicola Sturgeon says she hasn't heard from Boris Johnson yet as to what his plans are to ease the lockdown
Lockdown changes 'not yet discussed' with Scottish govt

Measures in Wales and Northern Ireland will be decided by the devolved governments in each nation.

Mr Johnson gathered senior ministers for a video call on Thursday ahead of his planned TV address to the nation this Sunday on the next stage of the lockdown, now that the peak of deaths appears to have passed.

His spokesman said the PM told the cabinet: "We are not going to do anything that could risk a second peak.

"We will proceed with maximum caution, closely track impact of easing measures and will not hesitate to change track if required."

As part of the changes, Mr Johnson is preparing to amend the "stay at home" slogan and relax the limit on going out to exercise once a day only.

With summer approaching, he may give the go-ahead to picnics, trips to the park and outings in the countryside, Sky's chief political correspondent Jon Craig said.

But English primary schools are unlikely to re-open until the end of May, secondary schools not before the end of June and it could be the end of August before pubs and restaurants open their doors again.

Mr Johnson is expected to field questions from MPs about his plan on Monday next week.

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer's spokesman said he and other opposition leaders held a "constructive" call with the prime minister but pressed for "a national consensus on the next phase".

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Plaid Cymru's Westminster leader claimed briefings about the strategy had bred confusion and led people to think wrongly changes had come into effect before the Bank Holiday weekend.

"If his commitment to the four nations of the UK is to mean anything, the Welsh, Scottish and Northern Irish governments must agree to any changes to the current approach," she said.

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2020-05-07 14:15:00Z
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